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  • We have this international crisis that really

  • requires federal intervention, that local

  • government is being asked to subsidize.

  • Local government is not designed or built to

  • handle such a crisis.

  • Definitely both a humanitarian crisis for

  • the migrants that are arriving and it is

  • creating a fiscal crisis for the city.

  • I don't see an ending to this. This issue will

  • destroy New York City.

  • The present migrant crisis is quite unprecedented,

  • both in scale, in the diversity of the

  • nationalities that are coming to the border and

  • the impact it's having not only on the border

  • states, but in the states and cities inside the

  • country.

  • I think it's at this point politically unsustainable

  • for the Biden administration to maintain

  • this unlimited flow into what's essentially a

  • welfare state network of cities like New York and

  • Denver and Chicago.

  • So how long can cities withstand the recent surge

  • of migrants, and what do they need to end the

  • crisis?

  • We have to first acknowledge that there is

  • a crisis, because if you don't acknowledge the

  • crisis, you can't be in a crisis mode.

  • We have to be in a crisis mode.

  • And this crisis is expensive.

  • In 2018, New York City spent roughly $258 million

  • to fund its immigration services, adjusted for

  • inflation. By fiscal year 2023, the city had spent

  • $1.47 billion servicing those seeking asylum.

  • The City of Chicago spent over $194 million on its

  • new arrivals mission since October 2022.

  • Denver is estimated to have spent between $36.3

  • million to $39.1 million on migrant support

  • services in 2023.

  • The three biggest items for expenses for new

  • arrivals is housing, education and healthcare,

  • and they are all three high ticket items.

  • The idea that we could have a generous system of

  • welfare benefits from health to education and so

  • on, and allow the entire world to access those

  • benefits is just mathematically impossible.

  • So we're starting to see the math not adding up in

  • state after state.

  • The sheer volume of newly arrived migrants is a

  • major reason behind the city's struggles.

  • In fiscal year 2022, just over 817,000 new cases

  • were filed in immigration courts across the U.S.

  • That number exploded to nearly 1.5 million new

  • cases the following fiscal year.

  • The particular background of current migrants also

  • plays a role.

  • The secret sauce of migration has worked in

  • the past is that people would come, and they would

  • not depend on the city and state for settling

  • them. They would depend on their social networks.

  • It seems in this case, many of the people coming

  • in are coming where there not such in-built

  • connections. Venezuelans have been the largest

  • source of nationality of the new migrants.

  • It is particularly true that they don't have

  • in-built connections.

  • There are not Venezuelan communities that have long

  • standing. So they, therefore, in the absence

  • of private source of comfort for them, then

  • they become dependent on the states and the cities.

  • And the states and the cities have limited

  • resources.

  • Although immigration has primarily been an area of

  • federal oversight, experts say there just

  • isn't enough federal funding for cities to work

  • with.

  • The current level of federal funding provided

  • to state and local governments is a drop in

  • the bucket compared to the need.

  • Congress has provided a very small amount of money

  • of $800 million for a FEMA program for the

  • entire country for last fiscal year to provide

  • assistance to cities in aiding these newcomers.

  • But cities say this isn't enough.

  • For instance, the $145 million allocated to New

  • York City is less than 10% of what the city spent

  • on migrant services in fiscal year 2023.

  • This is a whole spectrum of services needed for

  • people who are new to a place, new to a country,

  • new to a city, everything from finding warm clothes

  • for them to finding jobs for them, to finding

  • shelter for them.

  • These are complicated issues to manage.

  • So the city, the state and the federal

  • government, frankly, was not prepared for it.

  • Texas is providing charter busses to send these

  • illegal immigrants who have been dropped off by

  • the Biden administration to Washington, D.C.

  • We are sending them to the United States Capitol,

  • where the Biden administration will be

  • able to more immediately address the needs of the

  • people that they are allowing to come across

  • our border.

