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  • >> THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME.

  • >> ALSO WITH US THIS EVENING.

  • CHAIRMAN OF THE INSTITUTE FOR

  • THE STUDY OF WAR AND FOX NEWS

  • SENIOR STRATEGIC ANALYST.

  • GENERAL, GOOD TO SEE YOU THIS

  • EVENING.

  • GOOD TO BE HERE.

  • I WANT TO START WITH THIS.

  • THIS IS A SOUND BITE FROM THE

  • FORMER CIA DIRECTOR MIKE MOREL.

  • HERE'S WHAT HE SAID ABOUT WHAT

  • WE CAN ALL EXPECT NOW.

  • WATCH.

  • >> THE PROBLEM IS THAT COMES IN

  • A VERY HIGH COST.

  • NUMBER ONE, THERE WILL BE DEAD

  • AMERICANS, DID CIVILIAN

  • AMERICANS AS A RESULT OF THIS,

  • POSSIBLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS

  • IN ANY PLACE WHERE IRAN HAS ITS

  • PROXIES, IRAQ IS THE MOST LIKELY

  • PLACE.

  • BUT ALSO LEBANON, BAHRAIN, OTHER

  • PLACES IN THE MIDDLE EAST.

  • >> Martha: DO YOU AGREE WITH

  • THAT?

  • >> I THINK THE IRANIANS ARE

  • GOING TO RETALIATE, THAT'S FOR

  • SURE.

  • WHAT'S GOING ON WITH THE

  • IRANIANS SO OUR VIEWERS CAN

  • UNDERSTAND THE, THE CIVIL UNREST

  • DRIVEN BY THE SANCTIONS HAS

  • REALLY GOT THE IRANIANS BACK ON

  • THEIR HEELS.

  • IT SPIKED IN NOVEMBER.

  • THERE IS NOTHING MORE

  • THREATENING TO THE REGIME THAN

  • THEIR OWN PEOPLE.

  • THAT HAS WHAT HAS GOT THEIR

  • CONCERN.

  • THEY ARE DETERMINED TO CREATE AS

  • MUCH CRISIS AS THEY CAN FOR THE

  • INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY TO PUT

  • PRESSURE ON PRESIDENT TRUMP TO

  • BACK OFF SANCTIONS AND THAT IS

  • WHY, AS YOU MENTIONED IN THE

  • INTRODUCTION WITH OUR FORMER

  • PREVIOUS GUEST, WHY THEY HAVE

  • BEEN ESCALATING MILITARY ACTIONS

  • THAT CREATE THAT CRISIS TO

  • PRESSURE THE PRESIDENT.

  • BUT THE PROBLEM IS THEY CROSSED

  • A RED LINE WITH THIS PRESIDENT

  • WHEN HE EXERCISED ENORMOUS

  • CONSTRAINT IN NOT TAKING

  • PROVOCATION BUT SAID DON'T KILL

  • ANY AMERICANS.

  • WHEN HE DID, HE ACTED VERY

  • STRONGLY AS WE'VE SEEN.

  • >> Martha: THE SUGGESTION THAT

  • THERE IS NO STRATEGY IS WHEN YOU

  • HEAR A LOT.

  • STARTED HEARING IT LAST NIGHT

  • AND ALL THROUGH TODAY, BUT IT

  • STRIKES ME THAT IT WAS OBVIOUS

  • THAT IN THE PRIOR

  • ADMINISTRATION, STRATEGY WAS TO

  • NEGOTIATE A DEAL.

  • AND TO TRY TO CREATE AN

  • ENVIRONMENT THAT THE ESCALATED

  • THROUGH THAT AVENUE.

  • BUT CLEARLY THIS PRESIDENT HAS A

  • DIFFERENT WAY OF GOING ABOUT IT.

  • AS I SAID AT THE TOP, HE IS THE

  • FIRST ONE TO TAKE OUT SOLEIMANI

  • BUT SOMETHING THESE OTHER

  • PRESIDENTS, PRESIDENT OBAMA,

  • PRESIDENT BUSH HAD, I'D IMAGINE.

  • >> IT'S A DEFINITE STRATEGY

  • HERE.

  • THIS TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LOOK

  • AT THE APPEASEMENT STRATEGY AS I

  • WOULD DEFINE IT, THAT

  • PRESIDENT OBAMA HAD AS A SEMINAL

  • FOREIGN POLICY OBJECTIVE, HIS

  • NIXON MOMENT GOING TO CHINA IS

  • WHAT HE WAS TRYING TO ACHIEVE.

  • HE THOUGHT BY APPEASING THE

  • IRANIANS, THE NUCLEAR DEAL THE

  • CENTERPIECE OF IT, THAT THEY

  • WOULD ACT RESPONSIBLY AND JOIN

  • THEIR COMMUNITY OF RESPONSIBLE

  • NATIONS AND WHAT DID WE GET?

  • WE GOT $130 BILLION PUT IN THEIR

  • HANDS, FUELING THE CIVIL WARS IN

  • SYRIA AND YEMEN, HUNDREDS AND

  • THOUSANDS OF ROCKETS IN LEBANON.

  • THE MIDDLE EAST WAS PUT ON FIRE

  • AND AS A RESULT OF IT, THIS

  • ADMINISTRATION CAME IN AND FOR

  • THE MENTALLY REJECTED THAT

  • STRATEGY AND WITH OUR ALLIES

  • DEFINITELY HAD AS A STRATEGY.

  • AS TO CONFRONT THE IRANIANS

  • USING DIPLOMATIC AND ECONOMIC

  • MEANS TO THE BRING THEM BACK TO

  • THE NEGOTIATING TABLE TO CURB

  • THEIR BEHAVIOR IN THE REGION.

  • THAT IS A SOUND STRATEGY.

  • THAT'S WHAT THIS ADMINISTRATION

  • IS ABOUT.

  • TO SAY THEY DON'T HAVE ONE IS

  • NONSENSE.

  • >> Martha: WE ARE GOING TO

  • HAVE TO LEAVE IT THERE BUT WE

  • NOTICED WE HAVE OUR MILITARY ON

  • ALERT IN ITALY FOR THE

  • POSSIBILITY OF POTENTIALLY GOING

  • INTO PROTECT OUR ASSETS AND

  • EMPHASES IN LEBANON AND YOU SAY

  • RETALIATION IS LIKELY --

  • >> THEY ARE GOING TO GO IN AND

  • IN THE EVENT THERE HAS TO BE AN

  • EVACUATION AND PRESSURE IS PUT.

  • GOING TO LEBANON TO EVACUATE THE

  • EMBASSY AND THE 82ND WOULD GO TO

  • EVACUATE THE EMBASSY.

>> THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME.

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キーン将軍、空爆の降下物の中で米国とイランの緊張について (General Keane on US-Iran tensions amid airstrike fallout)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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