big house.

We share one hydrosphere, one atmosphere…

You get the idea.

But the flip side of finding this connection was learning about various kinds of environmental

collapse, already in motion.

We share one fragile house.

We've said that sciences generally move from understanding natural phenomena to controlling

them.

Today, we'll examine scientific efforts to control the whole world, AKA capital-N

Nature.

Some have saved lives—but there are also downsides, frequently devastating.

[Intro Music Plays]

During the Cold War, attempts to control Nature by technological means involved both Soviet

and American plans for weather control

—in part because each side worried that the other would figure it out first.

Spoiler Alert: neither did.

The U.S. conducted one secret rainmaking project, Operation Popeye, during the Vietnam War.

They ineffectively tried to make the monsoon season last longer in Southeast Asia, hampering

the North Vietnamese army's movements by deteriorating roads and bridges through flooding.

That's James Bond villain stuff!

The U.S. also carried out an operation at home called Project Stormfury from 1962 to

1983,

seeding dangerous tropical storms with silver iodide in order to freeze some of the water

in them and slow them down, making them less dangerous.

This didn't work well in practice, but the experimental flights were valuable to meteorology.

Other grand-scale engineering projects focused on power and agriculture.

These included many irrigation canals and gigantic dams, like the Aswan High Dam in

Egypt, built between 1960 and 1970.

These projects allowed people in dry regions or ones subject to seasonal flooding to have

more control over when they planted, and to grow more harvests per year.

In the United States, the Reclamation Service, later the Bureau of Reclamation, worked starting

in 1902 to irrigate the Western plains.

Today, that Bureau is the largest wholesaler of water in the U.S.

Overall, across industrial societies, agriculture changed a lot as engineers developed machines

like tractors,

chemists created new fertilizers and pesticides, and plant geneticists bred hybrid seeds.

Plants need the nutrient nitrogen to grow.

But plants can't “fix” their own nitrogen from air, so they need bacteria, or human-made

fertilizers like ammonia, to do it for them.

And in the early 1900s, German chemists Fritz Haber and Carl Bosch developed a way to take

nitrogen right from the air!

This seemed like a big win.

Any industrial society could use the Haber–Bosch process for synthetic nitrogen fixation to

make millions of tons of fertilizer and grow more crops.

And synthetic ammonia from the process was also used to make nitric acid, which was necessary

to make explosives.

So again, war and professional science were tightly linked.

But the bigger problems, long term, were environmental.

The Haber–Bosch process requires fossil fuels like oil or natural gas to work.

Which seemed fine: industrialists didn't know that burning these fuels would disrupt

the earth's climate cycles.

A more obvious problem is runoff: to make plants take up lots of nitrogen, industrial

farming treats them with more fertilizer than they need.

Rain washes the leftover fertilizer into waterways, leading to eutrophication, or too many nutrients

in the water.

This leads to a build-up of algae, which use up the oxygen in the water, making it deadly

for fish.

Another seemingly big win with unintended consequences was an improvement in staple

crops.

In the 1930s, after decades of research, agricultural scientists in the U.S. rolled out hybrid crop

varieties.

These crosses of “pure” strains produced much higher yields.

But farmers started using only these seeds.

Commercial fields became monoculture, or “one-plant.”

This means fewer plants are commercially available today.

And pests can more easily wipe out any one plant.

This is the opposite of growing many plants together, or polyculture, which can help restore

nutrients to soil without synthetic chemicals.

So on the one hand, synthetic fertilizers and hybrid crops seemed like easy wins.

On the other hand, there were negative long-term consequences.

On the, uh, third hand, even these advancements didn't prevent environmental problems and

growing fears that agricultural innovation just couldn't keep up with rapid population

growth.

For example, part of the U.S. experienced severe droughts in the 1930s and was farmed

in unsustainable ways.

This led to massive dust storms, collectively called the Dust Bowl, which forced many farmers

to abandon their farms—during the Great Depression.

And this was the United States!

Most of the world's farmers remained smallholders:

they worked plots of land smaller than ten hectares, largely without industrial machines.

Populations were growing, but storms and wars threatened to lead to famines.

So many scientists, taking a note from that crotchety preacher who inspired Darwin, Thomas

Malthus, wrote pessimistically about humanity's future.

Probably the most famous of these “neo-Malthusian” thinkers was American biologist Paul Ehrlich,

whose 1968 bestseller, The Population Bomb, predicted that famines would soon kill millions

of people, especially in India.

Which didn't happen…

Arguably the biggest example of humans controlling our environment was the Green Revolution in

the 1950s and 60s,

when crop yields went up for farmers in less industrialized countries—way up.

In one sense, it's a simple story of science, applied: scientists from rich countries offered

new techniques built on hybrid seeds.

In another sense, it's science in the service of politics.

This revolution was organized by International Agricultural Research Centers,

or IARCs, which were funded by federal grants from developed and developing countries, and

by private foundations like Rockefeller and Ford.

The IARCs believed that the best way to improve yields was through smart breeding.

They wanted to focus on breeding plants resistant to pests in specific areas.

And simultaneously, to make these plants take up more nitrogen and grow more edible material.

Lots of people were involved in this work, particularly in the U.S., Mexico, and India.

But people love heroes!

So Green Revolution stories often focus on American agronomist and plant geneticist Norman

Borlaug—who was, to be fair, an awesome scientist.

Introduce us, ThoughtBubble.

