コロナウイルス。ボリス・ジョンソンは「抜本的な行動」を設定していますか？BBCニュース - BBC (Coronavirus: Boris Johnson sets out "drastic action" ? @BBC News - BBC)

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a CZ, we said last week.
Our objective is to delay on flat on the peak of the epidemic by bringing forward the right measures at the right time, said that we minimize suffering and save life, and everything we do is based scrupulously on the best scientific advice.
Last week we asked everyone to stay at home if you had one of two key symptoms.
High temperature, a new and continuous cough.
Today we need to go further because, according to Sage, uh, the Scientific Advisory Committee on Emergencies, it looks as though we're now approaching the fast growth part of the upward curve on DDE.
Without drastic action, Casey's could double every five or six days.
So first we need to ask you to ensure that if you anyone in your household has one of those two symptoms, then you should stay at home for 14 days.
That means that if possible, you should not go out even to buy food or essentials other than for exercise and in that case, at a safe distance from others.
If necessary, you should ask for help from others for your daily necessities, and if that is not possible, then you should do what you can to limit your social contact when you leave the house to get supplies and even if you don't have symptoms and if no one in your household has symptoms, there is more that we need you to do now.
So second, now is the time for everyone to stop non essential contact with others and to stop all unnecessary travel.
We need people to start working from home where they possibly can and you should avoid pubs, clubs, theaters on dhe, other such social venues.
Goes that saying Repeat the message.
We should all only use the N hs when we really need to.
Aunt, please go online rather than ringing in hs 111 Now this advice about avoiding all are necessary.
Social contact is particularly important for people over 70 for pregnant women and for those with health conditions with some health conditions on DDE.
If you ask why we doing this now, why now one earlier rule or later?
Why bring in this very draconian measure?
The answer is that we are asking people to do something that is difficult and disruptive of their lives and the right moment as we've always said is to do it when it is most effective, when we think it could make the biggest difference to slowing the spread of the disease, reducing the number of victims, reducing the number of fatalities.
Ondas.
We take these steps, we should be focusing on the most vulnerable to third in a few days time.
By this coming weekend, it will be necessary to go further and to ensure that those with the most serious health conditions are largely shielded from contact from social contact for around 12 weeks.
Andi again, the reason for doing this in the next few days, rather earlier or later, is that this is going to be very disruptive for people who have such conditions difficult for them.
But I believe it's now necessary and we want to ensure that this period of shielding this period of maximum protection coincides with the peak of the disease.
And it's not clear that the peak of the epidemic is coming faster in some parts of the country than in others, and it looks as though London is now a few weeks ahead.
So to relieve the pressure on the London health system and to slow the spread in London.
It's important that Londoners now pay special attention to what we're saying about avoiding non essential contact and to take particularly seriously the advice about working from home Onda voiding confined spaces such as pubs on Dhe restaurants.
No.
Lastly, it remains true, as we said in the last few weeks, that risks of transmission of the disease at mass gatherings.
Such a sporting events are relatively low.
But obviously logically, we advise against unnecessary social contact of all kinds.
It's right that we should extend that advice to mass gatherings as well.
And so we've also got to ensure that we have the critical workers we need that might otherwise be deployed of those gatherings to deal with this emergency.
So so from tomorrow, we will no longer be a supporting mass gatherings with emergency workers in the way that we normally do So.
Mass gatherings were now moving emphatically away from, and I know that many people, including mil millions off fit on active people over 70 may feel listening to what I've just said that there is something excessive about these measures, but I have to say I believe they are overwhelmingly worth it.
Two slow the spread of the disease to reduce the peak.
To save life, minimize suffering and to give our n hs the chance to cope.
Over the last few days, I've bean comparing notes and talking to leaders around the world.
And I can tell you that the U.
K.
Is now leading a growing global campaign amongst all our friends and allies with her in the G seven, g 20 u.
N the IMF.
All those bodies in which we play a significant role were leading a campaign to fight back against this disease to keep the economy growing, to make sure that humanity has access to the drugs on the treatments that we will need.
And the U.
K is also at the front of the effort toe back business to back our economy to make sure that we get through it.
I know that we are today asking a lot of everybody's is far more now than just washing your hands, though they're clearly washing your hands remains important.
But I can tell you that across this country, people on businesses, in my experience, are responding with amazing energy on creativity to the challenge that we face on.
I want to thank everybody for the part that you are playing on that you're gonna play.
Our chief scientific adviser will now update us on where we are ever to you.
Patrick.
