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  • Today, terms and conditions apply.

  • 18 plus b gamble away dot org's Welcome back to the football post cast here on the Racing Post Thank you so much for tuning in Once again.

  • Jack Reeves.

  • Mark Lang Them Liam Flynn on Jason Murphy in the studio this week.

  • I know.

  • Very exciting indeed.

  • We'll be taking you through all of this week's action, hopefully given you some tips to help build your weekend football bets and also taking a quick look back.

  • That's what's happened this week, gents.

  • Let's get straight into it, Mark.

  • We're sitting fairly close to each other.

  • Once again, my cold is nearly gone.

  • You're still struggling, their minds grown in strength since last way.

  • Carry on.

  • If there won't be catching anything, you that we go again, Stephen Gerald did hope it goes better than what happened after that.

  • Jason, how are you? 00:00:59.730 --> 00:01:0.950 It's good to have you in the studio. 00:01:0.950 --> 00:01:4.550 It's a little bit cozier, but it's keeping us warm in what is a fairly cold studio. 00:01:4.840 --> 00:01:5.810 Yeah, thanks for having us. 00:01:5.810 --> 00:01:10.850 It's It's great to be over and meaty First offense and them hopefully in a few good tips.

  • One there on the pool time.

  • Really?

  • Yes.

  • A bit frustrated.

  • Star in the making.

  • Just mark being nicety.

  • We'll get good.

  • It was Champions League happening.

  • Choose down Wednesday night, Jason.

  • What we will take away from what was a fairly exciting game week, wasn't it?

  • Yeah, it was depressed.

  • Really?

  • With the weekend.

  • Which fire?

  • Obviously it was.

  • It was really interesting.

  • Great watch Champions League.

  • Not great for the bookmakers.

  • All the files, more or less.

  • Wynand, choose tonight, child.

  • She probably did this affair last night, even or as a company, as a position.

  • And personally, we were kind of posed against Chelsea did not result in X.

  • And so it was good mid week for the pointers and go again this weekend.

  • Liam, I usually fully agree with what I see on the back pages of the Racing post.

  • But yesterday I saw everyone backing.

  • I acted everyone really confident. 00:01:59.900 --> 00:02:0.900 But Chelsea had a great run. 00:02:0.900 --> 00:02:3.290 A four month there was surprised people were going against them. 00:02:3.300 --> 00:02:5.830 I think the reason was I mean you look at chose to Chelsea. 00:02:5.830 --> 00:02:7.900 I think 15 almost been before That lacks game. 00:02:7.900 --> 00:02:11.860 But the games they had leading up to that they were quite straightforward opposition.

  • They were in opposition, which we're really gonna test them defensively.

  • Hence, while a defensive record seemed to have improved of light S O.

  • I think going to I act with the players they have in the final third.

  • Like to do some tragic Tadic Quincy promise, et cetera.

  • I think people expected them t crumble.

  • But the winter kneel in Amsterdam is absolutely terrific result in what is a very tight group s Oh, yeah, they'll do their their confidence in the world.

  • A good mark.

  • What's going on with spurs?

  • Well, that was much more life better.

  • Yeah, I mean, but red style will pour her really poor or worse, and I expected them to be.

  • But at the same time, Tottenham.

  • It felt like watching Top Gun say, 18 months ago, just in terms of the endeavor and near the daily Ali made more runs against Red Star, not seen him in about six months, I hope for he's back to full fitness. 00:02:59.420 --> 00:03:2.780 It's been a A long struggle for him on when he makes the runs. 00:03:2.780 --> 00:03:10.730 Beyond that opens up space for so long and for Cain and fill a Melon on Billy has looked a lot better in the Champions League in the as the Premier League.

  • Really, we don't realize just how quick it because we watch it all the time and everyone's how quick and demanding it is.

  • So I think he's just taking a little while to get going.

  • But that was much more to his liking.

  • It was the perfect game for Porter, Tina and for Tottenham, and you know, it's gonna be a lot harder.

  • I am field on Sunday.

  • I think it's fair to say definitely Jason, let's quickly touch on via I'm sure Bruce is at home watching a seething that we're talking about it once again.

  • But I don't know what your thoughts are getting second side of it.

  • Slowly but surely, I mean, it hasn't been a great start for for has it?

  • No, it's it's fighting technology technology used in the right, where will help get to the right results that we want to talk about Terry Handball, which is hungry, too.

  • Classic example for an Irish man.

  • No better. 00:03:58.260 --> 00:04:1.140 You know, you go back to my Maradona from an England point of view. 00:04:1.340 --> 00:04:4.340 Lamb power in the 20 work 2010 Work Hope I know that's different. 00:04:4.340 --> 00:04:5.690 Goal line technology shorts that. 00:04:5.740 --> 00:04:7.290 Oh, no, but they are. 00:04:7.290 --> 00:04:8.770 It's just the way it's been implemented. 00:04:8.770 --> 00:04:12.390 I think we will get more correct decisions on the bigger decisions.

  • If it's used more correctly, put somebody's marginal officer.

  • He calls.

  • You have to pick the point somewhere and only more care with that.

  • We can accept that because there has to be caught off point when it comes off side.

  • But the likes off the penalty, not given to Del affair you against bars.

  • I just don't understand.

  • It heats that English for tongue and went to ground, and he's on the ground.

  • Slide for five seconds hits him about three times.

  • How can someone, a professional referee watch that back and say it's not a penalty?

  • And so I think you need to look at how the implemented I think the other big decision was probably Johnny Evans.

  • I think is a quality defender.

  • Tinky has a chance of getting it and it's the right decision It's accidental by Wood, but it's still a foul, and that was the right decision there, and you know, that's a big difference.

