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  • He's one of our own.

  • I'm holding my right.

  • Neil Channing, special hunter from dancing for you before we get into Wednesday's racing.

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  • Not having already you can go through for the races as we are talking about recording this on the Thursday before telling them recording at the Sydney Arms, London's finest racing heart by definitely recommend you come down here for the festival if you can't make it any day's rations.

  • Always with the racing on so fantastic food we just enjoyed. 00:00:59.120 --> 00:01:1.180 It was well on. 00:01:1.180 --> 00:01:5.150 Debts were going the week before, so we don't know what the going is going to be in the moment. 00:01:5.290 --> 00:01:15.850 It sounds like it's it's kind of soft on heavy in places, having places on the course and more rain forecast that suggests it's going to be anything better than soft.

  • So I've ruled out good too full you like.

  • It's fun to get to know if only there's an argument but into Wednesday's racing.

  • Then on Dhe, we kick off with the body more on DDE.

  • One of the festival hot Pots heads up the market in Envoy Alan.

  • We've spoken on the Tuesday show about how William Hill, a standout on most horses, given the fact that they are not non runner.

  • No bet that is not the case, then violin My.

  • They're the only firm who are odds.

  • On 10 to 11.

  • They are but 64 with Skye.

  • Bet likely had been.

  • Then Violent goes to the body more and not to the supreme.

  • Sporting John is 7 to 1, a stereo on for launch than current favorite on the exchange of the supreme. 00:01:57.730 --> 00:02:2.140 Next in an 8 to 1, the big getaway 8 to 1 big break away 9 to 1. 00:02:2.190 --> 00:02:8.010 Time Hill 12 to 1 16 to 1 bar envoy, and we have to start with here? 00:02:8.320 --> 00:02:14.240 Andi, I guess what I want to know if you guys is this one of the bank is at the festival or is this a horse we have to take on?

  • Not for May.

  • I laid him in the media aftermath of his win last time wasn't overly impressed by that.

  • I know he was very good that time before, but for May, he looked.

  • He looked.

  • It was a very labor performance.

  • He obviously he's on a break since end, so that might have seen come back to his earlier best.

  • And obviously he's won the bumper being really good style.

  • Last year in in what was pretty, they did well to win from from where he was for out.

  • But for May, I don't think he's got that much in hand of the driver was a market suggests I was happy to let thirteen's right.

  • You probably get that in the book a bit shorter now. 00:02:56.440 --> 00:03:3.780 I just think you've got some, you know, from very, very good horses against him and quite obviously, the one the most obvious is Sporting John. 00:03:4.120 --> 00:03:9.430 So I think that 7 to 1, I'd be surprised if it's still there I think. 00:03:9.780 --> 00:03:11.620 Yeah, again.

  • That's two points better than the nearest price.

  • I can't see that lasting.

  • I think that's a point bigger than the exchange as well.

  • So what time you listen to this?

  • I don't expect that to be there.

  • It has been new.

  • Would have got somebody to get the seventh for me anyway.

  • Cookie Operation?

  • Even so, I think, sport John, After what you did ask her out last time.

  • Hey was pretty Cheskin ist in the way that he quickened happen off the last ascot last time.

  • I think if he if he runs his race, I expect him to finish in the first free.

  • And I'm quite wouldn't be a total surprise.

  • It seems the big envoy Alan and obviously envoy Adam, we don't even know if it's gonna go for this race.

  • He's obviously highly likely to, but two miles and testing ground on the opening day, they might decide to go there. 00:03:57.670 --> 00:04:2.020 So for may, I think sporting Jolan Isa, stand out. 00:04:2.030 --> 00:04:4.170 I mean, there's still quite a few horses in here. 00:04:4.740 --> 00:04:17.850 You might get four places in the day, but for me, if you can get 5 to 1 free place is fine if you get Fight 14 places, even finer Sporting John for may be taking on the favor and I'll be laying him when in place.

  • I need you agree.

  • Um, no, Totally wholehearted.

  • Live on violin.

  • He's very hard to knock from figures perspective that that rule bombs still think he's fallen away.

  • That the best individual of orange form.

  • I think they've half kind of decided to come here to maybe to spit material.

  • Abracadabra.

  • We didn't talk about him actually in the super, and we should have done because I think he's a big player in that rice Elliot's probably felt well, I'll ruin him in that.

  • And I'll run Envoy Island in the two and 1/2 mile race because he comes from that kind of background, your point support winner.

  • The bumper.

  • Winnie usually wants further than two miles.

  • I think he probably could almost win both.

  • Anything I think were preventing proper ruling up to his absolute maximum. 00:04:59.430 --> 00:05:0.020 And this is my B. 00:05:0.020 --> 00:05:10.800 One of the reasons why they might switching back is if the grannies heavy or close to it on day 12 and 1/2 miles on heavy ground he's still on, tried on, So I think that's what Tony's gonna be hoping for.

  • One.

  • If he gets his wish, then I could certainly see why you'd want to be lying in the 64 as it stands at the moment I was back in, but I do think that time performance last time.

  • But I thought he was very labor night, so visually, I don't think it was very impressive.

  • Was that experimentation time, which is what they want a proper gallop that when it went a decent place, that everyone said he'd let the form down next time out.

  • But they went so slow in the next race that leopards down.

  • He pulled so hard and he was ineffective.

  • I think the guy to that form, his long house poet, ties in with all the top operation always isn't He was baiting 10 15 so there's a bit of substance that fall.

  • If you look deep enough, I think sporting Johnny's the obviously each way here this race.

  • The cream often rise to the top. 00:05:56.900 --> 00:06:5.290 You don't often find 50 to 1 25 to 1 rags, winning it like the Albert Bartlett where you can get shocks the genuine Grade one horse has come to the fore. 00:06:5.720 --> 00:06:10.410 And even though he's an Irish and he isn't a Grade one winner, which is the statue should be looking at this right.