So we've looked along its age, measures to conceive lives and protect people the objectives.
As I laid out last time, auto really suppressed the curve in order to keep it below N hs capacity so that the N H s can cope and to shield the vulnerable and those most likely to get severe disease so that we protect them across this period.
Most people it's worth reminding us have a mild disease, but some do not.
This is a very fast moving situation.
The latest numbers that we reviewed it sage suggests that we're entering a fast growth period or on the cusp of doing so on London is ahead of other parts of the country with the outset laid out a plan on advised that we would implement it, the measures at the right stage and in the right combination, the right combination to ensure that we get the biggest impact.
Unfortunately, that time is now for many of these measures what we're doing is implementing them, actually at a stage off the epidemic, which is a little bit earlier than has been done in some other countries.
Given where we are in terms of the epidemic now, the measures have to objectives.
One is to delay the transmission of this virus across the community.
On the second is to keep people safe.
The measures, as the prime minister's outlined, include whole household isolation.
So if one person gets the symptoms off new, persistent cough or fever, the whole household stays isolated for 14 days.
The reason it's 14 days is the seven days for the person who's got the infection, the incubation period that others may catch it on the seven days after that.
We're also recommending increased social distancing.
That's the phrase that you hear, which means trying to reduce contact between people again to try to delay this transmission.
That means where businesses conduce Oh, it and where individuals could do it.
Home working is recommended.
Unnecessary travel should be reduced and stop avoiding gatherings and crowded places is important on those gatherings.
Big or small, are important so that you get the whole thing together.
It's not just the size of a gathering is actually a ll gatherings which become important on reducing social contacts.
There are specific measures for the vulnerable groups, the people who are most likely to get serious illness with this infection.
And Chris was he will say more about that.
Those measures would need to go on for 12 weeks or so across this period, maybe a little longer.
These measures, like case isolation.
But we talked about last week staying at home.
If you've got the symptoms, these new measures have a big effect.
This is not a series of small interventions.
You would anticipate that this could have a dramatic effect to reduce the peak and to reduce death rate.
They are not easy, but they are important and they will have the effect if we all do it.
This is a matter for us to take accountability, to make sure we help each other, protect ourselves and protect the N H.
S.
It is also possible, as laid out in the plan, that other measures may be necessary, including at some point.
As we've said, it may be necessary to think about things like school closures, but those things again need to be done at the right time.
In the right way.
At the right stage of the outbreak, I'll hand over to Chris.
Thank you.
I'm just gonna have a few comments additionally from a medical point of view.
But I'm not gonna repeat points that already be made on.
The first thing is to make an obvious point that this is now a very global disease.
And the way you deal with global pandemics is different in public terms, health terms than the way you would deal with a localized outbreak where you were the first country or a very significant region that is, has got it.
And the second point is the obvious point again that in this country this disease is now accelerating up the curve.
But it is still at a low level.
But he will accelerate up now, really, quite rapidly now.
We obviously need to do things that are both effective.
And all the measures that are here have bean gone over by several large numbers of scientists in different ways.
Looking at mathematical models, behavioral sciences, many other forms of science to find the things which are the most effective.
But They also have to be sustainable because this is going to go on for some time.
And I think we should not be under any illusions that if we just do this for a couple of weeks, that is sufficient.
This is going to have to be a prolonged period now for any individual person.
This let me start off with the most cheery point about this.
For any individual person, the chances of dying from Corona virus are actually very lucky.
Some people will not get the infection, and many of the measures were doing at the moment will help with that.
Some people will get it and we'll have no symptoms at all.
They won't even realize they've had it off.
Those who do have symptoms, the majority will have either a miles disease or a moderate disease, meaning they can easily manage it at home without having to go to the N HS directly or indirectly in any other way.
But obviously a small minority but a significant one get significant disease requiring hospital care.
A small proportion of those will go on to need intensive care on.
Sadly, some people will go on to die as we've discussed before.
The overall mortality rate looks as if it's a bit less than 1% on current data, but that's without knowing how many people get the disease a symptomatically, but we know some people get it now.
We also know that older people are at greater risk, and that is widely known.
But it is important, I think, distress, that being old's does not necessarily mean you'll get it worse.
And actually, there was a rather nice article by my minister, Nadine Doris, who actually explained when she had Corona virus.
Her mother, who caught it from her, had it more mildly s.
Oh, it's not a necessary fact that older people will necessarily have it worse.
