字幕表 動画を再生する
>>> ARE YOU ON THE VERGE OF
>>> ARE YOU ON THE VERGE OF LOSING YOUR LIFE SAVINGS OR YOUR
LOSING YOUR LIFE SAVINGS OR YOUR JOB?
JOB? HERE’S ONE ANSWER.
HERE’S ONE ANSWER. >> WE HAVE A GREAT ECONOMY.
>> WE HAVE A GREAT ECONOMY. WE HAVE A VERY STRONG ECONOMY,
WE HAVE A VERY STRONG ECONOMY, BUT THIS CAME -- THIS BLINDSIDED
BUT THIS CAME -- THIS BLINDSIDED THE WORLD, AND I THINK WE’VE
THE WORLD, AND I THINK WE’VE HANDLED IT VERY, VERY WELL.
HANDLED IT VERY, VERY WELL. >> THAT WAS THE PRESIDENT AFTER
>> THAT WAS THE PRESIDENT AFTER THE STOCK MARKET COLLAPSED AGAIN
THE STOCK MARKET COLLAPSED AGAIN TODAY AT THE WHITE HOUSE PRESS
TODAY AT THE WHITE HOUSE PRESS BRIEFING ON CORONAVIRUS WHERE
BRIEFING ON CORONAVIRUS WHERE THE PRESIDENT MADE VERY BRIEF
THE PRESIDENT MADE VERY BRIEF REMARKS BEFORE, IN EFFECT,
REMARKS BEFORE, IN EFFECT, FLEEING THE BRIEFING ROOM WHILE
FLEEING THE BRIEFING ROOM WHILE VICE PRESIDENT PENCE AND OTHERS
VICE PRESIDENT PENCE AND OTHERS TOOK A FEW QUESTIONS.
TOOK A FEW QUESTIONS. EARLIER IN THE DAY, THE
EARLIER IN THE DAY, THE PRESIDENT BLAMED THE SINKING
PRESIDENT BLAMED THE SINKING STOCK MARKET ON, QUOTE, FAKE
STOCK MARKET ON, QUOTE, FAKE NEWS.
NEWS. BUT THE NEWS ABOUT CORONAVIRUS
BUT THE NEWS ABOUT CORONAVIRUS IS VERY REAL AND IT IS NOT GOING
IS VERY REAL AND IT IS NOT GOING TO GET BETTER QUICKLY, WHICH IS
TO GET BETTER QUICKLY, WHICH IS WHY THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS
WHY THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS NOW PROPOSING EMERGENCY
NOW PROPOSING EMERGENCY LEGISLATION TO TRY TO HEAD OFF A
LEGISLATION TO TRY TO HEAD OFF A RECESSION.
RECESSION. BEFORE LEAVING THE BRIEFING
BEFORE LEAVING THE BRIEFING TONIGHT, DONALD TRUMP IDENTIFIED
TONIGHT, DONALD TRUMP IDENTIFIED ONE PROPOSAL TO COUNTER THE
ONE PROPOSAL TO COUNTER THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE
ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE CORONAVIRUS CRISIS.
CORONAVIRUS CRISIS. >> WE’RE GOING TO BE MEETING
>> WE’RE GOING TO BE MEETING WITH HOUSE REPUBLICANS, MITCH
WITH HOUSE REPUBLICANS, MITCH McCONNELL, EVERYBODY, AND
McCONNELL, EVERYBODY, AND DISCUSSING A POSSIBLE PAYROLL
DISCUSSING A POSSIBLE PAYROLL TAX CUT OR RELIEF, SUBSTANTIAL
TAX CUT OR RELIEF, SUBSTANTIAL RELIEF, VERY SUBSTANTIAL RELIEF.
RELIEF, VERY SUBSTANTIAL RELIEF. THAT’S A BIG NUMBER.
THAT’S A BIG NUMBER. >> JOINING OUR DISCUSSION NOW IS
>> JOINING OUR DISCUSSION NOW IS AUSTIN GOOLSBEE, FORMER CHAIRMAN
AUSTIN GOOLSBEE, FORMER CHAIRMAN OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC
OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA.
ADVISERS FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA. HE’S NOW A PROFESSOR OF
HE’S NOW A PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF
ECONOMICS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO.
CHICAGO. PROFESSOR GOOLSBEE, YOUR
PROFESSOR GOOLSBEE, YOUR REACTION TO WHAT THE MARKET IS
REACTION TO WHAT THE MARKET IS DOING, WHAT THE ECONOMY LOOKS
DOING, WHAT THE ECONOMY LOOKS LIKE SIX MONTHS FROM NOW IF WE
LIKE SIX MONTHS FROM NOW IF WE CAN TELL, AND THE PRESIDENT’S
CAN TELL, AND THE PRESIDENT’S LATEST IDEA OF A PAYROLL TAX
LATEST IDEA OF A PAYROLL TAX CUT?