  • It's another three points for Lester.

  • So it's just how would speed implemented? 00:04:59.730 --> 00:05:3.200 I think it needs a look at There are talks about, you know, getting the managers. 00:05:3.210 --> 00:05:3.460 You know what? 00:05:3.460 --> 00:05:17.540 I think it may be appealed to decisions again, but what I don't like about that is everything was mentioned here previously that if there's a last minute order just gonna peel for the sacred that when the decision has given the noise in the crowd, it's only at half the level of what it should be.

  • It is taken from the game.

  • Put there is still benefits that again from having it liking Liam.

  • I'm sure you're probably got the most insight on this at wall of us, because you are with the eye.

  • They are officials or whatever they like to call themselves at the start of the season.

  • What they said on that day, compared to how it's being used at the moment, is that are they using how they meant to be?

  • Yeah, I mean pretty much.

  • I mean, obviously there's the issue of the whole clear and obvious thing, and that's a very muddy area of the people.

  • Still are uncertain of how where that bar is exactly.

  • The other thing I'd say about the way it's being implemented in the Premier League is obviously, this really don't want to be sending referees over to the screen.

  • That's something that the Premier League is.

  • They were quite clear about that.

  • Stockley Park.

  • One thing they didn't want to do.

  • Is there a reason? 00:06:0.230 --> 00:06:2.030 Well, not not to slow down the game? 00:06:2.040 --> 00:06:3.120 Ultimately, obviously. 00:06:3.120 --> 00:06:4.330 Oh, it is being used. 00:06:4.340 --> 00:06:5.870 I think you ate for implement it differently. 00:06:5.870 --> 00:06:8.610 They almost encouraging officials to use the screen if they're unsure. 00:06:8.850 --> 00:06:10.800 Andi, I actually think that's holding back.

  • They are in the Premier League slightly by not using the screens.

  • I think for the sake of the game, slow down by the I R anyway.

  • So for the sake of slowing it down for it for a couple more minutes, getting a decision, right, I think it you know, if the air is going to stay as it obviously you know, you expect it will do.

  • That's probably the way around, sorting it out was about?

  • Sure, that's probably enough.

  • They are chat for this week.

  • I've got one quick Twitter question that's aimed in Mark's direction.

  • This is from guy.

  • If any of you have any questions for our panel, please do make sure you tweet us or let us know.

  • In the YouTube comment section, Guy says, I've always wondered why Mark did.

  • Does both teams have scores his recommendations in the racing post assists rather than over 2.5 goals?

  • It doesn't matter which, why I do it.

  • Always get it wrong.

  • If I don't both teams scoring three nil.

  • If I do overs, it's 11 right. 00:06:57.800 --> 00:07:9.480 The reason I do it in the assistance of my column that some racing post op come on a goes live somewhat on Thursday night in the paper on the Friday is purely That's what the customers wanted. 00:07:9.480 --> 00:07:20.520 When we did some research some time ago on Gates, it'll probably be our backs up in terms of what's a more popular AKA bet on the on the Saturday boating to score certain.

  • The I think in betting shops, at least is far more popular in over two and 1/2.

  • So that's That's why I do it.

  • It was just, you know, it was Supply and Demand.

  • Way had a winner last week on the boating to score 4 to 14 to one.

  • Trouble came in there.

  • We got a guy.

  • Maybe just get better with your selections, right?

  • Let's get straight, you know, over two and 1/2.

  • Probably a slightly bigger price, sort of more often than know ifit's not man City, but I think voting to score.

  • You bet it just feels like it's always running, and I think that's why more people like to do it.

  • Okay, good stuff.

  • Let's get straight into the Friday night fixture. 00:07:58.750 --> 00:08:1.730 Then it's a game between South Hampton on less date o'clock. 00:08:1.740 --> 00:08:3.660 Kick off on this one, Jason. 00:08:3.670 --> 00:08:7.030 Let's start with the odds and then start with your thoughts on this game. 00:08:7.220 --> 00:08:12.700 Yes, so we've so Hampton to to warn the drawer 12 5 unless they're turning into 10 for me.

  • Hasan, who is probably the next manager, come under pressure now only two wins and nine, nor winds at home and where winds that big get was aware to Brighton, who were down to 10 men for about one hour ride back in.

  • And then there were win against Shepherd.

  • You know, it's probably naked.

  • Jeanette forgot.

  • Great call on that much So he's there.

  • A good Y lo and obviously the honeymoon period is long gone and destroyed the place trained implement.

  • We can still see it and the problem.

  • So Hampton of always had his goal scores, and I mentioned before Jay Adams.

  • His second half of last season was really, really pour it out.

  • Birmingham and the still Bartman the summer sort of really, it's Danny Ings is stepping up to the plate.

  • He's got five goals in the last four games, so if things can continue that kind of form, I think so.

  • Hunt them will be okay in terms of lesser, very strong defensively. 00:08:59.360 --> 00:09:1.600 But we've mentioned previously they're not creating much. 00:09:1.940 --> 00:09:14.160 Jamie Manson wasn't fully fit last week against Barney came off after about 70 minutes before about the winner on Dhe wasn't his best game in a while, so I just think at the prices I'd be leaning towards the draw there and we're looking at a goal scorer.

  • It's over.

  • Varity rings.

  • They're starting to to out there and Danny ings just given his recent form, I think I'd probably sold with Annie things over body Liam.

  • I mean, Lester.

  • I was looking at the table earlier, albeit only for a night, but they could go second in the division if they win here.

  • So there's this certainly sentiment for them to go on when South Hampton struggling.

  • Would you make of it?

  • Yes, it formed definitely favors Lester in this game, but I would actually be reluctant to back them.

