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  • .

  • It starts with a simple cough,

  • and before you know it,

  • millions of people are infected.

  • And it won't stop there.

  • It could keep growing

  • and growing

  • until billions of people are sick.

  • Flights are canceled,

  • cities are quarantined,

  • and hospitals are flooded with patients.

  • This is what's known as a global pandemic.

  • Could we experience something like this?

  • A worldwide pandemic like this

  • wouldn't be new to the human race.

  • It happened in 1918

  • and was known as the Spanish flu.

  • It infected about one-third

  • of the global population

  • and killed an estimated 50 million people.

  • So before we start completely freaking out

  • about the end of the world,

  • you can take a bit of comfort in knowing this

  • most likely doesn't mean the end of civilization.

  • But that doesn't mean there won't be consequences.

  • Before we get to what might happen,

  • how does a pandemic start anyway?

  • Widely spread epidemics in the past,

  • like the Spanish Flu

  • as well as SARS in 2003,

  • began with a strain of influenza,

  • or, "the flu."

  • There are two main types of influenza.

  • Type A

  • which typically comes from animals,

  • including birds, cats, pigs and horses.

  • And type B viruses

  • which are only common among humans.

  • The symptoms of a virus like this

  • are things we've all experienced

  • runny nose, fever, headache,

  • and just general cold symptoms.

  • But in other cases,

  • influenza can also result

  • in respiratory issues,

  • kidney failure

  • or even death.

  • But keep in mind those aren't guaranteed to happen.

  • A disease like this

  • could infect over 2.5 billion people.

  • Why so many?

  • The main thing about these influenza strains

  • is that they can be carried through the air.

  • If someone has it

  • and breathes in your direction,

  • you could breathe in microscopic

  • water droplets carrying the virus.

  • Or, if you touch a surface

  • that has the virus on it

  • and then touch your face,

  • you could also catch the disease.

  • You might not even feel the symptoms of influenza right away.

  • It could take a few hours

  • or even up to two weeks.

  • This means you'd be interacting with people as usual

  • and unknowingly be infecting them.

  • And today the world is a lot different

  • than it was during 1918's Spanish Flu.

  • In addition to the world's population being much higher,

  • we also live very differently.

  • Cities are much more dense,

  • with places like Mumbai

  • having over 76,000 people per square mile.

  • With people living closer together,

  • it means we can infect each other more easily.

  • Not only that,

  • but we travel the world with ease now.

  • People who unknowingly carry a virus

  • can quickly bring it to the other side of the world.

  • If this new virus were to spread

  • to just a single person,

  • who spread it to another single person

  • and another, and another.

  • As time went on,

  • it would eventually infect millions.

  • As people got infected,

  • planes would be grounded,

  • and entire countries could be quarantined.

  • If it got bad enough,

  • we might not even be able to leave our homes

  • due to the risk of infecting people

  • or getting infected ourselves.

  • Getting help at a hospital

  • could be difficult too.

  • With billions of people infected,

  • it's unlikely hospitals would be able to care for everyone.

  • If we're dealing with a pandemic that spreads the same way as the Spanish flu did,

  • we could anticipate

  • anywhere between 200 to 425 million deaths.

  • And that's out of the approximately

  • 2.5 billion people who would be infected.

  • But how likely is it

  • that a scenario like this will happen?

  • Well, it's hard to say.

  • Experts say that humanity is due for a massive pandemic.

  • It happened 100 years ago with the Spanish flu,

  • and before that

  • with the bubonic plague in 1347.

  • Unfortunately,

  • pandemics like these are just a reality of human civilization.

  • But that doesn't mean a pandemic today would

  • be as bad as the Spanish flu.

  • Although the disease might

  • spread more efficiently than ever before,

  • it also might be easier than ever to cure it.

  • Although a pandemic implies that

  • you'll have little immunity to it,

  • doctors could develop a vaccine for it.

  • Today, with increased technology and

  • communication being more seamless than ever,

  • the world's scientists could work together.

  • You could have doctors in New York talking with

  • researchers in China trying to solve a pandemic.

  • It definitely wouldn't be easy and

  • could take up to a year,

  • but eventually,

  • a vaccine could be invented.

  • The next issue would be

  • how it gets distributed.

  • If countries aren't willing to work together

  • and distribute the vaccines fairly,

  • it could cause some serious conflict.

  • But assuming they all do work together,

  • it could eventually stop the pandemic.

  • Hopefully, something like this won't happen in the first place.

  • After all, we're now better at

  • monitoring animals and their diseases than ever before.

  • And by knowing the consequences of a real pandemic,

  • hopefully, we can stop the spread of infections before they go any further.

  • So how can you avoid something like this?

  • Well, according to health experts,

  • the rules are pretty simple.

  • Similar to avoiding the common cold,

  • you should wash your hands a lot

  • and keep away from people coughing and sneezing.

  • And if you're feeling sick,

  • you should definitely see a doctor right away

  • Also, would you please cough and sneeze into a tissue or elbow?

  • So although everybody doesn't have to die in this scenario,

  • it would have a severe impact on people.

  • And if the world isn't willing to work and cooperate together,

  • the realities of a new pandemic

  • could be pretty grim.

  • Want to know something that isn't so grim?

  • How about traveling to Mars?

  • We'll leave that story for another WHAT IF.

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