So you might say why, with a disease where we have such small numbers of the moment on which the great majority people are going to recover from and most of them will have a mild or non non notice your disease would we want to do anything at all, and the reason is this acceleration on our overall aim and our single aim is to reduce death rates on the numbers of people who might die as a result, of this, but I think it's important to recognize, and this is the reason I'm explaining.
This is so people understand the logic of what we're doing, that there are broadly three groups of death deaths and other impacts on health we need to consider.
They're the direct deaths which have caused by the Corona virus disease itself with good medical care.
Tragically, a few people, the great majority of them in less good health but not necessarily all will pass away.
There are, however, on this is really important a significant number of other deaths which, if the n hs became overwhelmed in any of the four nations.
If the intensive cares got care, unit's got to the point when they were overwhelmed, then people were dying from indirect deaths because they did not have the ability to get medical cat.
And a lot of what we're trying to do is trying to reduce the chance that those indirect deaths might occur.
And then the third possibility and it is an important one for us to consider is that some of the measures were doing one undoubtedly or could have negative impacts on people's health it themselves.
So there are negative effects of what we do to try and combat corona virus.
One of the reasons we're very keen not to go in advance off need was because of those negative facts.
And I've come on to one of the nature of I just to explain where the different things fall into this.
The very profound changes in terms of social distancing that the prime Minister laid out, which are going to be very difficult for people to maintain over a long period of time on will have very significant social effects.
Do you have the capacity significantly to pull down the peak off this infection wave on, therefore, make it easier for the N hs on particularly the ventilation support to be able to cope with the wave that is heading its way.
So that is really critical.
People who do this, who restricts their social gathering are doing things to protect the N hs to allow people allow the N hs to treat both people with Corona virus on people who have other things as well.
It is overall effect on the N.
H s.
This is the second group of things which the prime minister is laid out are those things that we want the quite large group of people who either are over 70 possibly quite healthy or very healthy, over 70 but over 70 or who are younger than 70 but have a significant health condition and this is mainly in adults.
We want them to take even greater care because this is in addition to making sure that they don't end up helping fuel the epidemic themselves.
It means they do not have to go to hospital, which is good for the N hs.
But most importantly, it reduces the risk that they will catch the virus particular to time when the notices under strain.
This is absolutely critical on the regained the group of people who were wanted to take this advice particularly seriously.
Older people above 70 people who are in adult life would normally be advised toe have the flu vaccination.
So these are people with chronic diseases such as chronic heart disease or chronic kidney disease, on also as a precautionary measure.
Because we're early in our understanding of this virus on, we want to be sure women who are pregnant and those three groups are the groups we want to take particular care to minimize their social contact, which will, of course, will have very significant risks for them.
And later on, we will be giving a very shortly a much more specific list of an even smaller group of people who have very profound health problems.
They'll know they got very profound health problems, for example, people who might have advanced myeloma or leukemia things that significantly affect their immune system them.
The final bits that is being talked about today is in addition to what we've previously talked about is the 14 days stay at home?
If one person in the in the household has symptoms, the whole household stays at home now.
There has to be some common sense around this.
If there's a very vulnerable person in the household, for example, will need, people will need to take that into account.
We'll need to think people need to think through the practicalities off their own position.
But the reason for this is because they are helping to stop it be transmitted onto the rest off the community and these people that the trouble is if you actually are in a household with someone who's got carnivorous.
There is a reason we high chance you will be infected and we'll go on to get this.
So this isn't a sense some things people are doing to help protect the rest off society.
We do want to stress that the great majority of these people will have mild or moderate disease.
They don't need to contact the n HS they can get they can use.
And in the N.
H s online service is very extensive information there.
We really would encourage them not if they have mild or moderate disease to phone 111 because the service we need thio protect for those who are are in greatest need, but really important to stress.
If anybody's health starts to deteriorate significantly, then they should phone 111 or contact the health service is in the way they usually would.
So this is it.
People deteriorate.
We want to make it clear they should then do so.
Finally, I just want to make a point on behalf off my other See Eno's for all four nations.
We are enormously proud of what our colleagues in the N.
H s and public health have done so far to delay this on Dhe Thio Do so in a Safeway and enormous amount of work has gone on to do that.
The next few weeks and months are going to be extraordinarily difficult for the N hs in all four nations.
We know that our colleagues will rise to this challenge, but we know it is going to be very hard indeed.
But we have enormous faith.
Thank you very much.
Well, thank you very much, Chris.
I want to thank both Chris and Patrick immensely for all their work that they've been doing it over the last few weeks and months on dhe.