  • I think he could well be in time that he's gonna crept under the radar little bit throughout the season.

  • But he's knocked out some good numbers prior to his Ascot, Winwood, his ascot wind suggested to run even faster than when a good, honest place that day in deplorable conditions are soft on heavy ground.

  • He wouldn't want one mind one bit, and he has good attorney for which is something that you actually positive rather negative the two would be against because they've run no sort of numbers anywhere near the level of whatever violin have done supporting John, particularly the Big Getaway.

  • Van's been talking.

  • It's also, but he's time last time at it, nations so slow that I can't believe pulled a sudden he's gonna run that amazingly faster in a championship environment and the big break away. 00:06:54.990 --> 00:07:4.910 He's a really nice, tight for the future, but again, I just don't see him always form good enough to win a Valium or So the market for me is absolutely on the button here. 00:07:5.110 --> 00:07:12.260 If they do stick with this race for N violin, then I think he's He's gonna be very difficult to pay.

  • But if he's getting, if he does get back, it'll be by sports and John and Tina's on each way better by trade.

  • I'd rather be back in here at 56 to 18 White and I would risking and voil and staying the trip on the ground at 74 for money trade, better by trade to another new.

  • Yeah, I agree with a lot of both what both of the guys have said, Really.

  • I mean, I I think if you're gonna lay something, you have to get into your mind that you're backing all the other horses.

  • Uh, if there are some of the other horses that you don't like or there's a lack of strength in the overall a bunch of other horses, then maybe laying is not the best way to approach it, you know, And he doesn't fancy the getaway, particularly at the prices. 00:08:0.790 --> 00:08:9.020 You know, there's a whole bunch of horses here that got targets for other races, you know, on Betfair right now. 00:08:9.370 --> 00:08:18.670 Uh, there's literally only the fire that the four kind of big name horses in the race, who anybody wants to bet less than 50 to work.

  • S O that told me that this race is gonna cut up.

  • Uh, you know, it could easily have less than eight runners.

  • I think if you want to oppose Envoy Island betting something each wiii one of those four or really one of those three is the way to do it.

  • And I think sporting Jonathan's like the obvious way I I think you should try generally in vetting to make bets that your bookmaker wouldn't really want you to.

  • Mike.

  • That's why you know, people talk about struggling to get on and whatever.

  • Most bookmakers not be too happy with you.

  • If you go and try and fix boring John each way.

  • So or he might say a good bet.

  • Hi, I have that thinking on now to the Chase in the second race on Wednesday on Champ is the current favor, at least with the bookies is a 2321 Manella Indo horse put up by Andy Eyes 7 to 2.

  • Currently, Copperhead all blue and old checker, but 9 to 2 is the best prices shortest.

  • 321 elsewhere.

  • Those that's a significant move a la ho at 11 to 2, that's what William Hill and then 12 to 1 bar.

  • So, really, for the top end of the market in the r s.

  • A really taking up most of the betting on most of the action here on the still sticking with Milena India.

  • Yeah, no real reason to change my views.

  • Or I actually think my opinion on him has been endorsed in the buildup to the racing fairness because I don't think it's a vintage hours.

  • I serving in numbers anyway, that's how I got the full decks.

  • But that doesn't appear to be too many dangerous floaters corner phrase. 00:09:57.440 --> 00:10:2.380 Um, I think, Yeah, that counted up here. 00:10:6.290 --> 00:10:7.320 You started it? 00:10:7.380 --> 00:10:8.180 Yeah.

  • Um, and they're pointed out.

  • If you are a liar that you want to be a also would I want to be backing certain horses or you are looking at the field Is a horse is potentially the bet on at this current moment in time, I think the biggest dangers, Father I could see, given the current conditions might well be Copperhead.

  • So think Champ could be, well, be once alike.

  • Even though Connection said that they mocked up last year, I should have run it.

  • Albert Violet, rather than the turnoff, might think she was a hell of a lot of spring myself.

  • He quickened up to get himself having uncompromising positions twice a season, of course, that he was gonna hit the deck when everything seemed to be rushing this guard until in extra rice in the Dipper, I almost done away.

  • That mistake came from, really?

  • So he's got a missed Heikkinen.

  • Um, on DDE. 00:10:58.860 --> 00:11:1.260 I think this race is well, it's it's nothing pointed. 00:11:1.260 --> 00:11:5.150 The best horse doesn't always win it, but what you want to be doing is back in the right horse to win it. 00:11:5.580 --> 00:11:7.160 The right horses that win this race. 00:11:7.170 --> 00:11:15.050 Our horses like Manila Riendeau, it would stay there, copper bottom stairs that got good mind and they jump solidly.

  • And he's also won the Albert Bartlett five of the last 10 winners of this race overall in the previous years, Albert Bartlett.

  • So you just feel a lot of the stats and profile like you're looking for from a traditional winning this race.

  • And, as I said, I think Copperhead on the back of his rental stand.

  • When when he grinded it out and jumped and traveled the best, I think he's the most likely Daniel.

  • He's got a touch of class.

  • Manila Endo.

  • So happy These classic run through of the day.

  • Yeah, one of a dozen.

  • Enough of the day, I think.

  • Turn.

  • Do you agree?

  • No, I if I was gonna have a bet on the race.

  • Copperhead, the prices, like, ebbed away.

  • But I think 92 is still fair each way. 00:11:56.060 --> 00:12:1.150 There's only 50 runners at the five day stage here and having a look at the bank, I think this could really cop. 00:12:1.600 --> 00:12:4.280 It wouldn't surprise me if there's a single single field. 00:12:5.300 --> 00:12:5.880 What? 00:12:6.030 --> 00:12:7.300 I'm just looking at it now. 00:12:7.310 --> 00:12:11.280 When I popped into the unit, Bet we'll have to say that.

