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  • HE TALKED ABOUT THE MARKET. HE TALKED ABOUT THE ECONOMY.

  • HE TALKED ABOUT THE ECONOMY. LET’S TAKE A LISTEN.

  • LET’S TAKE A LISTEN. >> I JUST THINK EVERYBODY,

  • >> I JUST THINK EVERYBODY, WHETHER YOURE AN INVESTOR OR

  • WHETHER YOURE AN INVESTOR OR WHETHER YOURE, YOU KNOW,

  • WHETHER YOURE, YOU KNOW, ORDINARY MAIN STREET PERSON,

  • ORDINARY MAIN STREET PERSON, PEOPLE SHOULD NOT OVERREACT.

  • PEOPLE SHOULD NOT OVERREACT. THAT’S THE IMPORTANT THING.

  • THAT’S THE IMPORTANT THING. THE MARKET HAS SHORT-RUN

  • THE MARKET HAS SHORT-RUN CORRECTION.

  • CORRECTION. AND I GUESS IT’S 10 OR 11% OR

  • AND I GUESS IT’S 10 OR 11% OR SOMETHING.

  • SOMETHING. WEVE BEEN THROUGH THIS MANY,

  • WEVE BEEN THROUGH THIS MANY, MANY TIMES BEFORE.

  • MANY TIMES BEFORE. AND I DON’T THINK EVEN THOUGH

  • AND I DON’T THINK EVEN THOUGH IT’S A FRONT PAGE STORY AND

  • IT’S A FRONT PAGE STORY AND NOBODY LIKES TO SEE THEIR ASSET

  • NOBODY LIKES TO SEE THEIR ASSET VALUES GO DOWN, I JUST DON’T

  • VALUES GO DOWN, I JUST DON’T THINK AT THIS POINT IT’S GOING

  • THINK AT THIS POINT IT’S GOING TO HAVE MUCH OF AN IMPACT.

  • TO HAVE MUCH OF AN IMPACT. >> SO, STEPH, TRUTH SQUAD THAT

  • >> SO, STEPH, TRUTH SQUAD THAT FOR US.

  • FOR US. IS THAT JUST WHITE HOUSE HAPPY

  • IS THAT JUST WHITE HOUSE HAPPY TALK OR IS KUDLOW ONTO SOMETHING

  • TALK OR IS KUDLOW ONTO SOMETHING HERE?

  • HERE? >>.

  • >>. >> LISTEN, LARRY KUDLOW ISN’T

  • >> LISTEN, LARRY KUDLOW ISN’T NECESSARILY WRONG.

  • NECESSARILY WRONG. FROM A NUMBERS PERSPECTIVE,

  • FROM A NUMBERS PERSPECTIVE, THEYRE VERY SIMILAR.

  • THEYRE VERY SIMILAR. WHEN THE MARKET DROPPED DURING

  • WHEN THE MARKET DROPPED DURING THE FINANCIAL CRISIS, UNDERLYING

  • THE FINANCIAL CRISIS, UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTALS WERE DISASTROUS.

  • FUNDAMENTALS WERE DISASTROUS. RIGHT NOW WE DON’T KNOW THE

  • RIGHT NOW WE DON’T KNOW THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH THE

  • RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CORONAVIRUS AND HOW YOU WOULD

  • CORONAVIRUS AND HOW YOU WOULD NORMALLY SAY NO NEWS IS GOOD

  • NORMALLY SAY NO NEWS IS GOOD NEWS.

  • NEWS. IN THIS CASE, NO NEWS HAS PEOPLE

  • IN THIS CASE, NO NEWS HAS PEOPLE MORE AND MORE CONCERNED.

  • MORE AND MORE CONCERNED. TWO DAYS AGO WHEN WE FIRST HEARD

  • TWO DAYS AGO WHEN WE FIRST HEARD FROM THE WHITE HOUSE, YES, THEY

  • FROM THE WHITE HOUSE, YES, THEY WERE CAUGHT FLAT-FOOTED.

  • WERE CAUGHT FLAT-FOOTED. YOU HAD A LOT OF PEOPLE NOT IN

  • YOU HAD A LOT OF PEOPLE NOT IN ROLES TO ADDRESS THESE KINDS OF

  • ROLES TO ADDRESS THESE KINDS OF THINGS.

  • THINGS. REMEMBER, TOM BOSSART USED TO BE

  • REMEMBER, TOM BOSSART USED TO BE THE HOMELAND SECURITY ADVISER.

  • THE HOMELAND SECURITY ADVISER. WHEN WE SAW JOHN BOLTON TAKE

  • WHEN WE SAW JOHN BOLTON TAKE OVER, HE WASN’T REPLACED.