I know it's a big imposition, but we're gonna want we're gonna be making sure that we give daily updates to you.
Well, I do think that would be that would be valuable so that we could have a Zeiss every living here as much transparency as possible.
Really?
Try and show are working and are thinking clearly as possible to the British public questions.
Now, please, a biggie.
Young BBC Prime Minister, Looking at these measures Can I ask you about enforcement?
Are you closing theatres, pubs, restaurants down as off today on a particular question, which we've heard at the BBC.
Lots of questions about care, homes.
Are you going to stop visitors going into care homes?
Lots of people very concerned about that.
And then on a more scientific question about testing, the director general off the World Health Organization has just said a clear message to countries to test test test.
You cannot fight a fire blindfolded test every suspected case.
Lots of people wondering how you contract the pandemic in this country if you don't know who's got it.
Yes, sir.
Thanks.
Viki willing?
Absolutely.
What we're doing is giving very strong advice that public venues such as theaters should know no good be visited.
The the proprietors of those venues are taking the logical steps that you'd imagine you're seeing the change happen already.
A CZ for enforcement.
We have the powers if necessary, but I don't believe that it will be necessary to use those powers when it comes to care.
Homes and visitors, toe care homes, You can take it from what we've just said about avoiding all are necessary contact for those particular groups, you know, really strong advice ever giving people to avoid unnecessary contact with three over seventies.
Those with particular health conditions.
Absolutely.
We don't want to see people unnecessarily visiting cams.
10 years on the testing.
Of course, we completely agree with the Secretary General that testing is absolutely critical on within the UK We have three levels of testing at the moment we have testing in intensive care systems, which is across the whole system is a complete surveillance system.
We have testing in hospitals for people who got pneumonia, people got milder disease and we have the GP network, which is testing in the community.
Um, the one thing which we did stop doing was testing based on geography, which was early on, because at this stage, geography is much less important in the disease.
Now we do intend to continue to scale up testing, but I think it's important to realize the scale off UK testing which has bean substantial on just to give Justin numbers on that over 44,000 tests conducted off which 40 over towards 2001 negative on, we will continue to scale up the testing every single week from here on in moving out into the wider community.
The test we have at the moment.
Only tests for people who currently got disease.
The thing which would be transformational would be a test to reliably tell us if someone has previously had disease.
So we can pick up on, find out what proportion of people get this infection without any symptoms.
Currently, such a test is not reliable, but it's being developed very rapidly.
But the public Health England.
Thanks, Beth.
Read the sky news.
Thank you, Prime Minister, This'd is quite a big step change from where we were even four days ago.
But in other Western European countries in the U.
S.
That going further still there states of emergency cities enforced locked down families being asked to stay at home even if they are not ill.
Schools closed.
Are these all sorts of measures you think the public should expect in the next few days?
And if I may?
Sir Patrick, question for you Use talked about London.
When do you think London will hit the peak?
What's the time frame on in terms of cases off Corona virus across the country.
Now, last week you said up to 10,000 people last Thursday.
How many people now do you think her carrying the virus?
Thank you.
Well, Beth, just on where we are in relation to two others.
Don't forget that other countries are in different stages in their movement.
Up the up the curve.
And we've always made it very clear that the crucial thing is timeliness are our interventions should be should be timely to have the maximum effect.
And we think this is the right package for this particular moment.
We start to move up the curve in the way that we've we've said a Sze wee foreshadowed over the last over the last couple of weeks.
But when you when you come to more extreme measures like, you know, curfews and so on and so forth, you're seeing some of the other countries we're keeping all measures under review, and particularly obviously, people will be thinking about about school closures.
There is an argument about about school closures.
We think at the moment.
On balance, it's much better if we can keep schools open for for all sorts of reasons.
But I appreciate, uh, this is again something that we need to keep under review.
In answer to the question about where is London on the P.
The important thing is that London is a head in terms of reaching that deflection point of actually going into a faster growth phase.
Clearly, the measures that have been talked about our aim to completely suppress that and therefore the peak goes much further out.
So this is a sort of slower thing with a reduced number.
That's what we're trying to achieve, um, numbers.
Well, the epidemic.
You'd expect a double every five days also, so you can work out.
You know, there are many more as from last week, Andi, you can do sort of calculations as to how many you think you may have.
The absolutely key thing to reiterate what Chris Witty has said is testing and ramping up our ability to test.
And in that new, this ability to test who has had the disease rather than who has just got it.