  • Might might tip for this one.

  • Be both teams to go and over 2.5 goals.

  • I believe James Madison is possibly a doubt for this game for Lester.

  • If he even if it does feature that he could be slightly slightly raw on his importance in that left team, I don't think could be overstated.

  • Despite the strong star Lester, they've only one free of their last 12 away games in the Premier League. 00:09:56.450 --> 00:10:2.750 Andi, I think for that reason is probably best to swerve them, especially with the pressure on South Hampton in the past. 00:10:2.920 --> 00:10:8.040 Come up with some good performances when the pressure is on them, so I would be reluctant to go for Lester win. 00:10:8.040 --> 00:10:15.410 Both teams have scored in all four South Hamptons home games this season on both teams to have scored in free of Lester's for away matches this season.

  • Onda, as you say, they could go temporarily second with victory here so they'll be chasing a win on Don't think that could leave them vulnerable to Southampton on the counter attack.

  • That's good, Marc.

  • I think we briefly spoke about on last week's football post cast, but it does seem that Lester punching above their weight slightly.

  • In terms of starts, you have definitely the dough and seven things shots on target, which for a team that everybody is talking about, it's free flowing side.

  • That's full of flair.

  • And Brendan Rodgers, What pretty foot with a play.

  • And I think they do up until a point.

  • But this doesn't having that many shots, and you Burnley probably feel a little bit hard done by last week that they didn't get something out of that that game, unless there will be very popular with people, they're not looking at those stats. 00:10:57.410 --> 00:11:4.330 I think they'll look at the price and think, you know, I like less than here because if they are going to be a top four Top 16. 00:11:4.500 --> 00:11:7.920 You look a man united going on there are dormant in origin. 00:11:8.150 --> 00:11:10.040 Talk more often goddamit, bright.

  • And you know, if you are going to become a top four top six team, I think these air, you know, you kind of would expect probably closer to even money for this game.

  • The fact that their stats on a low, I think, is why that the bookmakers are looking to get them.

  • I in saying all that about lest I like both teams to score, only mentioned it.

  • Sze cops in all of South Hamptons home games, deceiving you.

  • Go back further than that cot in 18 of their last 19 home matches and under has a little 18 games at home.

  • They scored in all of them, eh?

  • So they are a team that leaves himself vulnerable defensively.

  • I don't rate them at the back there a bit tighter against walls.

  • I don't I don't really like them individually defensively, but I I looked off.

  • Danny Ings is is in good Nick and I wouldn't be surprised if this was a high scoring game, right.

  • We're going for a quick break. 00:11:59.480 --> 00:12:0.180 We'll be back in a minute. 00:12:0.820 --> 00:12:1.530 I'm just Emory. 00:12:1.530 --> 00:12:5.080 No, I know what single to about being special English. 00:12:5.080 --> 00:12:10.750 Manager of the three times special Winning the jackpot on Petty Power Games.

  • Not special.

  • Understood.

  • Josie.

  • Yes, someone wins an average £40,000 jackpot every single day, So if you win, I don't think you're special daily.

  • Jackpots by Paddy Power Games Jackpots must be awarded by 11 p.m. and vary from day to day.

  • Jack put a shared with other operators available on selected games.

  • Decency that paddypower dot com isn't speaking.

  • Welcome back to the football post cast here on the Racing post, joined by Jason Murphy, Liam Flynn and Mark Langdon in the studio with myself.

  • Jack Reeves.

  • We just had the thoughts on Friday night's game between South Hampton and Lester.

  • Let's get into the Saturday midday fixture between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

  • This is a 12 30 kickoff.

  • Jason.

  • What the Olds like for this?

  • Yes, we've man said.

  • You wanted 12.

  • We can get the draw at 9 to 1 and Aston Villa 20 to 1 12 12.

  • Manchester City. 00:12:59.130 --> 00:13:3.230 I know that well, I haven't been a dominant this season's maybe some would have expected. 00:13:3.230 --> 00:13:8.420 But Villa off the back of that win against Norridge a few weeks ago on a win last week as well. 00:13:8.540 --> 00:13:10.400 Surely some people might be fancy in the mirror.

  • Possibly.

  • I think prices City is kind of the norm when the plane I'm the Premier League now one bet which is becoming increasingly popular, is being Manchester City to win and both teams to score.

  • And that's kind of the angle I'm looking out for.

  • This one clicked in mid week against Atlanta.

  • As I say it's become increasingly popular because of the injury time.

  • Eric Report.

  • Johnstone just kind of started coming back into the fold now, but see, he's being out.

  • I do quite like the look of that partnership of Rodri and Fernandina is and two centerbacks.

  • Also, we know Pep Guardiola is good, it transforming defensive midfielders inter centre backs and I think the two of them, they're very good in possession, which really helps with that whole playing out from the back system, the city looking to play.

  • But that combination is still kind of in its infancy, so I think they are still a little bit vulnerable with the back and and Villa, you know, being in the goals of late.

  • You look at the Jack Grealish into a bit of gold score. 00:13:58.870 --> 00:14:3.500 Inform they've notch 14 goals in their last five matches on City. 00:14:3.500 --> 00:14:5.540 Have had just to clean sheets in their last five games. 00:14:5.540 --> 00:14:7.790 So I think yeah, with prices, I mean office. 00:14:7.790 --> 00:14:11.080 The city will probably go on and win this game, but I can see will again in school.

  • She right, Jason, where we trying to find value here that made similar to Lima.

  • You could look at the four teams to score markets and the 1 to 12 is probably be short and city and normally go half full time.

  • But again, there's not much value in there.

