Name: インフレーションを止められるのか（Can The Inflation Crisis In The U.S. Be Stopped?）
Uploaded: 2022-02-07T21:27:10.000Z
Duration: 15 min 32 s
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prices for just about everything are rising fast. And October

2021. Inflation took its biggest jump in more than 30 years. It's

hitting specific parts of the economy hardest. drivers face a

59% increase in the pump compared to one year ago. The

average US vehicle is selling for 26% more than it was a year

ago. vacation homes are renting out a premium to

nobody likes to play. Nobody wants to pay higher prices for

maintaining stable prices is one of the Federal Reserve's main

responsibilities. In recent decades. The economy is home

Now post pandemic, the Fed they want inflation at least for a

while to be above 2%. And they'll get exactly what they

want simply because of the acceleration rent growth.

Critics say there are signs of turmoil in the economy that the

I think it's pretty darn clear that the Fed cannot control

inflation on the downside or the upside. Given the current

the weight of the evidence is finally going pals way teen

lot of reasons to think that inflation is transitory. It

doesn't mean it's going to be two months it could be a year,

but it's not going to be four or 5% a year for the next five

In the backdrop, governments are spending big to keep society

afloat. The US Treasuries debt is managed by the Fed, the

bank's assets swelled as it printed trillions of dollars to

backstop the country. Which leads to the question, can the

federal reserve control inflation? And if so, what could

it do to rein in the cost of living in the United States the

people who manage the US economy prefer to keep inflation around

2%. That's because a low and steady rate produces a healthy

business environment. These rates are tracked in categories

like food, energy and housing. These components are then

weighted against one another to establish their importance. The

final scores that are produced are then recorded over time. The

primary one you hear about on the news is called the consumer

price index. It tracks all of the spending from 93% of the US

population. Then there's the trimmed mean inflation, which

throws out outlier data and focuses on core prices.

movements in the trimmed mean signal a more potent

inflationary trend, then there's the PCE,

to look at PCE that is personal consumption expenditures Price

the Feds preferred measure of inflation is broader than the

trimmed mean, but it throws out some data from the energy and

food sectors. That's because prices take bigger swings in

these industries more frequently, what's included and

what's excluded from each inflation index impacts its

reliability. Some like Danielle DiMartino booth, a former Dallas

Fed employee believe that the PCE is flawed. My biggest

issue with the PCE is that for your average American household,

you spend between 40 and 50% of your income on housing. If you

look at it through that simple of a prison and understand that

the PCs input for housing is only around 22% Then you see

that you're under accounting households biggest expense by a

In the fall of 2021, the PCE numbers spiked to generational

highs. When events like that happen, public officials turn to

the Fed for answers. The Federal Reserve was originally set up to

create a stable American banking system. Its role has expanded

over its century long existence in 1977. Congress gave it a dual

Part of that mandate is to maximize employment. The other

part of that mandate is to stabilize prices or to basically

Wilson says that the feds ability to manage inflation

depends on the extent to which inflation is driven by the labor

seeing inflationary pressures, largely because people have

shifted their consumption from purchase of services the

purchase of goods that has caused demand for goods that

outpaced the supply of goods, you know, a period of time that

suppliers did not have adequate time to really respond to that

In 2021, a sputtering global supply chain and backed up ports

are causing delays. Many people, including the leaders of the

Fed, don't believe the economy has settled. Chair Powell

previously said this bout of inflation is transitory. But now

he's walking back from using that language, we

tend to use it to mean that it won't leave a permanent mark in

the form of higher inflation. I think it's it's probably a good

time to retire that that word and try to explain more clearly

The central bank believes current conditions don't change

the long term outlook. That's because in recent years,

inflation has actually been lower than what the Fed wanted

pre pandemic inflation was a soft Fed Reserve at a 2%

inflation target. It was below 2%. Now post pandemic the Fed

has been saying they changed their their thinking here they

want in At least for a while to be above 2%. And they'll get

exactly what they want simply because of the acceleration and

In 2019. Newly elected chair Powell argued that long term

expectations of inflation were low. Experts observing the labor

market reported that the interest rate lift off that

began in 2019, cut the recovery short, then an unexpected event,

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インフレーションを止められるのか（Can The Inflation Crisis In The U.S. Be Stopped?）

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