  • Yeah, there, partner.

  • I popped in on the way back from doubling on.

  • I popped, and obviously Nikki was there, and the car was there on the panel there on dhe.

  • I asked about Ping before they went on there, and they said, Yes, we might run it, but they were a bit worried about the ground and they might wait for entry.

  • But they Pim hated the ground.

  • Apparently asked her last time behind carpet didn't run a race, a tool.

  • But if you go back to his earlier defeat off Imperial or Cheltenham, I think you could give him a decent shot in the figures.

  • And I'm actually a maid.

  • Is forties, all in with hills, which I wouldn't take said I think they might wait for entries.

  • But the Ferdi Frieda one known one another pin. 00:12:58.740 --> 00:13:2.490 We're free 65 each way Appeals greatly like so. 00:13:2.490 --> 00:13:10.260 If you go back, you know, he really finished off his race Well against Imperial War over the track on Aiken.

  • Definitely seeing filling The place is here.

  • We've got this champ I'd probably want to be against just on price grounds alone.

  • Miller and done.

  • And he's made a very good case that for he now thinks more likely to go to the Martian.

  • It's testing.

  • Hello.

  • We've already took.

  • We talked about him.

  • Slate house is another one that you could make an each way case for at his best at 16.

  • 12 for May.

  • If I was gonna have a bit in the race at the top end of the market be Copperhead.

  • But I would suggest that for the Frida one No one I know that pin is still there.

  • That would be the way I go.

  • That would be my main bet on the race and I'll be trying to get a little bit of that 30.

  • Freeze each where?

  • Just in case he does walk up, it might be a bit literally.

  • A bit too nothing.

  • You get your money back.

  • But Pima 30 freeze. 00:13:50.380 --> 00:14:3.750 Don't wanna bet the way the market is counting playing strange market 76 to 14 But the last trading price, Which is which is more relevant in an illiquid market. 00:14:4.160 --> 00:14:5.840 The wife or he's not great. 00:14:5.840 --> 00:14:8.200 It's a 1.2 night, nine points. 00:14:8.460 --> 00:14:10.620 That suggests to me that you practice the operation.

  • You suggested me.

  • You're on a live one anyway.

  • Yeah, it's 50 runners.

  • I mean, this could really cut up community that new?

  • Yeah, 100%.

  • 15 runners.

  • There's only four where somebody wants to put them on.

  • But for less than 29 to 1, um, I'll be amazing.

  • 10 runners in this race.

  • If I would be amazed if they have eight brothers, I think we have to play dirty each way.

  • Grogan was on Emily in the combat championship way because there is a doubt about the trip.

  • It's a headstrong horse.

  • It jumps low.

  • It fell last time.

  • I mean, how could you let that each way?

  • So, you know, you are actually I really fancy Manila and, um, I think, you know, it's sure not a little bit in the last couple of weeks.

  • I think it was six, the one about two weeks ago. 00:14:58.000 --> 00:15:3.840 It's seven or two, but we have a much better idea of what ground we're gonna be racing on, who is going to be racing again. 00:15:3.850 --> 00:15:17.210 So, you know, I don't mind that sometimes in the handicapped you see things they go from 12 to 6 is on people that you know, journalists that bet number twelve's tip them at sixes, as if they just exactly the same thing.

  • I think we have new information there, so it's okay to say, you know, we missed the sixes, but we can take the seven, too, because now we're looking a pretty small field.

  • I think uh, do you think it should be favor and Majella Window on balance?

  • Yeah, we're gonna get soft or heavy ground.

  • I know also, what I would say is, if I haven't got a place market up on but for a moment.

  • But even though Champ is 4.34 point six and literally Villella didn't know is 4.5 to 5.1 Manila Indo should definitely shorter in the place market.

  • Because Champ is much more of a window.

  • You always get you always get that with Yeah, Where's Manel?

  • A window.

  • You just know it's gonna run its rights basically. 00:15:58.540 --> 00:16:2.670 So I actually think that's a really strong each way, but I think I tipped. 00:16:2.670 --> 00:16:3.940 It is my nap of the day, the wind. 00:16:4.180 --> 00:16:20.520 But I think 73 places a long time in a very sniffy about quite sniffy about paying Seventh Legion in a fit of the odds when the horse is less than 5 to 1 because I have a second or third, you make a small but a page right 94 5 GTO.

  • Any those are those are often the best each way.

  • But I wouldn't, you know, mathematically speaking Sportingbet going on, which could be a sign as dicaro on as to love books that could be a market move together.

  • This this race is definitely gonna cut, writer and I think if you, you know, if people are tuning in thinking they're giving loads of bets here, I don't I don't want to talk too much money.

  • Which ones are going to do now?

  • I would say this is one you should know his take window.

  • It's 72 a strong one for both Andy and Neil onto the Coral Cup third race of the day on Dhe Protect.

  • Wrapped is the 9 to 9 to one. 00:16:59.110 --> 00:17:5.050 I should say that Bunch tells is joint favoritism in 91 as well. 00:17:5.550 --> 00:17:6.770 Dame to companion. 00:17:6.770 --> 00:17:9.480 12 to 1, Kannada at 12 to 1. 00:17:9.490 --> 00:17:16.160 Obviously, we're recording this for an hour after the four of their decks, so that means that currently a kind of market to reforming as we speak.

  • But seven Po fourteen's downtown get to a 16 Zorn column of fire.

  • Plenty of waters have recently come out of this one on.

  • As with all the handicaps, I just put it to you guys to let me know if there's anything that we should be looking at the moment.

  • The story of the races dame to company.

  • She's currently 35th from the left, so she'll leave some horses to come out.

  • The story here is obviously very impressive, last time, being indefatigable, being left off since that December.

  • But in his right 104 after that performance, the handicapper raised her £7.

  • But because of the runner, right went on one.