  • It spoke to it for you for tonight and a couple of interesting things to say either centerback partnership.

  • I think Rodri picked up an injury mid week and it's possibly could be held for up to three weeks, which takes smelled a Liverpool game.

  • So then you're starting to think it's fine.

  • Rodri Fernandina against the likes of Palace Aston Villa, where the defense will be in the opponent's half and pick and passes put those pep start targeting that Liverpool game.

  • No, that's on, You know, I think it's the 11th of next month and does he say right?

  • Stone's not Mandy.

  • That's got a bit of game came together.

  • This game so happened next week and then he has Foreign Andino to play that role.

  • No gun, No one is very good at what he does. 00:14:58.840 --> 00:15:2.890 Parting for Nadine, you in that role in midfield against Liverpool will be the better option. 00:15:3.070 --> 00:15:5.280 So I'm really interested to see what Pep does this weekend. 00:15:5.280 --> 00:15:7.850 From that point of view, say you're just bringing going forward. 00:15:7.860 --> 00:15:9.280 The game against Palace last week. 00:15:9.290 --> 00:15:17.550 Rahim starting scene at midweek, is well, he's 24 next month and is getting too messy, cleaner levels and what he is doing.

  • And I'm just think with messy at coming towards the end of his career.

  • If Barcelona War looking for like replacement, I put starting in that bracket and and he is ambitious.

  • He had no issue leaving Liverpool when he was younger.

  • If Barcelona came knocking, I'd say definitely Oh, he's passed a silver for gold.

  • Last week was incredible and just on the city jerseys as well.

  • I wonder if that's intentional to color.

  • It was watching it on the TV screen.

  • I just got those fine marriages that Pep had an import on that because it's so easy to pick out the little pink circles going around as good as David Silver in the brain are if that color just makes a difference, even if its points marijuana won't be surprised to, Pep had an important but all that's in city to win this game. 00:15:56.730 --> 00:16:0.490 Aston Villa, the one changed in the last three matches, saw you know what the best heaven is. 00:16:0.490 --> 00:16:3.450 But the win against Norridge I don't encounter because of George's injuries. 00:16:4.900 --> 00:16:7.770 Yeah, and that yesterday I am a result. 00:16:7.770 --> 00:16:13.390 Last week it was against 10 man Brian who, you know Dean's making himself afterwards had probably deserved the women.

  • So Aston Villa have had an easy start to the season.

  • This is probably this is obviously the tortoise.

  • Gamma decedent's would see how to kick come from here, but if you're looking for value, I just got a call scores.

  • When team news comes out, Bernardo silver it is in the front tree.

  • 71 is a bet or jazz.

  • You start instead of Aguero.

  • He's always at a bigger price when he's still playing the same position to where all the balls would be pointing a player from so I'd have a look at you.

  • Jesus.

  • It's clicked in two of his last three starts as well for school score.

  • Marginal gains.

  • Absolutely love that mark.

  • You had a fantastic first goal scorer tip last week, didn't you?

  • Dipping in the same market again?

  • School first, vote for Chelsea and nearly add another anytime.

  • One of Bonner Pickford produced a brilliant say from From a bothering in that West Ham game. 00:16:55.140 --> 00:17:0.640 I'm not going for the scores because, like Jason of mentioning that, I think is team news related. 00:17:0.640 --> 00:17:3.360 So ah, wait and see who's in that from free. 00:17:3.360 --> 00:17:6.180 Nothing's that you've got some many different options. 00:17:6.190 --> 00:17:18.130 Always puts me off like I was looking up 60 to win both half sits around forward to 55 to 6, actually hasn't caught that many times only six of 13 this season and free of six at home.

  • So on the on the dump, your odds actually isn't a bet.

  • But if you look at the teams have done well against City of the Eddie Adam thinking palaces win wars is when they've got something in common in terms of the way they defend here on the counter attack Aston Villa.

  • I don't think can protect themselves.

  • They conceded.

  • Free arsenals.

  • 10 men, they conceded, free to talk to him.

  • A cz well, And if you can see them free in north London to those two teams, I mean, you're struggling, I think, against against Man City.

  • You know, Villa at home.

  • I think our team, actually, that could be interesting against teams of a similar ability. 00:17:56.410 --> 00:18:1.940 But I look at that team, don't see where they protect themselves, so I think that you'll win very easily. 00:18:1.940 --> 00:18:3.240 Could be like a four or five nil. 00:18:3.840 --> 00:18:4.970 I got the fancy home. 00:18:4.970 --> 00:18:8.860 Please do feel free to drop it in the YouTube comments section below. 00:18:8.870 --> 00:18:12.760 Let's get into the three o'clock Saturday Games and not many this week.

  • Brighton against Everton.

  • We'll start with that one.

  • Jason.

  • How paddy power shaping up for this.

  • We've brought in need for you to draw 11 to 564 and it was a very important win for Everton last weekend, wasn't I think a lot of people probably fancied West Town to go there and get something, but it wasn't to be.

  • Everton brought the goods.

  • Everything.

  • The dead's to shore up under there.

  • But West Ham didn't.

  • And you know it's Jekyll and Hyde United again from West Ham.

  • You know what I mean?

  • Everything.

  • Yes, it was good adorable.

  • Pellegrini camo after that and commented on the commitment and the running from everyone.

  • Why he is not a given, what West time to really, really go to really bad West Ham.

  • And there's nothing in between so that everything went very important for them.

  • Said they made the five changes.

  • Some of them enforce record man being suspended.

  • I don't think he comes back in and CDB did very well, but I'm just a big fan of brain. 00:19:0.040 --> 00:19:6.770 Like I said, even though in the 10 Men last week to possibly should have got something that game, Erin Connelly at nearly had two grand chances, he should have gone around the keeper. 00:19:6.780 --> 00:19:11.560 One another can back real quick off later on things and you know, he knocks it over the bar.