  • So the historians will probably record the

  • current migrant crisis as the chapter of bussing

  • migrants. This kind of coordinated, dramatic

  • bussing of asylum seekers from the border to the

  • cities inside the countries is completely

  • unprecedented.

  • Since the first bus of migrants to Washington,

  • D.C., Texas reported it has transported over

  • 100,000 migrants to cities such as New

  • York City, Chicago, Philadelphia, Denver and

  • Los Angeles.

  • In 2023, illegal immigration is estimated

  • to have cost Texas taxpayers $13.4 billion.

  • According to the Texas Newsroom, the state spent

  • over $148 million bussing migrants to sanctuary

  • cities. As of January 24, 2024.

  • The office of the Governor of Texas, Greg

  • Abbott, did not respond to CNBC's request for an

  • interview.

  • The two motives, I think, behind it were one simply

  • necessity that Texas doesn't have the resources

  • to cope with 150,000 people a day being

  • released into the state.

  • It's a big state. It's a reasonably wealthy state,

  • but they just simply don't have the schools,

  • the hospitals, the roads, the housing to cope with

  • that kind of influx.

  • The staggering new record more migrants crossed into

  • the U.S. on Monday than any other day in history.

  • The current crisis of forced displacement is a

  • global phenomenon.

  • There are more people displaced worldwide than

  • ever before, and one out of every five displaced

  • people is in the Americas.

  • But there are also pull factors is that people

  • have come to realize that if they reach the United

  • States border and they seek asylum, then they'll

  • be let in and then their hearing will not happen

  • for seven years, during which time they are

  • authorized to work in the United States and they

  • won't be deported. And that has, I think, become

  • a very important magnet.

  • Second of all, it's to make a point that those

  • cities and states like New York and Los Angeles

  • and San Francisco that claim that they are

  • sanctuaries where anyone from anywhere in the world

  • has the right to go there and live.

  • Those cities should put up or shut up.

  • In the strategy reminiscent of former

  • President Trump's suggestions for managing

  • undocumented migrants, other southern states,

  • like Arizona and Florida, have also engaged in the

  • practice of flying and bussing migrants to

  • sanctuary cities and states.

  • Sanctuary cities refer to a community with a policy,

  • written or unwritten, that discourages law

  • enforcement from reporting an individual's

  • immigration status unless it involves a serious

  • crime.

  • They want more people in their sanctuary cities.

  • Well, we'll give them more people.

  • We can give them a lot. We can give them an

  • unlimited supply.

  • And let's see if they're so happy.

  • They say we have open arms.

  • They're always saying they have open arms.

  • Let's see if they have open arms.

  • The actions of southern states have been

  • criticized as a political stunt.

  • I think it's politically motivated.

  • I mean, it's certainly not coming out of the

  • goodness of heart or for the concern of the

  • migrants. I mean, the governor of Texas was

  • concerned about migrants, which he alleged he was by

  • bussing them. Then he would have consulted the

  • mayors and the governors of the places he was

  • sending them to. And he would have just said,

  • 'Look, this is a new national crisis.

  • Let's all go together to President Biden and say

  • this is a national crisis where the federal

  • government has to take the lead in providing a

  • solution.' Instead of doing that, he just made

  • it a political ploy for the cities to feel the

  • pressure.

  • It's not just a publicity stunt.

  • He is, yes, sharing the burden with states that

  • have said that they can absorb it.

  • But he's also trying to remove people from his

  • state that he simply doesn't have the resources

  • to cope with.

  • Critics also point out that the lack of

  • coordination from Texas has made it more difficult

  • for sanctuary cities to deal with the crisis.

  • If it happens slowly and organically, it's easier

  • to deal with when it happens in a spurt.

  • And I think that's what happened in the case of

  • the major northeastern cities, where in the new

  • chapter of bussing, a lot of migrants showed up.

  • It was unexpected and unplanned for.

  • Well, what warning does Texas get when 300,000

  • people cross over every month? I think it's a bit

  • rich for the mayors of cities up north to say,

  • well, hang on a minute, can you guys just slow

  • things down? Give us some more warning.

