But I thinkclosertohome, ifwedoitlikeforlikecombatAsiansbetweenthetwobluechips, I havebeenalongterm a bullonBB, and I don't don't changethathaveseenitall. 00:00:46.240 --> 00:01:9.150 I thinkthatBP I havebasedontheirrecentfinancialsbasedontheirrecentacidacquisitions, basedontheoptimizationthatandmoreespeciallybobbedatleastconstantreiterationoffLordbreak, evenperhapsaslowas $30 givesmegivesme a lotofcomfort, and I think I wouldsaywithBP, I have a pricetargetof 650 penceand I think I have a byebyerecommendationonthat. 00:01:9.420 --> 00:01:11.550 Now, withShell, wecandoit.
Wecoulddo a sortof a comparisonbetweenboththesystembluechips, if I mayfind a cornerthat I thinkwouldshellmy.
Myissueisthatthereisnobreakoutnewsthat I canseewithShell.
There's nonomassivedevelopmentlikewesawwithBPlastweekandinthesterlingnumbersthatbesortofleveragealmostwas a quadruplingoff.
Profitsareon a grandrealizedquarterlybasiswithShell.
I thinkwhatformethatwouldn't entailnotincreasingmypositionbutnotdecreasingiteither.
Soyougointo a holdingpatternwithshell, youtaketakingthedividends.
Ithasneverdisappointed, giveyou a differenceintheSecondWorldWar, and I don't expectthattochange. 00:02:0.040 --> 00:02:3.750 It's a companythatisthatisstableinandishappyatpeacewithitself. 00:02:3.890 --> 00:02:5.710 Butthere's nobreakoutannouncementlikeBP. 00:02:5.840 --> 00:02:8.610 But, baby, I wouldsaybyeandonwardsandupwards. 00:02:8.640 --> 00:02:11.680 So I thinkthat's how I wouldcompareandcontrasttodobluechips.
Andasfarasthelike.
LikeCEOsoundbitesgoes I thinkBobDudleyiswinningit.
Inmyopinion, yeah, veryquicklyrolledupShellhas a numberofdifferentclassifications.
I justbroughtupthesharepricechantfor B, butwhat's we'reonthiskindofflick?
Quicklytow a.
Explainthedifference.
ThedifferenceisthatAdi s A hasanexportedwithDutchtaxman.
SoSoittrades a discountorgsbe.
I thinkformefromtheUKperspective, theRGsbeexposureismuchbetterbecauseyoudon't gethitbytheDutchtaxdeduction.
SoourTSAitwouldbe a discountedplay, butyouneedtotakeintoaccountthatyourdividendmightbedeductedintermsoftheDutchtaxlevy.
Sardi S B isthisistheplanehere. 00:02:53.370 --> 00:03:2.330 Quiteoften, whenwetalktoclientsaboutinvestinginthisspaceandofcourse, tradingaswelltheyquiteoftengoforsmall, midsmallcapstocksbecausethey're a bitmorevolatile. 00:03:2.340 --> 00:03:5.650 Anyhintsthereastowhatyou'rebuyingatthemoment? 00:03:5.940 --> 00:03:17.390 I thinkapartfromthebluechips, I wouldsaytwoofmyfavoritesofHighlandsNaturalResourceisIt's Ah, it's a mainmarketlistedsmallcapand, ofcourse, ah, bitofanoldfavoriterockhopperexplorations.
Nowboth.
I'm goingwiththemforverydifferentreasons.
Letmestartwith.
Perhaps, Roccoprofessed.
NowwithRockHopper, What I seeisthattheoptimization, thebasicprocess, oftenmagician, we'retalkingthebigboys.
