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  • They were bearish when they should have been bullish and bullish when they should have

  • been bearish. So the index at least steers a steady course.

  • We're joined this evening by a mutual fund

  • executive whose words are so clear they

  • never need dissection or analysis. He's John

  • C. Bogle, founder- founder and senior chairman

  • of the Vanguard Group the nation's second

  • largest fund company. And he joins us

  • tonight tonight from Philadelphia. Welcome Jack.

  • Thank you, Tyler. Nice to have you here.

  • Always good to be with you. Great. You know your index 500 portfolio now the second

  • largest fund in America has 55 billion dollars or thereabouts in it as of the end

  • of last month. Do you worry that so many investors who have put so much money into

  • that fund over the past few years are going to be disappointed, not when that fund does

  • you know doesn't perform as well but, when

  • some other index fund that you own starts to be the one that everybody wants to be in?

  • I worry about it a good bit. People should take an index fund for what it is, Tyler.

  • This is a large cap oriented fund. There will be a time when small cap and mid-cap

  • funds will do better than large cap stocks but it's not here now. And to my delight,

  • it wasn't here and the decline the index fund gave a wonderful account of itself when

  • the market went down mid July to the end of August.

  • Hey Mr. B. Bill Griffith here as well. Hi

  • Bill. What about the big picture though? I

  • mean you more than anybody probably in the mutual fund industry have been a proponent

  • early on of index mutual funds and people

  • lately have been buying into them but what about the concept that if we see a market

  • continue to decline that people will be disappointed in all index funds because they

  • find that the managers are not allowed to sell to get out of the market?

  • Well the fact of the matter is that the index fund has traditionally carried about 20

  • percent less risk than the average fund. In other words for all the vaunted ability of

  • mutual fund managers to raise cash they've

  • really been doing just the opposite. They had 14 percent in cash at the beginning of

  • of this bull market and 4 percent only 4

  • percent at the peak. They were bearish when they should have been bullish and bullish

  • when they should have been bearish. So the index at least steers a steady course.

  • Do you still expect Mr. Bogle that if this becomes what people call a stock pickers

  • market that the index funds will continue to outperform the stock pickers?

  • I don't think there's such a thing as a stock

  • pickers market. All investors are picking all stocks and to the extent an index fund

  • owns all stocks. It's a sort of contradiction in terms. Because if the good

  • stock pickers take all the good stocks the other half of the market will be owned by

  • the bad stock pickers who pick the bad stocks. It all comes out to a sum of one.

  • You know we were talking last week on the program about a mutual fund fees how most

  • people are happy to pay them when the market is going up because they're still making

  • money. But as the market comes down and especially as the net asset value of a

  • mutual fund comes down people maybe start to pay more attention to those fees something

  • that I know is very near and dear to your heart.

  • Yeah the fees in the mutual fund industry, I'm sorry to say, are generally pretty outrageous

  • and you add to an average fee of one and a half percent, at least, another half percent

  • for the fund transaction costs inside the portfolio, which isn't disclosed separately

  • and then mutual funds are tremendously except for index funds really tremendously

  • tax inefficient and the index fund is going to pick up another point and a half

  • On tax efficiency. You think they're going to have to come down though because of

  • competitive practices and because maybe fund investors will demand it.

  • I think sooner or later fund investors will

  • see the light. You see more attention paid to cost in the press. You see more

  • dissatisfaction with the mutual fund as an investment medium in the magazines and on

  • television. And I think the industry has got to adjust to a different era. The fees are

  • too high and that's that's all there is to that.

  • In addition to fees being, your word outrageous, a lot of people think that there

  • are just plain too many mutual funds out there. Some 9000. What's your view on that?

  • And I note that you guys have something like twenty two or more separate index portfolios

  • just in the equity area. Why do you need that many?

  • Well you need a first. I think there are far

  • too many funds in the industry. I mean I don't know what one does with 9000 funds.

  • Now of course I can immediately jump to our own defense which maybe a little bit unfair

  • but you need a number of index funds because investors are getting more specialized. And

  • some investors want the 500. My preferred index fund happens to be a total stock

  • market which includes large, medium and small stocks. But some investors with it with a

  • blue chip portfolio want an aggressive entry

  • into say a small cap growth funds or a small cap growth index fund. Isn't it a very

  • intelligent way to do that. So to a point we ought to meet public demand. We shouldn't be

  • creating. We as a company or we as an industry. Mutual funds whose only reason for

  • being is to appeal to a marketing need that is unsound. We ought to be spending more

  • time in this business on investing and less time on marketing.

They were bearish when they should have been bullish and bullish when they should have

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Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle's '90s Interview Shows His Investing Philosophy

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    VM3 に公開 2023 年 04 月 18 日
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