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  • JUDY WOODRUFF: Turning back now to the race for the White House and the divisions over

  • Representative Omar's recent remarks, it is time for Politics Monday, with Amy Walter

  • of The Cook Political Report and Lisa Lerer, a politics reporter for The New York Times.

  • Hello to both of you.

  • It's Politics Monday.

  • So much so talk about.

  • But let's start with Andrew Yang.

  • He's one of the presidential -- many presidential candidates out there on the Democratic side.

  • And, by the way, we should say, Amy, that today, we had -- on the Republican side, we

  • just learned in the last few hours Bill Weld joining -- saying that he will take on the

  • president on the Republican side.

  • But, on the Democratic side, Andrew Yang, and then you had yesterday the -- Pete Buttigieg

  • announcing officially, jumping into the race.

  • But talk about Andrew Yang and what his early message is.

  • AMY WALTER, The Cook Political Report: Well, his early message seems to be one of a revolutionary,

  • right?

  • I'm not coming in just to be a candidate to throw some rather traditional ideas around.

  • I'm going to come in here and put these big, sort of dramatic ideas, like the universal

  • basic income, like legalizing a small amount of heroin, these sorts of things, with the

  • idea perhaps that it gets to be part of the conversation.

  • Even if he is not the candidate, he is not the front-runner, he doesn't stay in for very

  • long, that it sparks a conversation within the rest of the party.

  • This is what happens at this point in most campaigns, right?

  • You have a whole bunch of candidates.

  • The field ultimately winnows out.

  • But many candidates try to put as many ideas out there as possible, hoping that if they

  • can't last, maybe one of their ideas will.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: Can someone like Yang shape the race in some way, do you think?

  • LISA LERER, The New York Times: He may.

  • I think it tells us -- his popularity -- he's already qualified for the debate stage -- tells

  • us something about the media environment, the political environment we live in now.

  • This is someone who really got those -- met those debate requirements by appearing on

  • popular podcasts.

  • He's like a podcast candidate.

  • That's something we wouldn't have seen 10 years ago.

  • And he's kind of this quirky candidate with some views that are, you point out, you know,

  • fairly left-wing, like he supports Medicare for all, and other things like cutting the

  • federal work force by 15 to 20 percent, which is something that wouldn't really ring well

  • with a lot of Democrats.

  • But I think we're in a place now where, because of the Internet, because of podcasts, you

  • can see candidates get on the stage, have an influence in the debate, without really

  • needing any party support whatsoever.

  • AMY WALTER: That's a really good point.

  • And it brings to the bigger issue now, we're in this stage that they used to call the invisible

  • primary, right, before voters get a chance to weigh in.

  • All these other factors are supposed to influence the field.

  • Or, at least, in the past, they had.

  • And so some of those were things that were written rules and unwritten rules.

  • The written rules that have changed, the Democrats, one, you can get on stage now in a debate

  • not just by where you're polling, but how many individual donors that you have put together.

  • And the superdelegate rules changing.

  • At this point, a candidate could become a front-runner by saying, I have 150 superdelegates

  • already before any ballots were cast.

  • And then the unwritten rules, which are now no longer being OK among Democratic candidates,

  • to take money from certain sources, super PACs, from big corporate donors.

  • Now everybody wants to have small donors, which is fine, but it means that you're not

  • going to get these eye-popping fund-raising numbers, like you saw in 2016 or 2007.

  • And the media has also, I think, weighed in too, saying, maybe we made a mistake in 2016

  • by trying to label people front-runners too early.

  • So now we're going to stay out.

  • We're not going to have the same rush to put the front-runner mantle on someone.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: I do want to ask you both about Pete Buttigieg, who was the flavor of the

  • month, I guess.

  • But now we're asking, is he more than that?

  • But I also want to ask you about the money.

  • But, quickly, about Buttigieg, is he showing some staying power, Lisa?

  • LISA LERER: Well, I think he's shown that he can get himself into maybe the second or

  • third tier of the race, depending how you're counting.

  • And who really knows how we're counting these days?

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: That's true.

  • LISA LERER: But the question for him now is, can he build out an organization?

  • Can he stay there?

  • Can he do the kinds of things that you need to do not just to raise money, but to eventually

  • actually win some votes?