  • Next time, while she was still in the box, they raised her another £2.

  • Now this story is obviously the J. 00:17:56.950 --> 00:18:3.280 P's connections, and they actually went to the handicapping appeals committee to try and get that £2 back there are successful. 00:18:3.780 --> 00:18:17.340 They actually went to the point, as I understand it, of actually getting a member of that panel replaced because there is that there is a system in place whereby if you're not happy with the full of appeals panel, you can actually object to one of the people being on it.

  • So they took it really, really seriously, a £2 back for that horse.

  • It could actually work against him if she doesn't get in the race But, you know, if that tells you that if they think they've got a very, very well handicap horse, they want the safety of that £2.

  • They got it back.

  • And in races like this, where you know, it's often one by fight, very fine margins, that power could be very, very, very, very valuable.

  • She's around about 10 12 to 1.

  • She gets in.

  • Then I think she's She could be the story of the race.

  • And if they went to the trouble of getting that to pound back, like I said, I think she could be the gamble of the race.

  • But they'll be.

  • They'll be crossing their fingers. 00:18:58.800 --> 00:19:1.420 That that £3 isn't a isn't. 00:19:1.470 --> 00:19:3.660 You know the true pound less isn't a burden. 00:19:4.920 --> 00:19:5.260 Andi. 00:19:5.940 --> 00:19:7.380 Yeah, it's interesting, interesting. 00:19:7.380 --> 00:19:13.070 But what Tony says about Dunder Company, because, uh, it's almost as if now, seemingly the judge.

  • Come on, man.

  • It's absolute dead certain winning this race.

  • I don't if he's out of it's one of those races at a bad record and just okay, let's get going on.

  • This is the potential delts about didn't you off memory?

  • I don't think he's done all that well in the choice J pay.

  • So he's obviously keen on make sure that she's well treated.

  • But it's a significant for Mame on anything that he's gone now and acquired.

  • It's got Alfa Mix, who finished second to one of his called Kill for Nor in a very hot rice last time out that knave in one of the most strongest and competitive two and 1/2 mile handicaps were on an entire season in Ireland, and the front two pulled 20 lengths clear of the rest.

  • So much so that killed for nor run in a great three next time and finished third. 00:19:57.730 --> 00:20:2.520 I think if I remember, I left off the top of my head, Um, an Alfa make sure of one. 00:20:2.780 --> 00:20:4.950 He traveled like Mustang. 00:20:4.950 --> 00:20:5.280 That right? 00:20:5.290 --> 00:20:10.080 But the jockey just let kill, forget first run and then even now, these clothes and all the way to the line.

  • He just got quite really mean.

  • But the numbers are really good for that, right about outfor mix on my mind for this race for a long while.

  • But he's been number 44 45 on the list to be really getting really want.

  • But there's been a hell of a lot of defectors.

  • He's now number 31 so we only need three more to drop out.

  • And J P is going to require him.

  • What if he's got the handicapped?

  • Good thing done.

  • The company.

  • What would be going by another horse?

  • And he's obviously behind this because you think what I want to be heavy handed doesn't can never.

  • Right?

  • Got it.

  • I don't know who rides, but he's a fair to all this Alfa Mix one.

  • Yeah, put him on a couple of months ago.

  • What he wanted in heaven.

  • And he was pulling a car that day.

  • Yeah, he'll be one of the favorites on the day.

  • He'll be a 10 to war without.

  • Shut up if you get too.

  • No. 00:20:59.540 --> 00:21:2.710 Well, I did read a stat that put me off a couple of horses. 00:21:2.860 --> 00:21:6.210 Which is that no first season novice has ever won this, right? 00:21:8.740 --> 00:21:10.120 Yeah, that's true.

  • Second.

  • Yeah.

  • Yeah, definitely.

  • I know one of the nine of the last 11 were in the top eight of the weights and 10 of the last 11 winners then went on to win either a grade one or agreed to on the next store so that, you know, it's just so I'd die there.

  • Well, so all those things are somewhere.

  • I read them and I thought that all sounds good, but it's definitely, you know, it's a race where you want to go for Klaus horses, and you don't want to be afraid to bet something towards the top end of the weight.

  • I told Fergal O'Brien was saying Champagne Will would go for this rather than the Martin points that he thought that would be his best chance of the week.

  • I mean, it's stables and form of the moment.

  • I thought that was quite probable.

  • Year 25 to 1. 00:21:59.510 --> 00:22:0.260 The most places? 00:22:0.270 --> 00:22:0.740 Yes. 00:22:0.760 --> 00:22:2.970 Rams Day for mine, isn't it? 00:22:3.040 --> 00:22:3.550 Yeah. 00:22:5.210 --> 00:22:6.650 They don't think you got a moment, darling. 00:22:8.540 --> 00:22:16.580 I mean, I, uh, protector, I thought, um, definitely, you know, it's a bit of a hard puller.

  • The strong place big field really could come.

  • You know, I think that will score love improvement in it.

  • Um, so, you know, I could see that, but it's very inexperienced.

  • Seven.

  • Poet was going interesting for Joe's of six and the bomb for last year.

  • Yeah, I mean, again, a very inexperienced on.

  • It's just wide open and I follow.

  • It wasn't a race where I was gonna play auntie posts.

  • I haven't really nailed it to anything.

  • The way mentioned most of them, so hopefully you can make their judgment as to who has made the best case for a few of those in there onto now.

  • Surely one of the best spectacles of the week I've been blessed with a fantastic Gold Cup. 00:22:58.310 --> 00:23:3.530 We've always been blessed with Amazing Champion Chase with three of the top end of the market in lt. 00:23:3.530 --> 00:23:6.150 Or who is the current 2 to 1 favorite def. 00:23:6.150 --> 00:23:12.630 Eat a soul at 9 to 4 shack and poor swat at 11 to 4 14 to 1 bar.