  • OVER, HE WASN’T REPLACED. THE WHITE HOUSE WAS FLAT-FOOTED

  • THE WHITE HOUSE WAS FLAT-FOOTED A FEW DAYS AGO.

  • A FEW DAYS AGO. THE LACK OF INFORMATION FROM THE

  • THE LACK OF INFORMATION FROM THE WHITE HOUSE FOR THE LAST FEW

  • WHITE HOUSE FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS SENT THE MARKETS DOWN

  • DAYS HAS SENT THE MARKETS DOWN BUT ALSO IT HAS CAUSED

  • BUT ALSO IT HAS CAUSED GOVERNMENTS AND COMPANIES TO

  • GOVERNMENTS AND COMPANIES TO CHANGE THEIR BEHAVIOR.

  • CHANGE THEIR BEHAVIOR. SO GOLDMAN SACHS ISN’T WRONG

  • SO GOLDMAN SACHS ISN’T WRONG WHEN THEYRE DROPPING THEIR

  • WHEN THEYRE DROPPING THEIR FORECAST FOR GROWTH AND TIM COOK

  • FORECAST FOR GROWTH AND TIM COOK FROM APPLE ISN’T WRONG WHEN HE

  • FROM APPLE ISN’T WRONG WHEN HE IS SOMEWHAT OPTIMISTIC.

  • IS SOMEWHAT OPTIMISTIC. BOTH CAN BE TRUE.

  • BOTH CAN BE TRUE. THIS ECONOMY HAS BEEN GROWING

  • THIS ECONOMY HAS BEEN GROWING BECAUSE OF CONSUMER SPENDING AND

  • BECAUSE OF CONSUMER SPENDING AND SUDDENLY IF CONSUMERS ARE ALL

  • SUDDENLY IF CONSUMERS ARE ALL GOING TO CHANGE OUR BEHAVIOR

  • GOING TO CHANGE OUR BEHAVIOR BECAUSE OF THE PERRECAUTIONS WE

  • BECAUSE OF THE PERRECAUTIONS WETAKING, THEN THE ECONOMY WILL

  • TAKING, THEN THE ECONOMY WILL DROP.

  • DROP. THERE’S SO MANY UNKNOWNS, SO

  • THERE’S SO MANY UNKNOWNS, SO IT’S NOT FAIR TO SAY THINGS ARE

  • IT’S NOT FAIR TO SAY THINGS ARE DISASTROUSLY IN THE RED AND

  • DISASTROUSLY IN THE RED AND THEYRE GOING TO STAY THERE.

  • THEYRE GOING TO STAY THERE. THEY COULD TURN GREEN.

  • THEY COULD TURN GREEN. >> YEAH.

  • >> YEAH. GENE SPERLING, I WANT TO GET YOU

  • GENE SPERLING, I WANT TO GET YOU TO WEIGH IN ON KUDLOW’S COMMENTS

  • TO WEIGH IN ON KUDLOW’S COMMENTS THERE.

  • THERE. >> WELL, I COULDN’T DISAGREE

  • >> WELL, I COULDN’T DISAGREE WITH THE APPROACH THAT THEY ARE

  • WITH THE APPROACH THAT THEY ARE TAKING MORE.

  • TAKING MORE. THIS IS A SERIOUS ISSUE AND I

  • THIS IS A SERIOUS ISSUE AND I THINK WHEN YOURE IN GOVERNMENT,

  • THINK WHEN YOURE IN GOVERNMENT, THE BEST THING YOU CAN DO IS TO

  • THE BEST THING YOU CAN DO IS TO ACTUALLY FOCUS ON THE REAL

  • ACTUALLY FOCUS ON THE REAL PROBLEM, TO LOOK LIKE YOU HAVE

  • PROBLEM, TO LOOK LIKE YOU HAVE 100% LASER FOCUS ON PREPARATION,

  • 100% LASER FOCUS ON PREPARATION, ON THE ACTUAL, ON THE GROUND

  • ON THE ACTUAL, ON THE GROUND THINGS THAT WILL MAKE THE UNITED

  • THINGS THAT WILL MAKE THE UNITED STATES BETTER PREPARED AND SHOW

  • STATES BETTER PREPARED AND SHOW THAT WERE BEING SERIOUS.

  • THAT WERE BEING SERIOUS. THIS IS NOT IRRATIONAL BEHAVIOR

  • THIS IS NOT IRRATIONAL BEHAVIOR BY THE MARKET.

