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  • With assets totaling over $3 trillion, Bank of

  • America is the second largest bank in the U.S.

  • today. Shares of the company have seen

  • astonishing gains of over 290% in the last

  • decade.

  • Bank of America is truly massive.

  • They've got something like two trillion in

  • deposits and another trillion dollars in

  • loans. They have one of the world's largest

  • wealth management firms, and they're a commercial

  • bank of pretty good scale. And all of that's

  • under one roof under the Bank of America roof.

  • But Bank of America's rise to success has been

  • anything but smooth sailing.

  • The 2008 financial crisis pushed the bank to

  • the brink of collapse.

  • It was a loss so catastrophic that it

  • required a $45 billion bailout from the U.S.

  • Treasury.

  • Bank of America was one reason why much of the

  • investing public and consumers and government

  • lost faith and trust in banking.

  • If the government did not intervene for Bank of

  • America and the other banks, Bank of America

  • would have failed.

  • Fast forward to today, Bank of America is

  • thriving despite concerns over inflation

  • and threats of a possible recession.

  • The bank reported a net income of $31.9 billion

  • in 2021, compared to just $4 billion in 2008.

  • As the rates have gone up and if the recession is

  • shallow, then we're going to see widening

  • spreads and the ability of Bank of America to

  • have a significant earnings from net

  • interest income.

  • This is unique to the banking industry.

  • And Bank of America being one of the largest

  • banks stands to benefit the most.

  • So how was Bank of America able to stage

  • such an impressive comeback? And where is it

  • headed next?

  • Bank of America's Story dates back to 1904, when

  • Amadeo Giannini founded the Bank of Italy, which

  • sought to provide banking for working

  • immigrants facing discrimination.

  • Bank of America's original business model,

  • when it was still Bank of Italy in 1904, was

  • this notion of finding underserved individuals,

  • groups and communities.

  • The immigrant community in San Francisco at that

  • time was not welcome in the established banks, so

  • most of them kept their extra cash, if they had

  • any, in mattresses or mason jars in their

  • apartments. A.

  • P. Giannini knew that this money wasn't earning

  • interest, and so he went to the people he knew

  • from his years working on the wharf and said, if

  • you will deposit your money with me, I will pay

  • you a small amount of interest every month.

  • Bank of America was the first bank to establish a

  • statewide branching system which allowed it

  • to rapidly expand across the state of California.

  • From there, the company began relying on

  • acquisitions to grow across the nation.

  • There is a very ambitious young banker named Hugh

  • McColl, who in the eighties and nineties

  • basically tried to create his own version of

  • what Bank of America had on the West Coast, which

  • is essentially gobbling up competitor banks in

  • the southeast region.

  • So in 1998, Hugh McColl leads the acquisition of

  • Bank of America. So this was essentially

  • NationsBank, his institution, which was

  • the roll up of the Southeast acquiring Bank

  • of America on the West Coast.

  • So for the first time, you had the

  • coast-to-coast branch network.

  • Today, Bank of America has grown to become a

  • giant in the banking industry.

  • It is the seventh largest bank in the world

  • based on total assets and the second largest in

  • the United States, serving approximately 68

  • million consumers and small business clients.

  • Bank of America has four main divisions.

  • They've got the consumer bank, they've got the

  • Wall Street division, they've got an asset

  • management division, and they've got a commercial

  • banking business.

  • But you could really kind of divide what they

  • do into two big buckets.

  • The first bucket is interest income.

  • Retail banking still remains Bank of America's

  • main focus and source of revenue, contributing to

  • more than a third of its net income.

  • Bank of America held more than $1 trillion in

  • average deposits from retail consumers during

  • the third quarter of 2022.

  • Bank of America is a powerhouse in retail

  • banking. They increased their deposits equal to

  • the size of the sixth largest bank over the

  • last two years. There's no press release, no

  • merger announcement. This was all organic.

  • They are making spreads or what is called net

  • interest income off of the difference between

  • what they offer as a deposit rate and then

  • minus the cost of funds that they have either

  • through the markets or the Federal Reserve.

  • In the third quarter of this year, in fact, they

  • made about $14 billion in net interest alone.

  • The other bucket is something that is

  • referred to as fees, which really is inclusive

  • of a wide variety of things. So everything

  • from overdraft fees, credit card, to advisory

  • fees for advising on huge M&A deals.

  • You know, in the third quarter, they made about

  • close to $11 billion in non-interest income.

  • Bank of America found itself on the brink of

  • collapse just more than a decade ago.

  • Shares of the bank were trading for as low as

  • $2.53 in 2009.

  • And net income dropped from a high of $21

  • billion in 2006 to just $4 billion in 2008.

  • The financial crisis was catastrophic because it

  • was a perfect storm where banks were taking

  • very high speculative risk in certain areas of

  • lending, and the government oversight or

  • regulation really did not keep pace with

  • complex markets.

  • The whole industry essentially started to

  • maximize leverage, started to kind of push

  • the boundaries. All of this is based on the

  • premise that housing in this country would never

  • decline, that housing prices in this country

  • would never fall. What we saw was that, sure, it

  • could fall and it could collapse.