  • By all means, let let me know and let us know if there's anyone outside the top three who you think its value at the moment for a bit of an each way.

  • Play concentrating the top three in the market.

  • Do we think that they are doing the market's got it right as it is in the moment.

  • I think it's a good race to be a layering because if you don't fancy one of the top three market.

  • You've got the other two running for you, and you've got two big plays whichever way you look at it.

  • Personally speaking, I'd probably layout to your nephew to form A on the basis that I think the other two are at their absolute peak of their powers, right at this very moment in time and maybe lt or may have just been on the slight downgrade in the last couple years of in this fair enough to say, Obviously, the surname run has been well documented has been a mistake on bye bye.

  • Nikki took him a while to get over that. 00:23:59.450 --> 00:24:1.730 Some could have been impressed with these new be wind. 00:24:2.400 --> 00:24:4.810 I thought, you know he probably did is much easy. 00:24:5.270 --> 00:24:8.660 Lt was expected to dough baked in the kind of opponents he took on that day. 00:24:9.350 --> 00:24:11.190 But use eating flat spots.

  • And he's just *** in his armor, whereas deaf ear can't find any *** in his armor on.

  • He's turned a foot but asked when he left, Undiscovered for dead was what if one of the best sex I've seen all season and check on ports were bait Definite disorder Favorite square on better ground in Pakistan last year, has clocked a phenomenal time in Ireland.

  • Baited men who leopard Stan in his own backyard.

  • He's a very good also.

  • I'm finding it very difficult to split between definitely saw Jackson possible on.

  • And when that's like that, then I think, well, the safest option is the layout your tutu wanted you to do when you say you can't spit them if they're 94 11 afford that mean you say you can't spit them at the prices.

  • You can't spit them on kind of level. 00:24:58.420 --> 00:25:1.990 Yeah, they're just really out that, I mean, definitely got the one thing death. 00:25:1.990 --> 00:25:2.740 He's gotten his favor. 00:25:2.740 --> 00:25:5.370 That shack and possible hasn't got Sheldon form in abundance. 00:25:5.640 --> 00:25:11.070 So if you're just gonna go down the charter trustee form, nothing will teach you to back the one that runs the track.

  • Better.

  • He's been having done it, which is usually the best policy it Sheldon.

  • So if you're asking me now looking down the camera, which one I would like to back out to throw you to be difficult.

  • But as I said, I think lt always Bobby worth lying to one from you thinking similar well I I thought I didn't off the three.

  • I thought lt was when I would least like to back just really, because of its exuberant, huge jumping.

  • It does these kind of show jump sometimes on then and then it Suddenly, you know, the stamina kicks into out, and it suddenly seems to just sweep while sources on it's, you know, at its best.

  • Anyway, um, you know, obviously it hasn't all gone to immediately this year with the right ask. 00:25:56.830 --> 00:26:0.430 I worry a bit about shock and post war on the ground. 00:26:0.430 --> 00:26:5.260 I think if it was kind of good to soft ground, that would definitely be the one I would back with three. 00:26:5.830 --> 00:26:12.370 Um, in terms of the race shape, there's 11 runners declared at the moment.

  • Uh, uproot all and men are going to the royal heir.

  • Lady Bottoms is going to the mayor's Bangor and is going to the the Handicap on the lot, the ground.

  • And you, uh, you know, it's quite easy to see there being six or seven runners even though you get, I think, get money down to eighth place in this race, suddenly to sixth place.

  • So you would think there would be runners, but I'm kind of desperate to find something each way.

  • Put little Logue.

  • I don't know.

  • I heard Harry Derham the other day saying that, you know, this horse is back to its best and they fight some problems of blah, blah, blah.

  • And he's gonna be reading to mop up the pieces and allow that kind of stuff.

  • I mean, that sort of makes sense, but I don't think he's in love with it when it's really soft, dizzy, So I don't know, I don't My daughter's seems to be the one that's getting a bit of what I can see.

  • Why?

  • Because, you know, like there could easily be six runners.

  • And if you could get kind of 16 to 1 20 to 1 each way.

  • Um, you're getting played 1st 3 by being anti post more.

  • Yeah, I think that's kind of a world.

  • I mean, if you destroy I mean, it had to be all out to be under so and so has not won this race.

  • You know it.

  • Is that really that great?

  • A former, I think.

  • Check on this wise definitely for me, if this was a kind of normal kind of good to soft ground, normal kind of Children of five years ago going, uh, probably made a decent bet, but the ground worries man.

  • Tony, I just think if you're looking for an each way, bet obviously I get the numbers point of view. 00:27:58.480 --> 00:28:1.440 This could easily be lesson lesson eight runners. 00:28:1.440 --> 00:28:4.310 But you've got free horses here. 00:28:4.310 --> 00:28:6.870 That but they look pretty damn sorry. 00:28:6.880 --> 00:28:7.580 Don't say so. 00:28:8.750 --> 00:28:11.860 For May I know for a fact they were really nervous about what?

  • You're going into that race.

  • Last time.

  • It may not have takes a lot of boxes, but they were delighted by his finishing effort.

  • I just wanted to get back on track and they're very happy with the horse.

  • But there's nothing much in between the prices.

  • You can make a case for Debbie disorders.

  • They're coming forward.

  • Second bonsoir as well.

  • Dolomite dollars.

  • 20 to 1.

  • Free places normal.

  • Another bet is an angle.

  • There just There were big fans of appetite.

  • Want me for the royal without looking?

  • What price would you lay him?

  • Number one number No better air each way.

  • You know, I really would like to see what price would you like?

  • me only because I missed the big prices for the right there.

  • Boys you like.

  • What price do you reckon he's?

  • I just had to look now.

  • Yeah, well, I wouldn't get 10 to 1 school.