  • Let us sort it out.

  • I think that's a ploy.

  • I think they should be talking to the White House

  • because the White House has control over the flow.

  • Texas doesn't have any control whatsoever.

  • As pressure continues, cities like Chicago and

  • New York have begun putting more restrictions

  • on migrant drop offs to stem the flow in January

  • 2024. Mayor Adams also announced a lawsuit

  • against charter companies hired by Texas to

  • transport migrants into the city.

  • But what cities say they need the most right now is federal

  • assistance.

  • I think the federal government was late coming

  • to this. We should have developed a mechanism for

  • reimbursing impacted states and cities early

  • on. Unless we get the reimbursement scheme under

  • control, I think cities will suffer for a long

  • time.

  • Even sanctuary cities that said, 'come one, come all'

  • are now begging the Biden administration to unloose

  • the coffers and get them more federal money, which

  • is why it's become such a big issue in Washington,

  • because you're asking essentially, Congress that

  • passed laws that explicitly ban what the

  • president is doing in terms of catching and

  • releasing people at the border and his parole

  • programs. You're asking that same Congress that's

  • watching the laws that it wrote be flouted to pony

  • up $20 billion or more, to go to grants for people

  • crossing the border, to provide services in many

  • cases that are not provided to American

  • citizens. So it's become politically contentious.

  • The Biden administration told CNBC that they were

  • unable to accommodate an interview with CNBC, but

  • the Department of Homeland Security said

  • that it is coordinating with cities and states

  • across the country to identify ways it can

  • continue to maximize its support for local

  • communities while enforcing the law and

  • returning or removing those without a legal

  • basis to remain in the country.

  • Even though the United States is, what, $34

  • trillion in the hole and growing at over a trillion

  • a year of deficit?

  • We do at least print money and we can.

  • Make more of it. Cities and states, on the other

  • hand, are not so blessed.

  • Lots of cities like Chicago and New York are

  • getting into some pretty serious debt.

  • What tends to happen is there's a snowball effect.

  • You know, the city will turn to the state and ask

  • for a bailout, and then the state will turn to the

  • federal government and ask for a bailout.

  • So the solvency of our big cities and our states

  • is definitely in question.

  • For some experts, containing the flow of

  • immigration is vital in solving the current

  • crisis.

  • The bussing from Texas is a tiny, tiny fraction of

  • the number of people who are going to cities in the

  • rest of the country.

  • We have to simply limit the number of asylum

  • seekers who come to the border.

  • For others, it's about fixing the immigration

  • system that's long been broken.

  • Unless we have a more orderly system with

  • incentives for people to come here and regular,

  • actually accessible pathways in the region, we

  • will continue to see irregular migration, and

  • we will continue to see people without the durable

  • status that they need to more quickly be able to

  • sustain themselves and also contribute to our

  • economy and our economic growth.

  • However, the continued politicization of

  • immigration will only make the issue more

  • difficult to address.

  • The more we politicize and weaponize this issue, the

  • less likely it is that we will solve it.

  • I'm an immigrant myself. I came here when I was six.

  • This country was built by immigration, but it was

  • also built by laws.

  • And ultimately the number of people that come into

  • this country and the terms under which they

  • come is a decision that's made by our elected

  • officials. If we allow a veto to the entire world

  • to just bypass our laws and do whatever they want,

  • then we've lost our sovereignty, our national

  • sovereignty, and we've lost the rule of law.

  • So I regret that the argument isn't a debate

  • between left and right about what immigration

  • levels are in the interests of the United

  • States as a whole, and we come up with a compromise

  • where no one's happy.

  • Instead, we just stay in our corners and sling mud

  • at each other. And meanwhile, the border is

  • wide open and no one's happy.

We have this international crisis that really

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Will The Immigration Crisis Bankrupt U.S. Cities?(Will The Immigration Crisis Bankrupt U.S. Cities?)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2024 年 02 月 25 日
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