Borlaug joined the Rockefeller Foundation's group in Mexico in 1944.

He had never worked on wheat, maize, or beans before.

Aaand he didn't speak Spanish.

But, he eventually learned it and stayed ins He developed a hybrid wheat that withstands

a common fungus called rust blight.

How?

Lots of painstaking research into plant genetics, courtesy other geneticists, and lots of field

trials:

Borlaug took Norin 10—a wheat bred by Japanese scientist Gonjiro Inazuka

that was short but produced lots of food, if given lots of nitrogen and defended with

chemical pesticides—

and bred a semi-dwarf wheat specifically for Mexican climates.

Starting around 1950, Mexican agriculture shifted toward high-yielding varieties of

wheat, synthetic nitrogen, and pesticides.

And this revolution in farming soon spread to Colombia, Chile, and India.

The Ford Foundation pushed the Indian government to adopt the same changes.

So Indian scientists worked with Mexican scientists, and hybrid semi-dwarf Mexican wheat seeds

were shipped to India in time for the 1963 planting season.

This lead to astounding growths in yield.

Also in the 1960s, an international team of scientists and farmers worked to develop a

new variety of high-yielding semi-dwarf rice called IR8—

sometimes called “miracle rice.”

In 1971, the Rockefeller and Ford Foundations created the Consultative Group on International

Agricultural Research to further extend the IARC research.

Borlaug won the Nobel in 1970.

Buuut… no Mexican, Indian, or Japanese scientists shared the prize.

Thanks, ThoughtBubble.

Meanwhile, with minimal support from the Soviet Union, the Maoist Chinese state fostered its

own scientific farming

—including a system of experimental agricultural stations and hybrid sorghum and hybrid rice

varieties.

Agriculturally, the Green Revolution was an immediate success.

Thousands of tons of seeds moved from Mexico to India.

Food prices dropped.

India became a rice exporter and currently overproduces wheat.

But in the longer-term, the Green Revolution meant that way more farmers started practicing

monoculture, essentially betting their chips on a small number of hybrid crops.

Thousands of traditional varieties are no longer cultivated.

Only four crops—wheat, maize, rice, and soy—provide more than half of our food today.

Socially, industrial farming requires investing in expensive equipment and hybrid seeds,

which aren't produced by the previous year's harvest.

This changed the business cycles of farmers.

Zooming out, the Green Revolution changed what defines a “modern” society:

it now meant using synthetic nitrogen, pesticides, and tractors on large monoculture farms.

The idea of the Revolution had been to end hunger, and it probably prevented millions

from starvation.

But famine has always been linked to distribution, or the political

-economic process of moving food around, not only how much food is produced.

And the Green Revolution was also always about the United States flexing its scientific muscle

around the world,

buying allies with bread—including India, the world's largest democracy.

AKA soft power!

Meanwhile, also in the 1950s and 60s, synthetic pesticides were used to control bugs that

spread human illnesses.

The most famous was dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane—DDT

— that was sprayed on fields, urban green spaces,

right on little kids—pretty much everywhere.

It had seemingly miraculously dropped mosquito populations during World War II, helping fight

the spread of malaria and typhus.

Only it turned out that DDT, while not immediately toxic to humans, was toxic to lots of other

living things, like birds and fish.

And it wasn't good for humans in the long-run, either.

After years of careful research—all of which angered scientists working for the chemical

industry

—American biologist and pioneering environmentalist Rachel Carson wrote a series of articles that

became the book Silent Spring in 1962.

She explained in simple, beautiful language how some kinds of synthetic pesticides work,

and why they are often a terrible idea.

With this book, along with her other books, numerous op-eds, and appearances, Carson helped

spark the modern environmentalism movement in the United States.

In addition to long-term effects, pesticides have also been involved in acute disasters.

In 1984, a Union Carbide India chemical plant in the city of Bhopal had a serious accident.

This plant produced the insecticide Sevin, using a highly toxic chemical called methyl

isocyanate gas.

The accident released thirty two tons of methyl isocyanate…

Half a million people were exposed.

Four thousand people died immediately; twenty five hundred died that year.

Bhopal is widely regarded as the worst industrial disaster in history

Only two years later, in 1986, a nuclear reactor in Chernobyl melted down.

Clouds of radioactive material billowed across Europe, and then the world.

Conflicting, politically inflected epidemiological studies put the long-term casualties from

cancer due to Chernobyl

at anywhere between ten thousand and hundreds of thousands.

So… controlling nature has not been a slam-dunk for humankind.

And most of “humankind” had no say in these projects!

The effects, good or bad, just happened to them.

And this is still the case.

In fact, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warns that global food supplies are

in danger,

because staple crops like rice, wheat, and corn are now facing a slowdown in the rate

at which their yields go up.

Meaning, back to Malthus, we might soon have more hungry mouths than food, even if agronomists

keep making incremental gains.

So some serious scientists are returning to the idea of controlling the climate!

In 2006, Nobel-winning atmospheric scientist Paul Crutzen called for humanity to use geoengineering,

the modification of the climate, to keep our world habitable.

Next time—we'll look at control over living things at a different scale:

it's the characterization of DNA and the birth of biotechnology.

Crash Course History of Science is filmed in the Dr. Cheryl C. Kinney studio in Missoula,

Montana and it's made with the help of all this nice people and our animation team is

Thought Cafe.

Crash Course is a Complexly production.

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