  • So just at the prices, I'd be quite sweet and brighten it.

  • Normally is suspended, but trust hard and start the season very well.

  • But he's back.

  • He was on the bench last week.

  • I think so.

  • I'm you know, it's very good for getting class season.

  • So I just think at the prices wouldn't have everyone's favorite going to Bright now, especially after what you did spores in the last home game.

  • You like to start the season.

  • I was really chuffed for Brighton fans, and I saw that they didn't have to suffer Chris shoot and football anymore.

  • But it's being tough to figure out what exactly they're about this season.

  • I think what you think for this game, it's going to take time.

  • I think that Grandpa test is still in the early stages of his career there.

  • This one for me is a very tough one to call.

  • Probably shy away from the results.

  • Markets on actually look a first goal score about Lois Duncan, 35 to 1.

  • Here we go, I think easy regular in the heart of Brian's defense. 00:19:57.700 --> 00:20:8.970 I can see him playing for potentially moving to top six club in the near future, right in very highly as a defender, no Premier League club have conceded more goals from set pieces of season and Everton s. 00:20:8.970 --> 00:20:11.600 I think he could be a danger from those set place their faith 5 to 1.

  • I think first goalscorer, move each way.

  • Be a good bet that comes in Beer's on you, Michael.

  • But you I like Brian.

  • I think Everton only scored one goal in therefore away matches.

  • I think Everton, particularly when they play well, always looks like Gomez plays well, when whenever to do.

  • He doesn't like pressure.

  • He's fine.

  • When West armed, stand off him and even bigger parts bright and all over.

  • You know that their presses really come on a lot and actually the games that they've, they've they've lost, I mean that they've had some silly red cards on just three cards that cost them more than once this season.

  • If they play like they did against top of the muffin, though, will win this game.

  • Following on from what Liam was saying hide a different Brian defender but saying exact same reason or Bonner should have scored last week against Everton. 00:20:59.670 --> 00:21:6.980 The idea that there's something in me that the idea that they're suddenly solved their set piece crisis is, Leon Osman said on Bt Sport after the game. 00:21:6.980 --> 00:21:9.940 I mean, a bomber six yards out on Mrs S O.

  • It was very much a result Bias sort of analysis there.

  • They still didn't look very good defense at pieces.

  • Damn burn Absolute giant at the back for Brian.

  • If he plays, he would be my one.

  • He had to go choked off.

  • They are this season already.

  • He got six or seven goals for Wigan in the 2017 18 scene.

  • So he's definitely a friend.

  • A really have got a few, you know, Duffy dunk being go to nothing over the last few years.

  • I just think burns another one that could go in there.

  • But yeah, target evidence.

  • That piece is very mean is adult.

  • She's an absolute monster, a joint at the back for everything.

  • It could be Holgate that comes in to replace him.

  • So that's an order.

  • Now, using to task.

  • Our gross is one of the best set piece delivered in the Premier League as well.

  • So just back off with the bride. 00:22:0.830 --> 00:22:7.670 Well, you've convinced may onto the next year there's always one Premier Li again every week that just doesn't stand out was being exciting for me. 00:22:7.670 --> 00:22:10.220 It's Watford against Born with Jason.

  • Can you try and get me excited for this?

  • I'm doing me best.

  • We've offered 11 to 10 to draw for you two to M.

  • Borman Linda Fife Walford is the only team that will win in the league this season so far.

  • And put that 11 to 10 would suggest to me that the market's accounting for home advantage is kind of random, offered a born that kind of similar levels which suggests that, yes, that haven't got wind.

  • But it's probably just the powder on the look and I think that is backed up by somebody performs this that I've seen from Watford this season.

  • You look up warm and you always expect goals and if you go back to Ingrassia was in charge of offered at the Stars season.

  • You know what I came against West time was Tree one and you're probably the prices in terms of poor team to score and over is the goal expectancy in this match.

  • Looking at historical prices is expecting goals and therefore will be actually going on the under under 2.5 goals at odds against I will fight for reason being with the change of manager offered, I think they're a bit more defensively solid than what they had been under Garcia at, you know under 2.5 take last week and spores and click their little in the previous home game as well for Watford and was also form it were nil nil as well against um, are Norwich last week.

  • So for me, I just think the miracle when a process thes looks our previous historical process.

  • But looking at this game in isolation, I think it's going to be tight and I think the under the odds against would be why beside me and what about you?

  • I'm happy to back what for?

  • To get there 1st 1st league win of the season of solid In that goalless draw, Sheffield United took a point of top man on and in that second half of the game of vigorous road against Arsenal and probably deserved to win that game.

  • In fairness, so yeah, like like Jason said, I do think it's possibly a little run of bad luck and maybe performances have warranted a winner along the way, so form of only 15 of their nine to only 15 19 away league games last season on a much better side in their own backyard.

  • So, yeah, I'd be happy to back. 00:23:58.950 --> 00:24:0.050 Oh, what a big Ridge road. 00:24:0.190 --> 00:24:4.350 I'll play Devil's Advocate here, Mark and say that Surely if it was bad, luck would have slipped out. 00:24:4.350 --> 00:24:6.840 But after was it 89 games into the season? 00:24:7.340 --> 00:24:11.110 Lady Luck is you never know when he's gonna turn up.

  • I agree that what food have Bean unlucky?

  • But the market reflects the fact that they've bean unlucky.

  • It's not like it's being missed, you know, Jason said, They are theater saying There is good is born Murph and I think that confidence will have been dented by what happened against Tottenham Year.