  • BY THE MARKET. THEY ARE LOOKING AT A DRAMATIC

  • THEY ARE LOOKING AT A DRAMATIC FALL IN TOURISM AND TRAVEL, ONE,

  • FALL IN TOURISM AND TRAVEL, ONE, TWO, THEY ARE LOOKING AT A

  • TWO, THEY ARE LOOKING AT A DRAMATIC DISRUPTION OF THE

  • DRAMATIC DISRUPTION OF THE GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN THAT GOES

  • GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN THAT GOES BEYOND THE WUHAN REGION AT A

  • BEYOND THE WUHAN REGION AT A TIME WHEN MANUFACTURING WAS NEAR

  • TIME WHEN MANUFACTURING WAS NEAR DEPRESSION AND WHEN GLOBAL

  • DEPRESSION AND WHEN GLOBAL INVENTORIES ARE LOW AND

  • INVENTORIES ARE LOW AND MANUFACTURING OPERATES IN JUST

  • MANUFACTURING OPERATES IN JUST IN TIME MANUFACTURING, MEANING A

  • IN TIME MANUFACTURING, MEANING A DISRUPTION IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN

  • DISRUPTION IN THE SUPPLY CHAIN COULD BE PARTICULARLY HARMFUL.

  • COULD BE PARTICULARLY HARMFUL. AND TO GO FURTHER ON WHAT

  • AND TO GO FURTHER ON WHAT STEPHANIE SAID, RIGHT NOW WHEN

  • STEPHANIE SAID, RIGHT NOW WHEN YOUVE LOOKED AT THE U.S.

  • YOUVE LOOKED AT THE U.S. ECONOMY, THE THING THAT HAS MADE

  • ECONOMY, THE THING THAT HAS MADE YOU FEEL MORE POSITIVE WAS THAT

  • YOU FEEL MORE POSITIVE WAS THAT THE CONSUMER HAD REMAINED

  • THE CONSUMER HAD REMAINED STRONG.

  • STRONG. NOW SUDDENLY YOU HAVE THIS

  • NOW SUDDENLY YOU HAVE THIS DRAMATIC "X" FACTOR THAT WE SEE

  • DRAMATIC "X" FACTOR THAT WE SEE PLAYING OUT EVERY DAY, THAT

  • PLAYING OUT EVERY DAY, THAT EVERY CONSUMER WE KNOW IN OUR

  • EVERY CONSUMER WE KNOW IN OUR LIVES IS THINKING ABOUT

  • LIVES IS THINKING ABOUT ADJUSTING THEIR BEHAVIOR, EVERY

  • ADJUSTING THEIR BEHAVIOR, EVERY COMPANY IS PULLING BACK.

  • COMPANY IS PULLING BACK. THAT IS REAL.

  • THAT IS REAL. IT’S NOT JUST A MARKET

  • IT’S NOT JUST A MARKET PSYCHOLOGY KIND OF CHALLENGE, IT

  • PSYCHOLOGY KIND OF CHALLENGE, IT IS ABOUT PEOPLE LOOKING AT THE

  • IS ABOUT PEOPLE LOOKING AT THE ECONOMY AND THE BEST THING THAT

  • ECONOMY AND THE BEST THING THAT LARRY KUDLOW AND THE

  • LARRY KUDLOW AND THE ADMINISTRATION CAN DO IS SOMEHOW

  • ADMINISTRATION CAN DO IS SOMEHOW WERE NOT ABOUT TALKING UP THE

  • WERE NOT ABOUT TALKING UP THE MARKET, WERE NOT ABOUT

  • MARKET, WERE NOT ABOUT ECONOMICS.

  • ECONOMICS. WERE SERIOUS AND TO LOOK MORE

  • WERE SERIOUS AND TO LOOK MORE LIKE A CLOWN SHOW THAT LOOKS

  • LIKE A CLOWN SHOW THAT LOOKS LIKE IT IS, YOU KNOW, WORRIED

  • LIKE IT IS, YOU KNOW, WORRIED ABOUT THE POLITICAL SPIN OF THE

  • ABOUT THE POLITICAL SPIN OF THE MOMENT OR TRYING TO TALK UP THE

  • MOMENT OR TRYING TO TALK UP THE MARKET OR TELL CONSUMERS TO BUY

  • MARKET OR TELL CONSUMERS TO BUY THE DIP BEFORE THE MARKET GOES

  • THE DIP BEFORE THE MARKET GOES DOWN ANOTHER 10%, NOT ONLY

  • DOWN ANOTHER 10%, NOT ONLY DOESN’T PROVIDE THAT CONFIDENCE,

  • DOESN’T PROVIDE THAT CONFIDENCE, IT ACTUALLY MAKES THE UNITED

  • IT ACTUALLY MAKES THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT LOOK LIKE

  • STATES GOVERNMENT LOOK LIKE THEYRE NOT ON THE JOB AND THAT

HE TALKED ABOUT THE MARKET. HE TALKED ABOUT THE ECONOMY.

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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