CUT? >> WELL, LOOK, THE MARKET WAS
>> WELL, LOOK, THE MARKET WAS BORDERLINE IN TERROR.
BORDERLINE IN TERROR. IT STARTED.
IT STARTED. WE HAD ONE OF THE WORST WEEKS IN
WE HAD ONE OF THE WORST WEEKS IN MANY YEARS, AND THEN THE FLIGHT
MANY YEARS, AND THEN THE FLIGHT TO SAFETY AS THE FINANCE PEOPLE
TO SAFETY AS THE FINANCE PEOPLE CALL IT OF PEOPLE BUYING UP
CALL IT OF PEOPLE BUYING UP TREASURY BONDS BECAUSE THEY
TREASURY BONDS BECAUSE THEY THINK THEY’RE THE SAFEST ASSET
THINK THEY’RE THE SAFEST ASSET IN THE WORLD, LITERALLY BROUGHT
IN THE WORLD, LITERALLY BROUGHT THE INTEREST RATE TO THE LOWEST
THE INTEREST RATE TO THE LOWEST IT’S EVER BEEN, LOWER THAN IN
IT’S EVER BEEN, LOWER THAN IN THE FINANCIAL CRISIS, LOWER THAN
THE FINANCIAL CRISIS, LOWER THAN EVER.
EVER. AND YOU SAW TODAY THE MARKET
AND YOU SAW TODAY THE MARKET DROPS.
DROPS. PEOPLE ARE NERVOUS.
PEOPLE ARE NERVOUS. THEY LOOK AT CHINA.
THEY LOOK AT CHINA. THEY LOOK AT ITALY.
THEY LOOK AT ITALY. THEY SEE THAT THERE IS SEVERE
THEY SEE THAT THERE IS SEVERE SLOWDOWNS IN PLACES WHERE THEY
SLOWDOWNS IN PLACES WHERE THEY HAVE TO IMPOSE THESE
HAVE TO IMPOSE THESE QUARANTINES.
QUARANTINES. AND WE’RE ON THE BRINK OF WHAT
AND WE’RE ON THE BRINK OF WHAT MAY BE THE BIGGEST PANDEMIC IN
MAY BE THE BIGGEST PANDEMIC IN OVER A CENTURY, AND IT’S CLEAR
OVER A CENTURY, AND IT’S CLEAR THE WHITE HOUSE HAS NO IDEA
THE WHITE HOUSE HAS NO IDEA WHAT’S GOING ON.
WHAT’S GOING ON. THEY’RE NOT TESTING.
THEY’RE NOT TESTING. WE HAD THE PRESIDENT OF THE
WE HAD THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES HIMSELF GET UP A
UNITED STATES HIMSELF GET UP A FEW DAYS AGO AND SAY, WE HAVE
FEW DAYS AGO AND SAY, WE HAVE ONLY 14 CASES, AND PRETTY SOON
ONLY 14 CASES, AND PRETTY SOON THAT WILL BE DOWN TO ZERO.
THAT WILL BE DOWN TO ZERO. AND PUBLIC HEALTH OFFICIALS IN
AND PUBLIC HEALTH OFFICIALS IN THE UNITED STATES AND AROUND THE
THE UNITED STATES AND AROUND THE WORLD JUST KIND OF LOOKED AT
WORLD JUST KIND OF LOOKED AT EACH OTHER AND SAID, OH, MY GOD.
EACH OTHER AND SAID, OH, MY GOD. IS THERE NOT A PLAN TO TRY TO
IS THERE NOT A PLAN TO TRY TO SLOW THE SPREAD OF THIS VIRUS
SLOW THE SPREAD OF THIS VIRUS BECAUSE THAT IS THE CRITICAL
BECAUSE THAT IS THE CRITICAL THING FOR HELPING THE ECONOMY.
THING FOR HELPING THE ECONOMY. THE REASON THAT PEOPLE GETTING A
THE REASON THAT PEOPLE GETTING A PAYROLL TAX CUT IS PROBABLY NOT
PAYROLL TAX CUT IS PROBABLY NOT THE RIGHT ANSWER IS BECAUSE, A,
THE RIGHT ANSWER IS BECAUSE, A, A BUNCH OF PEOPLE ARE GOING TO
A BUNCH OF PEOPLE ARE GOING TO LOSE THEIR JOBS, SO THEY DON’T
LOSE THEIR JOBS, SO THEY DON’T PAY PAYROLL TAX.