Now, both of those things are really important to get a proper handle on this, especially this question of how many people have had it been asymptomatic that is the biggest unknown worldwide.
That would completely change all sorts of things if we can get a handle on that number.
Thanks.
Robert Peston.
Um, a couple questions.
First, your restrictions on freedom of movement your urge two families and households to isolate these are voluntary.
They kind of courage force because they're coming from the government know in some countries they have introduced criminal's actions.
If individuals refuse to obey what is effectively a curfew, how likely is it?
How prepared are you to introduce criminal sanctions if necessary?
Um, and on this issue of testing, one issue that I hear repeatedly from people in the health service is they are deeply uncomfortable about being forced home if they've got a cough because they'd like to continue to work.
Will you at least for health service workers, move fast to allow health service workers to be tested so that they at least know whether they are a risk to their patients?
Oscar Krista deal with testing, but on powers, Actually, Robert, you may be amazing things country already has.
Government already has tremendous powers in this field.
Under an act of 1984 I think it's open to the secretary of State for help to ban handshaking if he if he wants to.
But but But I think most people would would accept that we are a mature on grown up on a liberal democracy where people understand very clearly the advice that is being given to them.
And I think they also understand that what we're saying obviously helps the n hs and helps, then helps assault a CZ individuals.
But it helps the whole community as well.
I think the bridge public Do you understand that in answer to the question on testing at the next level out once we have the capacity to do this, which is we're really going for very fast is exactly as you say, that health care and indeed other critical workers that you can actually test them very early on in their illness if they end up having actually the right symptoms.
But in a sense, the wrong disease, good disease, Not not Corona virus.
Then they will be able to get back to work, which is good for the N h s good for society.
If they have got to do, least you know they got it and they're not gonna get it again on, so that, for a positive or a negative are therefore useful for the service.
So there's a very strong incentive to get this out as fast as we can practically manage it.
Jason Groves.
Jason goes to the Daily Mail.
I mean, you just announce the most extraordinary measures saying people shouldn't go to the pub that shouldn't go to cinemas.
They shouldn't go to say it is.
What are you going to do to support those businesses which are looking at the next three months and thinking we're going to collapse if this happens?
And Sir Patrick, you told us in this room on Thursday I think we're about four weeks behind Italy.
We seem to be moving through the gates extremely rapidly now, are we?
Were you wrong about where we were on that curb last week?
Are we further up it then, than the scientists thought we were?
Well, first of all, Jason, you're absolutely right.
Thing is going to be a very considerable challenge for businesses began small on.
We're gonna make sure that we do everything we can to give them the liquidity that they need to make sure that they have the time to pay.
But also make sure the whole fiscal policy the way we the way we look ATT, our whole tax and spend system that we give business that space in which they can come back from this, in which I have no doubt at all that will be working closely with, As I said, Why don't we working closely with all our partners around the world to coordinate a response in response to question Where are we at the early stages?
An outbreak?
The numbers are quite small, so actually, the precision with which you can predict exactly where you are is low.
And I said that I thought were brats four weeks behind where it lead balls.
I think the new numbers suggest, maybe more like three weeks in terms of that on.
That's really why we and importantly, it looks like we're on the sort of fast upswing or just about to get there on.
That's the reason to want to come in quite quickly with these measures.
Thanks.
Um, George Parker, Financial Times Just park it in the FT.
Speaking to some of your G seven colleagues, Prime Minister and you just mentioned the tax and spend issue.
Do you think there's a case for a general global fiscal stimulus, leaving aside specific measures to help struggling businesses.
Second question about the ventilators, Hominy, ventilators, duty even get in hospitals very quickly.
If manufacturers help you, don't you regret not having started this process before?
First of all, on the on the fiscal stimulus, I think, is a widespread agreement amongst colleagues in the in the G seven that we are going to need to make sure everybody has access to liquidity and that if we do things jointly, then I think that the the global markets will understand that we're a lot really operating in the same sort of fiscal framework, and I think will be much more successful that way.
So there's a lot of work going on on that George on dawn, the on the issue of, uh, a ll types of medical equipment that perhaps the more what I can say is we've talked.
We've talked a lot in these discussions about what we're doing to flatten the curve, to squash the sombrero, to depress the the the graph of the growth of the cases.
And of course, that's going on.
That's what we're doing today.
But there's a parallel body of work, which is equally energetic, which is devoted to making sure that the n hs has all the equipment that it needs.
And I could tell you that huge, huge strides are being being made right now on delivering ventilators, testing kids, oxygen, everything that we think will need in the weeks ahead.