Nowthisguy's havinginternaldomestictroubleswithinArgentina, butmoreorlessrockhopper. 00:03:55.520 --> 00:04:2.630 Givenallitspreviousvariablesonanevenkeel, it's offering a betteroperatingclimatewithPresidentMacriintheWhiteHouse. 00:04:2.630 --> 00:04:8.860 Whateverhe's dealingwithdomesticallySo I thinktheoperatedclimatehasimprovedandtheoptimizationproofthat's what I think. 00:04:8.860 --> 00:04:14.710 I seerockovergoingtoabout 17 in a 6 to 12 monthsoutDarkBasinwiththeHighlands.
TheHighlandsnaturalresourceisis, is a veryinterestingone.
Now I hadfulldisclosure.
I hadthepleasureofvisitingoneoff.
They'rethey'reallfreezethedrillingsites.
And I thinkit's a beautifulcrudethatoneofthoseMormonpopeindependencetheirtheirproductionvolumesairarenothingcomparedtothemajorsthatproducing 5000 battles.
Buttoquotetocall, toseeyouandtoquoteallthealltheroughnecksandeverythingelsethat I metoutthere, thattheywon't doitonbudgetontimeandsafelydelivered.
Andwhatthey'redoingisthey'reuberoptimizedpress.
IstheresomethingcalledDTUltraBetit's kindoflike a maximizationtechniqueforforenhancedoilrecovery. 00:04:53.570 --> 00:05:4.330 They'reputtingthebestinclasssortoftechniquesoutthere, andtheyactuallyhavefarmedouttheacreagefromConocoPhillipsandallMajor, andthey'rethey'rethey'redoingitratherwell. 00:05:4.620 --> 00:05:12.110 They'vegot a steakfromfromHalliburtonagainwhetherthebigmajors, oilfieldservicecompaniesandwhatdoyouseewiththeHighlandsiswhatyouget.
Ifyoulookatthesmallcapsandpeoplewanttohave a flutteroveronthehighrisk, highrewardpremisethatare a lotofcourtsandnotnamingnames, I keepattachingthatcaveatthatthey'redrillingoutinMozambiqueininArgentinaandshalein X amountofplacesandturnedoutintwoBagger, wheretherearecertain, let's say, geopoliticalimpediments.
Thepartyclimatesnonsense.
If I don't expectthesametoe, applytoColorado, therearesomelegislativeimpediments.
ButtheUnitedStatesisstillas, andeveniftherearesome, someminorchangesremains a veryfriendlyplacetodrillforoilandgas. 00:05:56.690 --> 00:06:2.950 Sohereisonecos a smallcapin a relativelystablemarket, andit's producingoils. 00:06:2.990 --> 00:06:4.580 It's makingmoneyoffthebackoffit. 00:06:4.750 --> 00:06:8.310 So I I don't agreewithScottevaluation, whichissomewherearound 21 p. 00:06:8.540 --> 00:06:14.100 I suspectmyconservativeestimates 12 monthoutisitshouldbeneardoublethatprice.
Thethreearemypicksforforsomebroadrangingreason I'm not I'm notnecessarilysayingthattheirsharepricewouldovershootandsetof a light.
Thereason I pickedthemisthattheygiveyou, ah, stable, differentneworsomeonebeingfourand 1/2 percenttofiveand 1/2 percent.
Sothat's festive, andallthreeofthemaretradingat a discount.
So I thinkthesethreecanofferyousomeindirectplace. 00:07:54.350 --> 00:08:0.630 Ofcourse, thereareotherCityofLondonandmatchetcetera, whereyoucanindirectlyhave a playonshellandBP. 00:08:0.690 --> 00:08:6.110 ButtheseareThesearethreeverydifferentanimals, and I thinktheyofferahsortof, ah, spreadacrossit. 00:08:6.110 --> 00:08:7.850 SoyougottheutilityexposureGo. 00:08:7.850 --> 00:08:9.770 Thecommoditycompaniesbutyougottheminingexplorers. 00:08:9.770 --> 00:08:16.910 I thinkallthreeofthemputtogetherat a discount, giving a dividendabout 45% reasonablystable.