PAY PAYROLL TAX. A BUNCH OF PEOPLE ARE RETIRED,
A BUNCH OF PEOPLE ARE RETIRED, SO THEY DON’T PAY ANY PAYROLL
SO THEY DON’T PAY ANY PAYROLL TAX.
TAX. BUT EVEN IF YOU GIVE THE PEOPLE
BUT EVEN IF YOU GIVE THE PEOPLE A PAYROLL TAX CUT, THEY’RE NOT
A PAYROLL TAX CUT, THEY’RE NOT GOING OUT OF THEIR HOUSE BECAUSE
GOING OUT OF THEIR HOUSE BECAUSE THEY’RE AFRAID TO GO TO PUBLIC
THEY’RE AFRAID TO GO TO PUBLIC PLACES.
PLACES. AND A LARGE SHARE OF THE U.S.
AND A LARGE SHARE OF THE U.S. ECONOMY ARE SERVICES AND THE
ECONOMY ARE SERVICES AND THE FACE-TO-FACE KIND OF ACTIVITIES
FACE-TO-FACE KIND OF ACTIVITIES THAT ARE EXACTLY WHAT GET
THAT ARE EXACTLY WHAT GET HAMMERED IN THIS KIND OF A FEAR
HAMMERED IN THIS KIND OF A FEAR CRISIS.
CRISIS. AND SO I DON’T REALLY SEE THAT
AND SO I DON’T REALLY SEE THAT THE PAYROLL TAX IS THE OBVIOUS
THE PAYROLL TAX IS THE OBVIOUS FIRST STEP ON THAT.
FIRST STEP ON THAT. >> IS THERE A FIRST STEP TO TAKE
>> IS THERE A FIRST STEP TO TAKE HERE TO DEAL WITH WHAT THE
HERE TO DEAL WITH WHAT THE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS YOU FORESEE
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS YOU FORESEE AND ANY -- AND WHAT THE STOCK
AND ANY -- AND WHAT THE STOCK MARKET’S DOING?
MARKET’S DOING? >> YEAH.
>> YEAH. LOOK, I THINK THERE ARE SEVERAL
LOOK, I THINK THERE ARE SEVERAL FIRST STEPS, AND THE BACKDROP TO
FIRST STEPS, AND THE BACKDROP TO THE FIRST STEPS ARE WE HAVE TO
THE FIRST STEPS ARE WE HAVE TO HOPE THAT THIS CORONAVIRUS
HOPE THAT THIS CORONAVIRUS FOLLOWS THE PATTERN OF A FLU
FOLLOWS THE PATTERN OF A FLU VIRUS, NOT AN EBOLA VIRUS, WHICH
VIRUS, NOT AN EBOLA VIRUS, WHICH IS TO SAY THAT IF WE GET TO
IS TO SAY THAT IF WE GET TO WARMER WEATHER AND IN THE
WARMER WEATHER AND IN THE SUMMER, THAT WE MIGHT HAVE SOME
SUMMER, THAT WE MIGHT HAVE SOME KIND OF A RESPITE, THAT THE
KIND OF A RESPITE, THAT THE INFECTION RATES MIGHT GO DOWN.
INFECTION RATES MIGHT GO DOWN. SO THE FIRST THING IS YOU DON’T
SO THE FIRST THING IS YOU DON’T WANT TO HAVE PEOPLE HAVING TO GO
WANT TO HAVE PEOPLE HAVING TO GO BANKRUPT, AND YOU DON’T WANT TO
BANKRUPT, AND YOU DON’T WANT TO HAVE TO HAVE THEM GO TO WORK
HAVE TO HAVE THEM GO TO WORK WHEN THEY’RE SICK.
WHEN THEY’RE SICK. SO I THINK PAID LEAVE IS AN
SO I THINK PAID LEAVE IS AN ABSOLUTE FIRST STEP THAT WE
ABSOLUTE FIRST STEP THAT WE OUGHT TO BE GETTING EVERYBODY
OUGHT TO BE GETTING EVERYBODY PAID LEAVE.
PAID LEAVE. AND THE THING ABOUT VIRUS
AND THE THING ABOUT VIRUS ECONOMICS, AS I SAY, THAT MAKES
ECONOMICS, AS I SAY, THAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT THAN REGULAR IS
IT DIFFERENT THAN REGULAR IS THAT WITH VIRUS ECONOMICS, THE
THAT WITH VIRUS ECONOMICS, THE BEST THING YOU COULD DO FOR THE