  • I bet no one I know about athletes. 00:28:59.900 --> 00:29:1.210 You'd like to have it that inside? 00:29:1.220 --> 00:29:2.800 Yeah, because he's only coming here. 00:29:2.810 --> 00:29:15.260 It's really, really feel like it's tend to want to run in the right, but you probably have a bit of time, but, um, that's a really good I love that sound bite.

  • Probably wasting the time, but it's a brilliant Yeah, well, that's what.

  • No, no, no, baby, that's awesome.

  • But you just gotta have eyes original.

  • If it runs in the race, it's not going to tend to.

  • One shouldn't be definitely won't be turned Tonto.

  • You know, when you said 4 to 1, obviously get bit short.

  • No, no, no.

  • That price should be The price would be a agrees.

  • Anything else Before we go into the everyone's favorite across country, let me just see it.

  • Sorry.

  • Carry on.

  • What?

  • I'm just having a couple of it was just about It was just about to burn and account for a normal?

  • No.

  • No.

  • But if it were waiting in the council worth ways, yes, it on Tiu. 00:29:58.980 --> 00:30:5.040 The cross country now in Tiger roll is even money favorite should be very popular with a lot of people. 00:30:5.040 --> 00:30:11.280 But easies, easy slammed is the 3 to 1 second favorite with 12 to 1 bar.

  • This isn't a race we're gonna cover in great detail, but can any of you shine a little light on the second in and in terms of I'm sure a lot of people out there will think Tiger roll.

  • It's absolutely good thing and even money that could be counter at that or support Easy slam bolted up over course.

  • And I mean, isn't that good?

  • No.

  • Coerced are in terms of Tiger old backers.

  • Just what coming up against us thing.

  • It's very hard to Kiki's find out of the frame murder.

  • I mean, the the connection seems really foolish as well.

  • You know, these French horses do really well over this Tiger rolls banking solid.

  • Obviously, I wouldn't I wouldn't want to lay either of them. 00:30:50.380 --> 00:31:1.180 I could easily see me putting easy slanted a bunch of pretty filthy way material, you know, including the Ballymore in the R s A. 00:31:1.180 --> 00:31:4.930 And the Champion Chase three races that could easily have less than eight runners. 00:31:5.240 --> 00:31:11.160 You could go a lot worse than getting yourself a nice, creative lucky 15 each way.

  • Uh, you know, with those four races put easy slandered every everyone I'm watching you create the bet.

  • Now, you know I'm starting to get excited.

  • Yeah, First of all, we owe to pieces eventual series.

  • Almost impossible.

  • You don't normally get falls in this Rex, because there yeah, these guys, you could walk through them.

  • Calling me the last is like is like a hedgerow gaps so slowly that they're able to lie up defense along. 00:31:49.380 --> 00:32:3.160 Well, even if the meeting slightly wrong that adjust themselves, they don't get themselves on the floor with the momentum, the pace and they are great better prices, actually, people so they can put the cattle used to love it when it was a 60 mile ahead cap. 00:32:3.320 --> 00:32:5.160 So you get it? 00:32:5.630 --> 00:32:8.140 Only this handful of same horses when every time. 00:32:8.140 --> 00:32:9.660 And that the French have cracked this. 00:32:9.660 --> 00:32:23.440 Now they really get onto this being a winnable race and won the party part makes it was amazing it's the only makes any race actually from it.

  • If I got any time figures for cause.

  • Obviously, you know, they're doing sectionals from whatever friends.

  • It's just almost if you gave me a free when only.

  • But I think that about easy slammed rather than toy the role.

  • Yeah, probably.

  • But I mean, you know, I always see the prices, but turn any of you, Uh, what?

  • The dirty each way.

  • Twins of story.

  • This 13 to 1?

  • No, no, but it might bite referred.

  • Favorite.

  • Then it's a match.

  • Um, yeah, loads of people making cases for my boy.

  • And they're like, I haven't heard of inventing things.

  • I don't like me.

  • It's 8 to 1.

  • Easy Slams.

  • We know it takes to this.

  • It's 3 to 1. 00:32:59.720 --> 00:33:2.380 The gap between the two should just be bigger. 00:33:2.500 --> 00:33:2.820 Problem. 00:33:2.880 --> 00:33:9.090 And also, if you are siding with a friend short, I mean, obviously, Tiger role was a massive eye catcher. 00:33:9.090 --> 00:33:9.740 Lost almost. 00:33:9.830 --> 00:33:11.880 They looked as good as ever.

  • Obviously, it's been to Shelton since that they give it a school round, leopards down as well.

  • So if you're if you're thinking Tiger role might be a little bit short with Aintree and minds.

  • I think you might be mistaken.

  • But you know this French or what seems to be a bit of a tool in its own right.

  • So it's not my kind of race.

  • It's late is a genuine match when I get it symbolizes caution.

  • Maybe when I get to the fourth leg of my lucky 15 each way.

  • Lucky 15 on dhe the 1st 3 of all cops will have a safer tiger.

  • I was gonna say that, Say that obviously you're backing major roads on doing.

  • There's a case for backing.

  • Both Thio have. 00:33:57.020 --> 00:34:2.400 You may have your main lump on the French or freeze and have your even saver on your steak. 00:34:2.410 --> 00:34:11.360 Thea, these boys to this race is disagreement the purest also, that the race of the day is the champion chase.

  • But for a lot of punters are going that you're right.

  • You're right, Tiger Rolls.

  • That's a big story deal target, but the rule that this also get it'll user what?

  • Everyone's somebody.

  • As somebody that's been a book, Make your Children for many, many years.

  • Not since 2004 but like 14 years before that.

  • No, no, no, The markets have changed these days.

  • Now we have bet fair and you know things are less kind of sentimental.

  • But things still get back to Children on the basis that they're kind of Children favors on people that come once a year and just the whole race schools well, toy people's horses.