  • They had that game at their mercy.

  • Suppose were a renders and they still found a way not to win.

  • I'm gonna go for boredom if they're free.

  • Defeats this season have been against City.

  • Lester and Arsenal have won that villa there.

  • One Southampton.

  • I mean, this is a similar level of game for May definitely sounds good.

  • West Ham, Sheffield United, Next up, Chef wasn't off the back of a brilliant win in the week we spoke about earlier.

  • Jason West Ham.

  • You never quite know what teams going to turn up.

  • You always know what team's gonna turn up on the Chris Wilder.

  • What we thinking for this?

  • Yes. 00:24:59.170 --> 00:25:2.620 Well, we've West Ham evens draw 12 5 17 for you too. 00:25:2.630 --> 00:25:6.250 I think if you're placing this force game this season, West time would be a lot sure. 00:25:6.250 --> 00:25:9.550 So the market has copped on Sheffield United and West Ham.

  • Like, how could you go with West Ham being a find like, you know, you're head over heels beating, you know, if intended, you know, following home, gambler, losing the Crystal Palace.

  • Start messing around.

  • You just don't know what's going to show up S o for me at those prices.

  • Even though the market is bigger on west time, then what would be at the start the season?

  • I still think there's value in Sheffield United here in the plus one under Chris Boiler, Defensively saw solid only 41 goals conceived in 4 to 6 games in the chairmanship last season that brought up this season with them to the primary on beating aware from home put our clever football inside.

  • If you go back to the first game of the season away to form it, yeah, you get a free kick with three minutes left, its holy wide.

  • You think greater going across is doing the work it down to the end line and get the ball in for Billy Sharp.

  • Every other team will cross that in performance on the force game Forced out of season play.

  • Smart, clever football. 00:25:56.830 --> 00:26:3.410 If you make the right decisions and you're solid defensively, I think you know Chef tonight are going to be sound over the course of the season. 00:26:3.410 --> 00:26:6.800 So for me at 11 Chef, you know it puts one against the West. 00:26:6.800 --> 00:26:12.090 I'm sorry that is so unpredictable, and it's taking in all because I think it's crap brilliantly about.

  • I think I'm glad that people started to cotton on with Sheffield United Lassie's because it was almost a with a team that were weren't playing attractive football.

  • But actually they had a fantastic season in the championship.

  • We saw that in the week.

  • It's tough to bet on a game like this.

  • There isn't when you you just simply don't know what West times harder.

  • Gonna turn up?

  • Yeah, absolutely.

  • Because they do have some great players going forward.

  • But as you say, Chef is an ivory resolute in the back.

  • I think Monday night is just a typical game.

  • That ass always loses away to a over a bus.

  • Defensive side light like them.

  • I like the look of under 2.5 goals, this one shade of odds on Yeah, they'll be hoping to cash in on the feel good factor of that that result Monday night away from home.

  • They tend to keep pretty compact in that 352 system that they set up in and a limit chances. 00:26:56.010 --> 00:27:7.710 I think the likes of Felipe Anderson Sebastian hello, pretty poor recently for for West Ham and against evident on Dunder 2.5 goals has landed in Sheffield United's last six matches. 00:27:8.080 --> 00:27:12.760 Because we said very tight defensively on, I can see it being your low scoring game again.

  • You're gonna keep Chris World any good side Mark.

  • Yeah, so I'm gonna go for the drawer, so that does sort of factory.

  • Nothing.

  • What Liam was saying, they're about low scoring game there.

  • Any conceded two goals in the last five matches.

  • Shift with United.

  • I do wonder when seems have a look at them second time around you because you do sometimes get teams that once managers have a good work out what's going on, It might be more difficult for them, but the moment they causing problems for everybody, they draw that Chelsea Balmer on Watford West Ham in the bottom half now, which is quite surprising given there was a lot of positivity about them Early on, they only beat bad teams nine feet place Norridge, 20th place Watford and the hopeless Manchester United.

  • So you have a look at it that you know that their performances I don't think of being good enough. 00:27:58.500 --> 00:28:1.420 Recently, I speak Thio few West Ham fans. 00:28:1.490 --> 00:28:3.040 They're not happy at the moment again. 00:28:3.440 --> 00:28:5.480 He's very much enough on down with them. 00:28:5.480 --> 00:28:7.590 But the they said they're not been playing that well. 00:28:7.710 --> 00:28:10.460 Expected goals got them pretty down as well.

  • So you know I wouldn't be back in with Sam.

  • I don't think only be bad teams the cheek of it.

  • I think you play you boys if you think about me.

  • Oh, up next is Bone Lee against Chelsea 5 30 Kickoff.

  • Jason.

  • What we think of this.

  • That's what we Barney tend to treat to draw 11 to 4 and Chelsea Ford six.

  • Chelsea six wins in a row on over Chelsea.

  • Out the packet last night, seven wins over nine and told the to Dr.

  • Lost on that run was against every pool, which probably got results on home.

  • The Valentia.

  • Where was the lake called from Rodrigo and barking, Mrs.

  • Apparently, that you probably should have avoided the feet.

  • Well, Im parrot's body of work.

  • It's It's starting to look decent, you know.

  • And even a foreign intervention is about to start the season.

  • Chelsea hit the porcelain and you know you get apparently and golds change games. 00:28:55.710 --> 00:29:1.280 So we're unsure on land part like, say, we're only one season of therapy to go off on. 00:29:1.280 --> 00:29:5.270 But so far, so good if it keeps going the way it's going with a team that should improve. 00:29:5.280 --> 00:29:13.010 I think the team last night was younger than I exit started that which probably never happened, you know, and would haven't said all that quits.