Gordon going rate.
Thank you.
Gordon.
Writer from The Telegraph promised on Sir Patrick last week.
Sir Patrick, in particular was talking about herd immunity.
We've heard today of a case in Japan where somebody has reportedly tested positive twice.
Having had it once they know about it again, does that mean that herd immunity is now completely out of the window?
Um, and, uh, Chris Witty was saying just now I think that if you test people and they have had the disease, that means they can't get it again and they could go back to work.
Are you absolutely sure about that in the light of what we've heard today from Japan?
The second.
So the first thing just to reiterate the objectives and they've always been objective is to make absolutely sure we flatten this curve, keep it below an a chest capacity limits.
That's the prime primary aim and, of course, to make sure that we save lives and protect the vulnerable.
That's what we need to focus on in any infectious disease.
There are cases where people can catch something again.
They're rare.
There's nothing to suggest that this is a common occurrence in this disease, but we are learning as we go along.
But at the moment there is nothing particularly suggest that we already know that there are some people who have had what I called neutralizing antibodies that have actually stopped.
It s so that it looks like a normal response to an infection on.
There will be occasions very rare, where somebody might get it more than once, as in any any disease, any infection disease.
So does that add to that, Mr.
Even in diseases which do not have long lasting immunity, there's usually a short period of immunity, and that's enough for a season, and it's an epidemic in the initial phases.
So I think it's important to differentiate between that long lived community.
Of course, if people don't induce very long lived immunity, that makes the idea of a vaccine less certain.
So I think we need to be aware of that and we'll be watching this very carefully.
I think the final thing is I haven't seen the details of this report.
If people have got minutes, oppression or various other things, they can make this more likely.
But it's zone involved every and it was always, always worth stressing.
What I think we said can continuously, which is our objective, are overriding objective in all cases is to reduce suffering, to minimize the incidents of this disease and to save life.
That's the That's the absolute priority.
Can I just take one of the point which is which is right the way from the beginning?
We described four things, one of which was research and research is unbelievably important in this on the UK is outstanding at clinical science on the biological sciences that underpinned this.
And so the research in the UK is going to be an important part of tackling this on parts of an important international effort to make sure we get on top of this.
Thanks, Tom.
Even done so.
Thank you, Prime Minister.
First of all, can you give the nation any form of indication how long this battle social contact will last to prepare them.
Should they prepare for a couple of weeks?
Couple months, you know, the whole year.
And secondly, terms effected economy, obviously no blame intended, but clearly this has gone far further than the chance I might have thought last week, even when he was delivering his budget, which was predestined on 1.1% growth this year.
Do you accept?
Now the economy is not going to grow by 1.1% and the chancellor is going to have to spend an awful lot more public money propping up businesses.
Yeah, I'm just on the timing.
I think I might, I might defer to.
The experts are either side of you.
But just on the on where we are with the comet, it's perfectly obvious just in the G seven conversation I was having today everybody sees that this is going.
This is going to be potentially a severe blow for the economy.
Everybody can see the the risks that this situation poses the risk to demand the risks to supply.
But if we get it right, and if we get the right response on Dhe, if we work together, then we can ensure that it is a short term problem because the fundamentals of the UK economy are very strong.
It's this is unlike 2000 and eight.
There isn't a systemic problem within the the economy if we can.
If we can get the disease under control in the way that where describing, even if we could flatten that peak, it starts eventually, too.
Decline tells off across.
Well, then, there's absolutely no reason why economies worldwide should not come roaring back.
So it's a very, very different category off a difficulty from from 2000 and eight.
I think people understand that.
But on on on time, in Chris, way stressful right from the beginning, this is gonna be a marathon, not a sprint.
And I stress that the beginning of the points I made that sustainability is absolutely critical here.
This is not a situation where a couple of weeks and this virus is on the way.
Absolutely not.
People should be thinking off a minimum of weeks, two months on, depending how it goes it maybe longer.
So I think this it is really important.
People will realize that in for the long haul on this, but this is really important were to defend the ability the N hs, to treat people.
If we're to actually minimize the mortality, we've got to see this as a long game.
Victoria Dole Powerful.
Uh, can I ask you Just a little while ago, we were told last week indeed that it was seven days isolation.
Was it that the science moved so much?
All that you made a mistake on that.
Ah, nde also, could you tell me about the advice on pregnant women?
Because we there has been there have been reports, of course, of babies that weekend being born and then testing positive.
But there have been no reports off a neutral transmission.