  • But he's almost like one of our own. 00:34:56.320 --> 00:35:0.130 Everyone who's made a few quid out of the national wanted back in again. 00:35:0.360 --> 00:35:3.650 If you started apparent freeze on there, I don't see why. 00:35:3.650 --> 00:35:5.400 Don't we see in the end, running coming afterwards. 00:35:5.650 --> 00:35:6.900 Took wrong course. 00:35:8.200 --> 00:35:14.540 Don't say that you're giving me annoyed but already about bookie liability, so we'll steer clear from that.

  • I'm going to the Buddha.

  • Lt's pretty quickly.

  • Arm actor, the favorite of 5 to 1 Mick past 8 to 1 palladium 12 to 1 time white, 12 to 1 14 to 1 bar again, and he'll come to you first.

  • Got any stray where you're looking right at this and you think who's targeted it in one of the most times we're going close to winning it the most times and the standout pair of nickels and Elian they look as though they've got a very strong representation This year.

  • Our max has been the talk of the town has any since winning the same rights that band of outlaws one the year before.

  • It's It's there for all to see what God Nell it was upto should've turn of foot.

  • He looks fairly well.

  • Handicap.

  • You could argue like horses that win it now because you can win out. 00:35:57.920 --> 00:36:1.410 Stiff track was really weak in the market that day as well. 00:36:1.870 --> 00:36:5.710 Bet 3651 at prices overnight, and they put it in his 11 TWE favor. 00:36:5.720 --> 00:36:12.540 Now overnight prices aren't what they were, but I went on racing TV on, So I said, Look, this is a bad, too.

  • He went off for the one and a favorite chunky, bigger on the exchanges where he was really weak that day.

  • So yeah, but to do what he probably did there, despite the drift is a positive.

  • Yeah, definitely.

  • It was a bit disappointed the time before, on background, you won't want it locked down.

  • Examples.

  • Um, I'd actually think Gordon's got another big, big plan is in that whole school trauma door.

  • Not a lot of teams won again.

  • I think he'll be short on the day, not significantly, but perhaps a 10 to 1.

  • Maybe I just like the way he's finished these races off very strong.

  • It was when he was well backed.

  • It was a tactical affair Last time.

  • I just got caught up by two older horses who just got first run on him. 00:36:55.750 --> 00:37:5.620 But I like the way came home, and he's from the same connections that wanted a few years back up with a 33 to 1 shot because he's got time, time here. 00:37:5.620 --> 00:37:6.160 Was it time? 00:37:6.160 --> 00:37:9.860 One time white fresh and I get with him that he would want better ground. 00:37:9.860 --> 00:37:11.990 He took into muscle today to look for background.

  • He wouldn't want it soft or have a being generally on the week because, like Nichols said, that thing I mentioned about Henderson before.

  • But consistently, whenever you speak to Nichols, Tony a lot because he's doing the blog's No, no, no, I e.

  • Okay, but, you know, you know, it's a constant refrain from it is that you know, we were going for background.

  • This horse, we don't want too much rain.

  • Do you think possibly he might just have a terrible joke.

  • I don't think he's got a lot of lot of runners that they're not girls.

  • I think Mick Pastor, they were leaning towards trying for one point, then solo come along.

  • I know what he's got.

  • So psycho as well.

  • I think that happens. 00:37:56.820 --> 00:38:4.040 Obviously, that's great on the ground, but like a lot of resources, I could just I can just imagine once of reading his blood every day and every day. 00:38:4.040 --> 00:38:5.660 It's just, like, doesn't really want this ground. 00:38:5.660 --> 00:38:6.560 Doesn't really wonders around. 00:38:6.560 --> 00:38:7.610 Doesn't really want this Brown. 00:38:7.830 --> 00:38:8.500 I don't know. 00:38:8.500 --> 00:38:13.050 I don't know enough about the string of these days, this horse.

  • I've been looking forward.

  • So backing is isn't even been entered like Treme Witch for this, but it's not there in the absence of that service would interest me, but I'm being told it's gonna go for the triumph at J.

  • P L.

  • He's got a very strong hand in here, but service that it runs in these likely absence.

  • Nothing in the moment.

  • Palladium palladium is another one just to quickly mentioned as well.

  • Sandown, Where does it stand on heavy ground?

  • Got a really good record.

  • Nico likes as well.

  • Yeah, he's a proper strong type.

  • Neco seal of approval. 00:38:51.420 --> 00:39:0.440 I knew to be honestly, when when people were talking about introducing, I don't know, some ridiculous someone extra mayor's race or wherever the hell they run about. 00:39:0.970 --> 00:39:2.680 I'm saying which race was your aunt? 00:39:3.130 --> 00:39:3.820 Much. 00:39:3.820 --> 00:39:10.810 I I hate to get rid of any races, but it was the Fred Winter for me is like people say, Oh, you know, across country, going make a cup of tea.

  • I normally wait till the Fred win.

  • Really, which kills me because it's like 24 on a handicap.

  • Exactly.

  • Get really in each way, too.

  • When they go six places, you're not putting that.

  • Obviously, I have a bit because just by by feel forced to and also like when you're looking at, I don't know the coral couple that attempts.

  • I feel like you're looking.

  • Maybe not the pretence with everyone's trying to shake a nunnery, But you know you can study form on the forms there in the book that Fred Winter, it's a lot of It's not the sleeve so, and I feel like people with inside information, which I really don't have.

  • Um, you know, these people are getting an angel.

  • I don't like that. 00:39:51.000 --> 00:40:1.430 I don't like you know, I the whole idea that people that pay for horses to get fed and watered should have information that normal punters don't have is quite annoying to me. 00:40:2.110 --> 00:40:2.610 Fair enough. 00:40:2.620 --> 00:40:5.300 That was, uh, runt. 00:40:5.310 --> 00:40:6.410 Thio, move us. 00:40:6.410 --> 00:40:7.530 All right, All right. 00:40:8.160 --> 00:40:8.780 Very nice.