  • Quite sweet on Barley had Europa League troubles last season and you only got Tebow 40 points the season before.

  • It got to 54 points, which got him into Europe.

  • Leak and one tree drawn tree lost to you to keep that up.

  • Over the course of the season, they're heading towards 50 54 points again this season.

  • So that haven't had really apart performance order.

  • Apart from maybe Brian Away, which is still make the point in, It's just against.

  • The big teams are coming off the wrong side despite good performances, away attire.

  • Still at home to Liverpool, The Lost Reindeer.

  • But wasn't Trina and even last week against Lester deserve some mode at camp?

  • So I think Barney will put in a good performance here and after.

  • Prices would probably go partly plus one out evens.

  • And then we're looking for Gold score televised game.

  • You might be watching it's or Chris would for him, for it's probably the smart choice, and barons may or may not be back. 00:29:59.480 --> 00:30:1.770 Put Gold Mark. 00:30:1.990 --> 00:30:3.440 I wasn't entirely convinced. 00:30:3.460 --> 00:30:5.200 With Franklin part season Darby. 00:30:5.370 --> 00:30:8.300 I think he sort of implemented a style. 00:30:8.300 --> 00:30:14.080 It all on day probably should have done better than they did, but it's Jason said they're six wins in a row for his boys.

  • Now they're starting to get into into some kind of a mental on.

  • There they are.

  • I initially Chelsea.

  • Dad was a better term.

  • And then they be I acts and the prices goes, Come in a bit.

  • And I was probably gone a little bit too far now, but yeah, I mean that part.

  • I didn't think you did a great job, Darby.

  • I mean, he didn't improve them in terms of position.

  • Their stats were no more than okay.

  • It's Amauri and Mace amount of Harry Wilson playing for him in the chanting.

  • And I didn't think there was a sort of green.

  • I don't think there was a a clear identity turned the style of play off.

  • I feel like they got bit better as the season went on.

  • But it's definitely with that players.

  • It's working well.

  • That shows I think Giorgio is playing really well.

  • Eso Chelsea fans don't like Rich. 00:30:59.770 --> 00:31:8.070 You're sorry, but at least he brought in a reel quality player there, and he seems to be playing quicker and forward quicker, which would make maybe was a problem for them last season. 00:31:8.200 --> 00:31:11.790 I mean, Chelsea to win, and over two and 1/2 goals could be the way to go.

  • Now that I've kept successive clean sheets on defended quite well against I acts, but a new cast, we just offered absolutely nothing.

  • But if you go back sort of over that, take the whole season, you know, as a whole, there's still conceded a lot of gold for a team that's going to be flying for Champions League, but they've got a lot of quality in the final Fernand off the bench as well.

  • Pugilistic made the difference.

  • Patch.

  • We made a difference.

  • Shiro doesn't get honest.

  • That's still starts for from.

  • So they've got good options like Burnley going forward more than I thought I ever would have said in recent years.

  • But do you think they're a little bit more vulnerable defensively because of it now?

  • And teams have maybe what them out a little bit in terms of how you can.

  • You can hurt that Tarkowski me send about pairing, so I'll go over Chelsea's with a high scoring game. 00:31:59.590 --> 00:32:2.770 Don't say that often that I get worried about Yeah, I was probably in a row. 00:32:2.770 --> 00:32:3.890 You've complimented burning. 00:32:3.890 --> 00:32:4.230 I have. 00:32:4.230 --> 00:32:5.350 Yeah, I mean stats wise. 00:32:5.350 --> 00:32:7.260 They're doing a little bit better than when they were. 00:32:7.430 --> 00:32:10.740 You know, this team that flute their way up to seventh in the in the wrong colleagues.

  • It's impressive Live.

  • What about, You know, I'm still not completely convinced by Chelsea, to be honest, I mean, I know they've won tonight at six on the spin now, but as I said it, they start to show those 1st 5 games for the ice.

  • When their games, you kind of expected them to win the game and scream to be in that run as well.

  • So still, it'll take a little bit more time for me to be completely convinced by Frank Lampard and Chelsea.

  • So for that reason, I'm going for a drawer in this one.

  • A trip to Turf Moor is really one of the last grounds you want to go to.

  • After an arduous European Tribune Mint week upto acts Chelsea, they couldn't really let their concentration drop for any of the 90 minutes in that game on.

  • Do you know I had chances, but Chelsea got their reward.

  • In the end.

  • One will win, but I think that hangover could kick in on on Saturday evening Chelsea being excellent in the final Four words.

  • You know, Tommy Abraham base amount we'll know about now.

  • Netted 19 girls, but still conceded 49.

  • Noah Percy. 00:32:58.540 --> 00:33:0.780 The majority of those were towards the very start of the season. 00:33:1.260 --> 00:33:5.540 But I'm still not completely convinced by them in the back, and I just think there's as Mark, said Burnley. 00:33:5.550 --> 00:33:7.600 They've got a little bit toe offer going forwards now. 00:33:7.600 --> 00:33:10.080 So maybe even a score draw might be worth a look.

  • Sounds good.

  • Tend to throw Birnley.

  • I fancy some of that as well, right?

  • We're going for a quick break.

  • We'll see you in a minute.

  • Everything is better when it's bigger.

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  • Check out the same game multi tab and get building your bet.

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  • Welcome back to the football post cast here on the racing post.

  • Thank you so much for tuning in.

  • Once again, we got Jason Murphy from Paddy Power in the studio alongside our very own racing post.

  • Colleagues Lynn Flynn on Mark London thanks so much for being here, Jen.

  • So it's going to Super Sunday then I think quite epitomizes Super Sunday like Newcastle versus Wolves.