Shall I take the 2nd 1?
And Patrick, take a look in terms of pregnancy.
Um, there are reports off.
Well, actually, in the global lecture at this point in time, one person, he became severely ill.
But we're very, very early in what we know on this, the Royal College of Obstetrics and Gynecology, which is the professional body, reviewed the evidence It's on the Web.
A web site on DDE on it was before this case was reported, and it makes clear that in the very small number of chaos people of pregnant women who delivered at or shortly around the time they had this.
There were absolutely no complications.
But they're two butts to this.
For many infectious diseases, there is a small but appreciable additional risk.
And we will not know that until a lot more women have had Children.
We do not know for sure.
We can say reliably, this is safe or there is some additional risk And of course this is a very new virus.
So the information we have is relevant to people in the third trimester of pregnancy, but not in the earlier stages of pregnancy.
And that makes giving a long answer because this is something people get very concerned about, that there is no evidence from other Corona viruses that makes us feel this is particularly dangerous in the way that, for example, the Zika virus was particularly dangerous to pregnant women.
But infections and pregnancy are not a good combination in general, and that is why we've taken the very precautionary measure whilst we try and find out Maur to include pregnant women in the group alongside older women on people who've got preexisting, significant health conditions.
We may, in retrospect, find that was overkill.
But we'd rather be more cautionary now rather than the other way head intothe seven days.
First things really retreat.
What Chris has just said, This is a brand new disease we need to learn as we go along, and that will be part of what we do with seven days actually isn't a change, so it's a It's a little bit complicated, and I just want to explain it.
If you are ill with the symptoms of either new persistent cough or fever, you isolate yourself for seven days.
If you lived on your own, that's what you would do.
That's the advice we gave last week.
Now we're saying, if anybody in the family gets it on, even in the household gets it entire household stays together, isolated for 14 days.
The reason for that is the other people may pick it up over the seven days or five days period, and then they've got seven days to have it and get better or to be asymptomatic but have it for seven days.
So it's two different periods, but the principle is the same when you got symptoms.
You're seven days.
You got that.
It's a different individual isolation and house old vaccination.
Um, Heather, let's do it.
Have a shoot from the Guardian.
You talk that promised about giving businesses the space to deal with this crisis.
That wonder whether you think you might need to take more action to give low paid households in the space to deal with it.
You may now have a situation where couples are both having to take 14 days off work.
The budget measures relied on statue sick paper.
That's less than £100 a week.
Do you think you have to do more?
Well, we're doing.
We've certainly will be bringing forward.
Although measures that we can.
We're lifting the living wage by by a huge mountain.
As you know, we're making sure that statue, genetic paid and benefits of payable a Sooners as soon as possible.
But the general principle that's that's guiding us because you're totally right.
We're gonna have to look after people on help them for a considerable period is that nobody should be penalized for doing the right thing.
So, you know, we have very much of people listening to this will feel that they can take the measures that we've outlined in the knowledge that they will be protected.
So Dennis, starting from the Irish Times, I think Prime Minister three Irish government has introduced more aggressive measures on social distancing, including the closure of schools.
But the executive in Northern Ireland is following the same pace as the government in the rest of my kingdom.
Are you confident that the people in Northern Ireland are being protected from this virus as effectively as their neighbors in the South?
I absolutely am.
And we had a good discussion just now with with Arlene and Michelle and actually, if you look at what's happening over all the UK and are then drawn our own very much the same path.
But that's a Patrick and Kristen.
Anything you want to say about the the school's issue anymore, said no.
I think I think we've covered the school's issue and I think the key thing is the social distancing actions that were taking around bars and restaurants and theaters is on which the really important part of this, which is probably more extreme in terms of in terms of the action there but the one thing I think it is worth just adding to that.
It's just to reiterate the point that it that thankfully this forest seems to spare Children relative to other ages.
On.
We are definitely being daily contact with with our counterparts and with T shirts office.
And so to make sure we're coordinating things with much as well be reasonably can um Yes, sir.
Thank you, Prime Minister Mike, Unsettled from The Herald.
It's really important that you take the public with you or whatever you do.
But do you think the U.
K government needs to try harder to be in lock step with this Scottish shipment?
Because any perceived divergent approach or no reassure the public there's a unified approach on?
I think it was, Sir Patrick.
You said that London was ahead in the outbreak.
Do you think, Prime Minister, that West Mr can stay open until July?
