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  • We want to thank Google's Science Journal App for supporting PBS Digital Studios.

  • Imagine you had a time machine and with the press of a button you could transport yourself

  • to your own 75th birthday.

  • Assuming you're still around, what do you hope to find yourself doing?

  • Writing your memoirs?

  • Sailing around the world?

  • Partying in San Junipero?

  • Very few of us would answercleaning toilets at a fast-food joint,” orbegging for

  • change on the street.”

  • No one wants their story to end that way, yet shockingly few of us are taking the basic

  • steps to avoid it.

  • The simple fact is that if we're lucky to live

  • long enough, one day we will lose our desire (or physical ability) to keep earning a paycheck.

  • The older we get, the harder it becomes to maintain a rigid work schedule.

  • And as modern medicine allows us to live longer and longer, the time we expect to spend in

  • retirement might easily pass 30 years.

  • Think of that for a second.

  • 30 years without income.

  • Nervous yet?

  • Good.

  • So how much would you need to not spend those years in abject poverty.

  • Well, that depends on your personal needs, standard of living, health issues, etc., but

  • as a starting point, the AARP recommends that to replace a $40,000 per year income for 30

  • years, you'll need to start your retirement with--take a deep breath--$1.18 million.

  • If that number makes you feel a little dizzywell, you're not alone.

  • In one survey, Americans between 55 and 64 reported a median retirement savings of $120,000--only

  • 10% of the amount advised by the AARP!

  • Another survey found that 75% of Americans over 40 are behind saving for retirement and

  • 28% over 55 have no retirement savings at all!

  • There are many factors that contributed to this problem.

  • For one thing, wage growth declined in the 70s and 80s.

  • It picked back up in the 90s, but then the housing boom convinced a lot of Americans

  • to go into debt to buy overpriced homes, and, well, we know how that turned out.

  • We've also seen an increase in cultural pressure to showvisual displays of wealth.”

  • A study published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics suggests that Americans are uniquely

  • concerned about seeming poor to others, so they spend a disproportionate amount on things

  • like shoes, clothes and cars.

  • It's been great business for designer labels and advertisers--not so much for our savings

  • accounts.

  • Lastly, changes in government policies have made it easier to not save money.

  • In the past, employees were automatically enrolled indefined benefit planswith

  • pre-set funding amounts to match their retirement needs.

  • Today's workers have toopt into retirement plans like 401(k)s, and figure

  • out for themselves how much to set aside.

  • Furthermore, these plans are oftenleaky,” meaning you're allowed to remove funds prematurely,

  • which makes it easy to steal from your own retirement.

  • Does all this mean that saving for retirement is hopeless and you should just blow your

  • extra dough leasing a sports car?

  • No!

  • It's still very possible to save up large amounts of money on a modest income.

  • The three special ingredients are Good Markets, Compound Interest, and Time.

  • To show you how these elements work together, it's time to

  • RUN THE NUMBERS!

  • Betty is 30 years old and makes $50,000/yr.

  • She hasn't saved a dime for retirement yet, but this year she's decided to start.

  • Between the amount she is going to save into her Roth IRA, her 401(k) at work, and her

  • 401(k) match, she's putting away $625 a month, or $7,500 a year, That's 15% of her

  • income--which many experts recommend as a good savings target.

  • At this rate, by the time she's 65, Betty will have personally deposited $262,500 into

  • her retirement account.

  • Impressive, but still a long way from the million dollars plus she'll need to retire.

  • But now we add our special ingredients!

  • Over the last 90 years, the stock market has grown an average of 9.8% per year.

  • But let's assume a little less than thatsay, 7.5% If Betty can put together a decent

  • portfolio, she can expect her savings to grow by an average of 7.5% per year.

  • And as long as Betty doesn't touch that account, the dividends and interest she earns

  • will generate even more dividends and interest!

  • And over time, her savings doesn't just increase in a straight lineit increases

  • exponentially!

  • Now, by the time she's 65, that $262,500 of her original money has ballooned to $1,277,158.92.

  • Nice job Betty!

  • A couple things to keep in mind with this scenario.

  • It's very likely that goods and services will cost more in the future due to inflation.

  • However, it's also very likely that a 30 year old like Betty will see her salary increase

  • as she gains more experience and skill.

  • If she sticks to that same 15% of her salary, she can expect to have even more set aside

  • for retirement.

  • What if you're older than Betty and getting a late start?

  • Well, that may mean that you need to set aside more of your paycheck, say 20 or 25 percent.

  • Or you may have to wait until your 70s to retire.

  • Either of these options is better than doing nothing or counting on winning the lottery.

  • There are many other factors that can change your specific situation.

  • Inheritances, social security, pensions, medical conditions.

  • If you're not sure where to begin, you can seek out the help of a financial planner who

  • is a sworn fiduciary.

  • They can outline a plan that fits your needs and show you that preparing for retirement

  • is not as intimidating as you may think.

  • You don't have to be into shuffleboard or bird-watching to expect a little time off

  • in your golden years.

  • And some people want to work as long as they can.

  • But everyone wants the power to decide that for themselves, especially after a lifetime

  • of hard work.

  • Of course, if you do manage to get access to a time machine, you can always fall back

  • on the oldSports Almanac Retirement Plan.”

  • And that's our two cents!

  • Thanks to Google for supporting PBS Digital Studios.

  • Their mobile app, Science Journal lets you take notes and measure scientific phenomena such as

  • light, sound, and motion, using your phone, tablet or Chromebook.

  • You can find activity ideas and additional information on their website at g.co/sciencejournal

We want to thank Google's Science Journal App for supporting PBS Digital Studios.

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B1 中級

引退は可能なのか? (Is Retirement Even POSSIBLE?)

  • 14 1
    Capalu に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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