Name: 米国がシリアの反乱軍を武装させることで、すでに血みどろの対立に拍車がかかりそうだ。 (US Arming Syrian Rebels Likely to Inflame Already Bloody Conflict)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T05:02:09.000Z
Duration: 12 min 23 s
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JAISAL NOOR: Welcome to The Real News Network. I'm Jaisal Noor in Baltimore. And welcome

to this week's edition of The Bennis Report with Phyllis Bennis, who is now joining us

Phyllis is a fellow and the director of the New Internationalist Project at the Institute

for Policy Studies in Washington. She's the author of the books Before and After: U.S.

Foreign Policy and the War on Terrorism and Understanding the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict:

NOOR: So, Phyllis, what's your response to this latest news reported by the Associated

Press that the Obama administration is getting closer to arming Syrian rebels?

BENNIS: It's a very dangerous development. This has been in the works for a while. The

Obama administration is quite divided. And the fact that the latest appointees to the

new administration--Susan Rice as the new national security adviser and Samantha Power

as United Nations ambassador--both of those two are at the core of the component of the

Obama administration and its supporters who have supported from the beginning a much more

aggressive military role for the U.S. in Syria. They were the ones who led the campaign to

get the U.S. involved militarily in Libya, and they're up to the same thing in Syria.

There's other developments that are quite dangerous. The fact that the European Union

voted--well, they didn't actually vote that way, but since every country has a veto, they

were not able to vote to maintain their embargo on military aid, direct military aid to arm

the rebels. And so as of July, European Union countries will be legally allowed to send

More recently, just in the last few days, we've seen 5,000 U.S. troops, as well as a

group of Patriot missiles, sent off to Jordan on the Syrian border for a long-planned but

conveniently timed, let's say, military exercise that's involving troops from a number of countries.

But it's quite likely that at least some of those troops and all of the Patriot missiles

that are being sent will be remaining in Jordan after the two-week long exercise is over as

part of the preparation for a possible direct military intervention.

The problem here, of course, is that they're acting as if there is a military solution

in Syria when in fact there is no military solution. And the possibility of negotiations

in Geneva, something that the U.S. and Russia jointly have been working towards and calling

for, is now looking less and less likely, with moves towards escalating the arms sales

Russia is of course saying that it is going ahead with sending the S-300 antiaircraft

missiles to Syria, although it's clear that the fact that they have not sent them yet--they

are saying that it will be September or so before they are sent; it will be another several

months before Syrians are fully trained in how to use them. In that context, it means

that the Russians are not rushing ahead to continue arming and to escalate their arming

of the Syrian government. That's a moment when the U.S. could move to escalate the diplomacy

instead of escalating the militarization. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like that's

the position of the Obama administration right now.

NOOR: So, Phyllis, if E.U. countries, the United States, and Russia are all to send

weapons to Syria in the next few months, what might the situation on the ground look there?

Already you're seeing reports daily of dozens of people killed. Could it get any worse?

BENNIS: It can absolutely get worse. And it probably will, unfortunately. The reality

is that civil wars--and this is partly a civil war. It's also now a proxy war. There's actually

five separate wars being waged in Syria. But part of it is a civil war. Civil wars, if

one side doesn't qualitatively destroy the other, end with negotiated settlements. The

question is: do those negotiations begin now, or do we wait until there's another 70,000

or 80,000 or 100,000 Syrian casualties before going ahead with negotiations?

The idea that the U.S. can make things better by sending more arms to this unaccountable,

divided, and not particularly competent set of rebel forces when they have essentially

wiped out the voices of the original indigenous Syrian opposition, those who started the uprising

against a terribly repressive regime but who said from the beginning they don't want this

to be an armed struggle, they don't want U.S. or any foreign intervention militarily. Those

people, those voices have largely been sidelined by the noise of the military battle. But the

idea that somehow there is going to be a definitive victory for the rebels against a far better

armed army of the Syrian regime is simply wishful thinking. It's just not going to work

The lesson of Libya, which is probably the closest immediate precedent to this, is that

the situation in Libya right now is a disaster. The newly opened porous borders of Libya have

seen massive numbers of fighters on all sides of all kinds of militias, and especially of

weapons, throughout Mali, Niger, Algeria. The entire swath of the Sahel in northwest

Africa is at risk now as a result of the US-NATO intervention and the overthrow of Gaddafi

in Libya. That's the best that they can hope for, that it will be that kind of chaos. And

that's in a scenario where the actual fighting and the forces involved were internal to Libya.

What we now have is major engagement from Saudi Arabia and Qatar supporting opposing

sides of the Islamist opposition, the British and the French saying they plan to arm and

the U.S. saying maybe will arm the supposedly secular opposition, who are by far not the

good fighters. The good fighters are the various Islamist forces.

So this is a war that has already spilled over its borders. You're seeing massive destabilization

in Lebanon, in Jordan, refugee crises in those two countries, as well as in Turkey and the

entire area surrounding Syria. So this is already a regional and indeed a global crisis.

Further escalation of the military fighting is certainly not going to make it any better.

NOOR: So, Phyllis, we see members of the Democrat and Republican Party beating the drums for

war and intervention in Syria. The Obama administration says they've ruled out boots on the ground

in Syria. But what role can grassroots activists play in helping promote a diplomatic solution?

BENNIS: I think the key thing is to keep focusing on the fact that already about 68 percent

or more of the American people are saying no to military intervention. There's a recognition

that this is not going to make us any safer the world and it's not going to make any Syrians

any safer in the world. This is a political move. It's not one that has the support of

What we need is real diplomacy. We need a new foreign policy that is not based on military

intervention and arming either governments or militias as a way of maintaining U.S. power.

The danger we have right now is that U.S. power in the diplomatic arena, in the political

arena, even in the economic arena is on the decline in the Middle East. U.S. influence

is on the decline in the Middle East. The only arena of power in which the U.S. is by

far the only--the unchallengeable superpower is in the military arena. And so the danger

is that's what they're going to use. It's the old hammer and nail argument. If you're

a hammer, everything looks like a nail. If all of your instruments except the military

have defunded and as a result have collapsed, you're going to think that every problem needs

a military solution. The problem is thinking that doesn't make it so.

We need to demand an end to the militarization, working closely with Russia to make sure that

Russia does the same thing, stops arming the regime, and make sure that the U.S. position

of the moment, which is that Iran is not allowed to participate, that that decision is changed,

because if Iran is excluded, it means that you're guaranteeing that any diplomatic solution

reached won't work, because Iran will not have skin in the game. They will not have

any reason to abide by a decision that they were not allowed to participate in.

So I think that we need to keep the focus on demanding a diplomatic rather than a military

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米国がシリアの反乱軍を武装させることで、すでに血みどろの対立に拍車がかかりそうだ。 (US Arming Syrian Rebels Likely to Inflame Already Bloody Conflict)

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