Well, Michael, look, very I mean, very good point about what's going on with a ll Four Nations and actually, if you be not the Cobra just now, it was a very, very good discussion between us and all the other Devo administrations.
Everybody's on the same page when you can see the importance of the measures that we've we've outlined today on dhe on your on your point about Westminster Way will obviously be body.
To make sure that aside, I say, democracy carries on that we protect our our parliamentary institutions.
But clearly those who are vulnerable lots of members of parliament of both houses may come into that category should receive the protections that they need.
Promise I should just add that just hurt just to reassure people.
I know I speak to my counterpart chief medical officer's in all four nations very regularly, often several times a day.
They listen in on the sage discussions and contribute under Sir Patrick on a technical level, there is really, really strong determination to make sure we have a unified view and understand the technical issues together.
And, you know, just just on upon the parliamentary situation, there may be more to come on.
This the the speaker and parties and the leader last Kamen's working together toe toe find a way for that achieves that is those objectives protecting our democracy, ensuring that apartment stays open but obviously also protecting the groups we need to protect, pull poor from have post prime minister just follow up on that last point you made you suggesting that all parliamentarians, MPs and peers are over 70 should adhere to today's announcements.
I take it you are or that they're some sort of special category on dhe.
More importantly, can we be a bit more precise?
We've had a lot of vague announcements today.
I mean, you said, for example, people in Kerem should not be visited.
It should not be unnecessarily visited, What doesn't necessarily mean.
And secondly, the chief medical officer said that it may be weeks, two months that this blanket ban on unnecessary travel on non essential contact less what we mean by winks.
Two months.
And when will we know when it's over with a beauty announcement by Public Health England, which says you can all go back to work or what?
I'm gonna go in terms of your your your first question, Paul, about parliamentarians that you could take this is a universal announcement intended for everybody there.
No, no exceptions.
But Chris on the precision of the advice, for instance, people visiting care homes so in terms of precise advice, will be putting on the website a lot of precise advice.
I'm not gonna go to every single one because we could spend the rest of the evening just going through one point line by line.
But it is a really difficult area.
So let me be clear that theme, how to protect people in care, homes and nursing homes.
He's going to be one of the most challenging things for every nation on this this question because of course they are vulnerable and they do have to move in and out of health Service's from time to time.
And this is going to be a not going to be an easy issue anywhere in terms off the precision off the timing.
This will really depend on how the epidemic plays out over time.
But we're very confident that the minimum amount of time is going to be quite a number of weeks on.
It will then depend on how it plays out on.
We'll obviously be coming back to be much more precise with people about how we feel this is going as time goes by.
There's no point us in a sense, putting a crystal ball in front of us and saying for sure with this number of weeks.
But I just wanted people to feel like this is not a two weeks and we're done.
They seize a significant period of time.
Okay?
Yes, Harriet Line from the Press Association.
What are the kinds of underlying health conditions that those people who died after contracting Karina virus had?
Um, Chris?
Uh, what in every country they've tended to be in the sense what you did you'd expect as common, significant health conditions.
There's significant cardiovascular disease, significant respiratory disease.
Sometimes people have had significant neurological problems.
There are now quite quite large studies which lay this out in court in quite granular detail.
Obviously the first experience from China, where the situation is slightly different from the UK in terms of health service's and risks increasingly sadly, information from Italy.
But our own experience here, looking at those who sadly have died in this country, completely conforms with the international experience.
Uh, I'm gonna wrap it up here if I marry.
No, I'm sorry to those of you.
Haven't get your questions in a zoo.
Explain.
There will be plenty more opportunities in the course of the next few days.
Clearly, what we're announcing today is a very substantial change in the way that we want people to live their lives on dhe.
I can't remember anything like it in in my lifetime.
I don't really been anything like it in in peace time on Dhe.
We have to accept that It's a very considerable psychological behavioral change that we're asking.
You were asking the public the nation to do, but I've absolutely no doubt that we can do it that weaken together.
Everybody understands the need to do it on that.
As I said earlier on that our economy will eventually bounce back because the fundamentals are strong and we will by doing the measures that we're doing.
By taking the steps that were taking, we will ensure that we give our N hs the space it needs.
We depress the peak as I say in the way that our experts have described on dhe.
I absolutely no doubt that we will also be able in the in the time that we create to move a lot further and faster in developing the treatments, the the remedies, perhaps even in hopefully the vaccines that will enable us to deal with this new Corona virus.
So thank you all very much for your patience.
I hope everybody has felt that they understood what we're saying.
I'll see well tomorrow.
Thank you.