  • Jason.

  • Does it certainly listen?

  • Hair weave.

  • Newcastle 15 The air to draw seven The one on one was there to five and Newcastle have had really difficult starting season. 00:33:59.460 --> 00:34:1.990 What I considered to be the top seven and include Lester. 00:34:2.280 --> 00:34:4.050 Newcastle played six of the top seven. 00:34:4.050 --> 00:34:5.110 So it's really no the next one. 00:34:5.110 --> 00:34:9.960 A game that's going to see what is Steve Bruce gonna get over this Newcastle squad and terms of wolves? 00:34:9.970 --> 00:34:13.050 You know, today is only tourists, so we have to see how to go on in Bratislava tonight.

  • The last time Outdoor were aware to protect us the war.

  • Now Kim and came back in Batman, See?

  • So I don't see this being an issue like they're a well run club.

  • So But after prices, I think too one is probably the value Wolves did win this match last season.

  • If the authorities on the pitch have a look, anytime goalscorer got a couple goals last season and it's between him and Trey or report it does get for readers.

  • Get into advanced positions like said, scored the winner there last season.

  • So maybe have looking back authority in the anytime goalscorer market.

  • But yeah, it's probably not the most exciting saw.

  • The value is probably in the drop about you may, but Newcastle confused me slightly.

  • There were a few fantastic wins this season and other performances there.

  • Just like garbage.

  • Yeah, absolutely.

  • I think I think they're strong defensive side, but going forward is it?

  • That's got nothing for that reason, I think wants to win by one goal. 00:34:56.060 --> 00:35:0.060 16 to 5 on this one under 2.5 is around the 1 to 2 mark in this game. 00:35:0.060 --> 00:35:2.990 So we're not really expecting a memorable clash by any means. 00:35:2.990 --> 00:35:7.690 And with the exception of the five new mall in a Lester, they've kept their games pretty tight. 00:35:7.790 --> 00:35:15.640 Free of their five defeats have been settled by single goal and I was against Chelsea, Manchester United, Arsenal They know how to make life difficult for stronger sides off soon.

  • Probably categorized Wolves is one of the better attack inside in the Premier League.

  • Now agree Jason.

  • I don't think that the Europa League trip should have too much of an impact on this, but I still think that they might not be at their absolute best.

  • For that reason.

  • Eso your slender win for me was to win by one goal.

  • You feel a bit sorry for Steve Bruce Mark, I don't really know what he was walking into on you.

  • He's quite lucky, I think, to have a Premier Li job given summer.

  • So you know what he's been up to recently.

  • I think most people would, Yeah, he was only getting new cuts.

  • It wasn't in this face.

  • He wasn't getting the other probably job unless he took a team up.

  • So I don't feel sorry for him.

  • But I think he's done well defensively.

  • There any conceded two goals in their four home games, so I think the drawer is the way to go here. 00:35:57.940 --> 00:36:1.680 Walls have had five girls in nine Premier League games already. 00:36:1.970 --> 00:36:12.250 They are a team that maybe find a little bit difficult to win but difficult to be as well, so they only have one shot target against our family and that was the penalty last week.

  • I think this could be a very low scoring game, probably couldn't put you off the gold score if you wanted to try and did you get a bit more of a price?

  • Steve Bruce, If you watch it, I feel sorry for you now This is a cork in game.

  • Super Sunday.

  • Liverpool versus Spurs, 4 30 Jason, I am excited for this.

  • You big time.

  • Really looking forward to this.

  • We've Liverpool 14.

  • Aim to draw 72 1 41 49 Liverpool him.

  • How do you feel about that?

  • Yeah, I wouldn't be going back in there.

  • I'd like the look of little to win in under 3.5.

  • Girls get bit more value out of it.

  • If this were talking, um, I I would have reservations about back in Liverpool.

  • A short price, but the record and field, we all know is just absolutely incredible.

  • Unbeaten in the league since April 2017. 00:36:55.850 --> 00:37:3.890 Lester the last team to get point on field back in January on Dhe to get anything from the game and field, it takes solve industrious group. 00:37:3.890 --> 00:37:6.720 We're working well together and taught him just on that at the moment. 00:37:6.720 --> 00:37:8.580 They could scarcely look further from that. 00:37:8.590 --> 00:37:17.250 It's Goodwin in the Champions League in mid week, but I've got one win in the last four pressures, obviously, on Pa Tino, I personally don't think it should be.

  • But there is definitely pressure there on him, on and off.

  • So we've had all these alleged issues in the dressing room building up of the last few weeks.

  • So the corresponding fixture finished to one last season.

  • I think a similar result is probably worth a look.

  • So yeah, Liverpool to win.

  • And under 3.5 girls.

  • Jason, what do you make of that precious surrounding Park City at the moment?

  • Is it warranted?

  • Hey, look, you don't know what you have until it's gone.

  • Like, you know, If he does go, what comes in does talk about Marino.

  • We all know what that entails.

  • Yes, you might get a few trophies board.

  • At what cost?

  • Look, there's contract issues as well, which is going on set Lanny Club, especially when it's your man.

  • Big stars likes for Tongue and Erickson, best player, best defender writings for tongue and and you know it was good. 00:37:59.610 --> 00:38:0.020 It was good. 00:38:0.020 --> 00:38:2.470 Therapeutic win mid week got few goals. 00:38:2.470 --> 00:38:3.410 Get back in the groove. 00:38:3.420 --> 00:38:5.540 Ali's up and running again, which is a big loss. 00:38:5.590 --> 00:38:11.360 I mean, I see people come in and said, At least we know a foreign born He's been injured, like open a player, be informed of the

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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