  • Get this bill from me with a champion bumper.

  • Now where we have a little price.

  • They appreciate it was seven to forward about 365 Fernie Hollow 8 to 1.

  • Panic attack.

  • Tend to one queens, Brooke 10 to 1 12 to 1.

  • Israel Champa 14 to 1 bar.

  • Tony, am I right?

  • Insane?

  • This isn't a racy, normally cross country fox on his bumper.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Your average instead.

  • Yeah, I'm just personally surprised.

  • Why appreciated his show?

  • Short in the market.

  • I certainly get the Yeah, the starts with mornings.

  • I left nine winners.

  • Whatever.

  • It was trying bond bowling's, um, when the same places that boy island did last year.

  • The Leopardstown, right?

  • Always works out Well, uh, but having done is a 74 shots sitting on figures. 00:40:59.840 --> 00:41:2.820 Anybody, What he's done on the numbers and numbers are a little bit. 00:41:2.830 --> 00:41:6.410 Not relevant, but they're less important You're gonna ask me about that. 00:41:6.410 --> 00:41:7.600 Mean figures, Wives. 00:41:7.610 --> 00:41:12.090 Does this historically work out on three right figure?

  • Now it doesn't, although in violin was up there last year.

  • But yeah, it has been to write funny ones on.

  • That's because they just haven't been in that environment.

  • But that's that's what I'm getting at the fact that some of them humdrum numbers, including the favorite, means that there's a whole bunch of them could improve for a faster one race.

  • I think you're treading on thin ice trying to take 74 about this thing because I do think this indecent father and his pipes bought a whole school panic attack.

  • Brought it up.

  • William Owners, Now you think, well, Mullins necessary to get rid of anything if he thought he got the winner.

  • So he's let that go.

  • Thio pipe, of course, with Moon Rays and Lieberman and Moon races owners and now got a panic attack.

  • But I was really impressed with her when she wanted to market right and she showed a really good turnout for another skeleton team.

  • Really like there's the time looking. 00:41:59.900 --> 00:42:3.280 Is it that I'm lucky six times absolutely trotted about hunting down. 00:42:3.970 --> 00:42:12.700 And if you are looking at numbers like I Am, there's a There's a horse trying by Mags Mullins called Julie Stowaway, who wanted nothing last 33 to 1 on his blue.

  • So that's been good today.

  • I know that Gordon Elliott, who thought that there is in that Rice, is an absolute stupid job to make a trip to Paris this morning and do anyway here 50 50 20 like I've been trying to back it up over 100 on already.

  • So if you could get some fancy heard about Julie Stowaway, if that runs and the too far wrong with regards Price.

  • But I can make lots of cases after lots of horses, you know he's, well, champion makes him.

  • So what again?

  • Just looking at prices and what you think a Horseshoe bay.

  • So I'd be a liar that would you be quite happy to have the field running along?

  • I wouldn't kick myself if he wouldn't have done that for, because I've got a strong view on it. 00:42:56.680 --> 00:43:2.310 Being a much bigger price in the market suggests what price would it be in your book about? 00:43:2.320 --> 00:43:3.290 No, normally what? 00:43:3.290 --> 00:43:3.580 Normal? 00:43:3.580 --> 00:43:6.090 It's full, at least minimum for the field isn't in this. 00:43:6.310 --> 00:43:11.970 And even when you've got something like Envoy Alan Nude showing a better level of form, familiar appreciate it was much better.

  • Bigger than him.

  • Yeah.

  • I almost don't know where the gambles come from.

  • In many respects.

  • No.

  • Well, earlier on, we were talking about, you know, the Ballymore and saying, you know about how you know, necessarily want to lay the favorite at 704 because the race could cut up.

  • You're not effectively.

  • You're just packing.

  • The other might be six horses, and maybe it already fancy two of them.

  • This is totally different because, you know, we know there's gonna be 20 yards.

  • There's bound to be unexposed horses that we haven't seen the best off.

  • There's bound to be things that the owners and trainers on dhe stable staff know way more about them.

  • We do, because they've worked well in the last week and whatever.

  • Um, yeah.

  • I mean, out of the two, if you were gonna let you wanna roughly the same corner. 00:44:1.060 --> 00:44:3.820 They're not exactly the same price, but they're roughly the same color price. 00:44:5.090 --> 00:44:6.640 This would strike me as much better. 00:44:6.650 --> 00:44:18.170 I mean, the other thing we talked about earlier with Manila Endo was that horse has gone from six is in that seven or two in the last two weeks, which is like 8% on its price.

  • Appreciate it has gone from 72 into 2 to 1 on the machine.

  • Ah, you know.

  • So that's what that's 9% on its price.

  • You know, appreciate.

  • It's done it for no real reason.

  • Weight of money.

  • Sure, I'm sure that that's a factor.

  • But you know, millennia, Windows on it.

  • Because the Racists usually cut up.

  • There's a good chance that ends up only having to face five horses way change when the facts change.

  • But with appreciated, the facts haven't really changed. 00:44:52.910 --> 00:45:6.790 The only fact that changes loads of people have wanted to stick their money on it now, whether they're all super shrewd and we should never opposed them or whether they've all got a bit carried away and it's got a bit short now is obviously the $64,000 question. 00:45:6.800 --> 00:45:10.210 But, uh, I don't like these prices.

  • It's getting a bit of Intel interest.

  • A king sized, Uh, that brings us to an end on the Wednesday preview. 00:45:17.440 -->

He's one of our own.

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チェルトナムフェスティバル プレビュー|2日目:RSAチェイス、クイーンマザーチャンピオンチェイス、クロスカントリーチェイス (Cheltenham Festival Preview | Day 2: RSA Chase, Queen Mother Champion Chase, Cross Country Chase)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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