  • The ill-timed acquisitions of several

  • companies, including Countrywide Financial

  • Corporation and Merrill Lynch, only added fuel to

  • the flame.

  • Bank of America participated in a broader

  • merger mania.

  • In 2005 it acquired MBNA, the credit card giant,

  • and in that process took on a whole bunch of bad

  • consumer debt. In 2008, Bank of America acquired

  • Countrywide Financial.

  • Countrywide had been implicated in the

  • mortgage crisis.

  • Countrywide had also engaged in predatory and

  • racist lending practices. And when Bank

  • of America took that on, it took on a huge burden

  • of debt and that sort of toxic environment and

  • toxic asset that in many ways dragged the bank

  • down. And then, of course, in 2008, Bank of

  • America acquired Merrill Lynch.

  • Mortgage derivatives, CDOs, brought down

  • Merrill Lynch to almost failure before Bank of

  • America stepped in.

  • After that acquisition, Bank of America had to

  • digest both Countrywide and Merrill Lynch while

  • dealing with its own problems and talk about a

  • headache, talk about ill-timed acquisitions.

  • As a result, Bank of America saw provisions

  • for credit losses rise from just $5 billion in

  • 2006 to more than $48 billion by the end of

  • 2009. After the recession ended, Bank of

  • America also faced legal problems stemming from

  • its various acquisitions, one of

  • which led to a historic $16.65 billion

  • settlement, holding the bank responsible for

  • financial fraud during the 2008 financial crisis

  • . Bank of America was unavailable to

  • participate in this documentary.

  • Bank of America paid $4 billion for Countrywide

  • in 2008, and the final price tag, including all

  • legal costs, was probably 15 times that

  • close to $50 to $60 billion.

  • To put that in context, that's more than the

  • tangible equity the entire Bank of America

  • had at the time in 2008.

  • Ultimately, the Treasury Department stepped in to

  • provide $45 billion and a guarantee of protection

  • for potential losses to help Bank of America

  • through its struggles.

  • Warren Buffett also played a pivotal role in

  • boosting confidence in the bank.

  • I recall talking to Warren Buffett about ten

  • years ago for a magazine piece I was writing about

  • B of A. It really struck me how he loved their

  • deposit base.

  • He thought that was their killer advantage.

  • Their coast-to-coast network of branches

  • provided such cheap funding that this is

  • really the reason why he decided to invest at the

  • time and ultimately decided to save the

  • industry by investing 5 billion back into 2011.

  • But the hard-learned lessons from the

  • financial crisis have led Bank of America to

  • undergo significant changes.

  • The big change at Bank of America is that they have

  • gone from irresponsible growth to responsible

  • growth.

  • What they really decided to do after that was say,

  • look, we've got a complete franchise, we're

  • big in all the product lines we want to be in.

  • We have the scale we need to.

  • Now we just need to make it run and make it work

  • together.

  • A more conservative lending standard is just

  • one example of the bank's aim for

  • sustainable growth.

  • One key aspect of Bank of America responsible

  • growth is to say no and to say no more often and

  • say no to subprime lending and say no to

  • transactions that have too much debt.

  • Say no to clients that might be causing a lot of

  • risk so that when they say yes, it results in a

  • lot more growth that's sustainable, responsible

  • and better for their reputation.

  • Another example is the bank's meaningful

  • investment in its future.

  • B of A has, perhaps better than than most,

  • has done a good job of digitizing their

  • businesses. They're spending money in

  • technology. They're using those savings to

  • buy back stock and to improve their financial

  • performance. And that's been the story of

  • certainly the last five or so years of B of A.

  • These changes have allowed Bank of America

  • to earn its position as the second largest bank

  • in the United States.

  • The bank's most recent earnings for the third

  • quarter topped expectations, with $24.61

  • billion in adjusted revenue.

  • Coming into this year was one of the favorites, if

  • not the favorite, among bank analysts.

  • Because of that coast-to-coast branch

  • network, of that that cheap deposit funding,

  • they were seen as one of the big beneficiaries of

  • the Fed is raising interest rates.

  • It's going to allow the industry to make more

  • money in terms of just that net interest income

  • that we talked about.

  • And despite the threat of a looming recession, Bank

  • of America's rise might just be beginning.

  • This is a decade in the making in terms of

  • preparation for a recession.

  • So Bank of America has de-risked their loans,

  • they've de-risked their trading, they've

  • de-risked their risk appetite.

  • They've been preparing their technology for more

  • business volumes and they've been preparing

  • the strength of their customer relationships

  • for the time when rates rise. And I estimate that

  • so long as loan losses don't more than triple.

  • Bank of America's earnings will grow

  • through a recession.

  • And if that happens, on the other side of that,

  • not only should Bank of America stock go back to

  • their historical valuation, but they have

  • a chance to re-rate above the historical

  • ranges where they previously traded.

With assets totaling over $3 trillion, Bank of

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How BofA Came Back From The Brink Of Collapse

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    WP に公開 2022 年 12 月 30 日
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