  • And that's the great unknown.

  • We can't know that.

  • But we certainly see that he's a guy who saw a moment and capitalized it, in a way that

  • put him into this race in a bigger way.

  • I mean, this is someone who is a mayor of a mid to small-sized city whose biggest national

  • accomplishment was losing the race for Democratic National Committee chairman.

  • Hat's not traditionally been a qualification for the presidency.

  • But for the reasons you point out, we're in uncharted territory.

  • And who knows.

  • AMY WALTER: Right.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: He's defied all the -- what we thought used to be the rules.

  • AMY WALTER: Although he does fit very well for this moment.

  • That's the great thing about politics, is you can plan your whole life to be perfectly

  • ready to be president on this date, right?

  • In 2020, I will have all of -- I will have checked all the boxes.

  • But the moment might not be right for you.

  • You have to be in this moment.

  • And what we saw in 2018, remember, the candidates who got the most attention, who raised the

  • most money, who were the most successful were the ones who were so different from anything

  • that we had ever seen before.

  • They were brand-new to politics.

  • They came from outside of the traditional avenues for going into Congress.

  • And Pete Buttigieg, while he's had a long political career, he doesn't act or sound

  • like your traditional presidential candidate, for sure.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: And, meanwhile, just quickly, Lisa, the president, President Trump's campaign

  • announced this record-breaking number, tens of millions of dollars, he's raised just in

  • the first quarter of this year.

  • LISA LERER: Yes, that was a fairly eye-popping number.

  • And part of that, of course, is because, unlike any other president, he started running for

  • reelection the second he won his first term.

  • So it give him time to raise some money.

  • But I also think it's something that the Democrats have been watching closely.

  • There has been this -- a lot of energy on the Democratic side about not taking money

  • from super PACs, not taking corporate donations, not holding big fund-raisers.

  • And that's something that the grassroots of the party, the activists in the party certainly

  • like.

  • It's something that the donors of the party, well, it makes them a little bit nervous.

  • And I think seeing that number is only going to sort of exaggerate and increase that divide

  • and that debate within the Democratic side.

  • AMY WALTER: Yes.

  • In 2008, it was very different.

  • Obviously, there was not an incumbent Republican president at that moment.

  • But if you look at how much money just Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama at this moment in

  • time in 2007 raised, they raised $50 million together.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: At this moment.

  • AMY WALTER: I think, at this moment, you have to put probably four or five candidates together

  • right now to equal the $50 million.

  • So, Bernie Sanders, just to give you an idea, raised $18 million.

  • The next closest, Harris, Senator Harris, raised $12 million, right.

  • Those are the top fund-raisers.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: How do you remember these numbers, Amy Walter?

  • AMY WALTER: I just -- I burned it into my brain.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • (CROSSTALK)

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: She's got it written on the back on her hand.

  • AMY WALTER: I do.

  • I cheated.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • AMY WALTER: But it definitely stands out.

  • And it goes to Lisa's point, which is, when you are raising money with this many people,

  • this -- with these new unwritten rules, raising the big, big dollars is going to stand out.

  • LISA LERER: And we don't know how any of this plays.

  • AMY WALTER: Right.

  • LISA LERER: We have never seen a presidential race that's so heavily dependent on small

  • donors.

  • There's been midterms, 2018.

  • Democrats did quite well.

  • But small donors will give to a bunch of different candidates.

  • We just -- in a midterm, when they're not competing against each other.

  • We don't know whether they will give $5 to a bunch of different presidential candidates

  • or $100 or whatever it is.

  • So no one quite knows how this all shakes out.

  • And that's what makes these big donors pretty nervous.

  • AMY WALTER: Yes.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: So fascinating to be thinking about this right now in early April, with

  • weeks and weeks to go.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • AMY WALTER: It's never too early.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: And more announcements to come.

  • AMY WALTER: Yes.

  • JUDY WOODRUFF: Amy Walter, Lisa Lerer, Politics Monday, thank you.

JUDY WOODRUFF: Turning back now to the race for the White House and the divisions over

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エイミー・ウォルターとリサ・ラーラー、民主党の2020年資金調達ルールについて (Amy Walter and Lisa Lerer on Democrats' 2020 fundraising rules)

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    王惟惟 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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