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動画の字幕をクリックしてすぐ単語の意味を調べられます!
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In 10 years, I'm convinced that the workplace, first of all,
we're not going to actually work physically in one spot. Most of us are already working
from home, and it just makes a lot of sense. Being able to collaborate with the people
you are working on a project. You don't have to physically show up any place, especially
with visual technology, where we can just look each other in the eye. It's not exactly
the same as face-to-face, but then again, we miss a lot of the distraction. So, that's
going to be next. The other thing is, the workplace is going to be, something that we
came up with in 'A World Gone Social' is the nano-corporation, or what we call the 'Hollywood Model.'
So, in Hollywood, people come together for a project, it might take them years, or
their portion of it, might take them a few months. They build a movie, costs hundreds
of millions of dollars, hundreds of people are employed to make that movie, and then
they all go their separate ways. Pieces of the movie crew, editors, everything else,
may work together again. But, as a group, that's all done. And it's worked for them for more
than 100 years. Corporations are already doing that to an extent, and there's going to be
a lot more than that in the future. So, what I really think is that the very large organization
will be a rarity. It won't go out of existence entirely. I mean, you need a very big number
of people to run an airline, for instance. That's never going to go away. An oil pipeline,
it takes millions of people to get the oil from one place to another and sell it and everything else.
But, in order to work, we can be in groups of five, and fulfilled, whereas before,
we needed to have a 50,000 person company to feel like we had a spot in the world.
So, I personally work from home, and I hate it, because I like being physically with people.
But, what I find is, I need some quiet time throughout my day. Somebody gave a great TED
talk, I forgot who it was, but her talk was that we're all a little bit introverted, a
little bit extroverted. So, I'm an extrovert, officially, but I need my quiet time in order
to compose my thoughts, do that type of thing. So, working at home is great for that. But,
please let me meet with others! Put me on a plane, let me go to a conference, put me
in an office with a client for a couple of days, because I need the human interaction.
But the idea that we need to go to an office 9-to-5, or we're not working, actually, in
2014, I can name some companies that operate that way. If you're not in the office, you're
not working. And you know what? That's crazy. We all have laptops, we can take them home.
In fact, that's why we have laptops, so that we can take them home and do some work in
our home time, which is another issue. We have our smartphones, we can do work from
wherever we are. We can connect with our team wherever they are in the world with video technology.
So, the idea that we need to all report to an office, that's expensive. That's really expensive
When we were researching 'A World Gone Social' it was a five-year,
intensive research topic on just about everything, somebody asked about, 'What is the future?'
You're talking about the things that some companies are doing today, but what is down
the road? It really got me thinking. So, I went online, and I started looking at 3-D technology,
and the first thing I did was I went on eBay, and found some really cool 3-D printers for
$500. I'll bet the same versions are cheaper now that there's better versions for $500.
And, I was just stunned with what they can produce. And just last week, or the week before,
I saw a video with a 3-D printed car, driving. Absolutely amazing. So, manufacturing, we
talk about manufacturing not really existing anymore, that's just not true. Actually, in the
U.S., manufactures more than any country, including China. But, 3-D printing, with social
technology, is going to end manufacturing entirely because you can even print a printer
on a 3-D printer. And, so what we will have, is companies, rather than being providers
of material, they will be providers of design. And, the coolest designs will not be made
by an in-house R&D staff. It'll be made by the coolest, most connected and vibrant
community. It'll be crowdsourced design. And so the companies of the future, we may
talking 5, 10 years out from now. The companies of the future that used to manufacture, will
instead be the ones with the best social platforms to build a vibrant community that co-creates
on the platform, and the company will serve as the intermediary, the middle man, facilitating that.
コツ:単語をクリックしてすぐ意味を調べられます!

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Futurists Insights Series - Ted Coine

720 タグ追加 保存
Casey Jen 2016 年 9 月 12 日 に公開
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