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The tech sector shed more than 386,000 jobs in 2022
and the first half of 2023. And that number is
climbing.
Google today joined a growing list of tech
giants scaling back, adding to the tens of
thousands of workers in the industry who find
themselves unemployed.
It is Amazon doing another round of layoffs.
Mark Zuckerberg's year of efficiency back in focus
this morning after another round of sweeping
layoffs and job cuts.
The email that was sent out in the morning to
everyone in the company basically saying,
'Unfortunately, your role is impacted.' And that's
how I found out. And then they pretty much shut
everything off at the end of the day.
I was on the committee that was hiring new
college grads.
It was like thousands and thousands of applications
for maybe like 10 or 15 spots.
But I thought if we're still hiring new college
grads, clearly the company is fine.
Why would we hire new grads if the company were
going to do layoffs?
Known for its boom and bust cycles, tech has seen
its fair share of layoffs in recent decades.
More recently, the industry has faced
headwinds related to the crypto crash and the
failure of the Silicon Valley Bank.
Job postings for software development positions,
they're down closer to 60% year over year, and
they are actually below their pre-pandemic levels.
So we've seen a much starker pullback in hiring
for software development, which is a lot of tech
jobs.
But while layoffs have tax retrenched workers, a
booming artificial intelligence market is
giving the industry a renewed sense of optimism.
I have been in San Francisco for almost 12
years now, and I have never felt this kind of
energy. And I was here for the mobile boom.
I worked at Uber, which I think was the one company
representing that mobile explosion. And I can tell
you it was nothing like this. Every cafe, every
restaurant, every conversation that you
overhear in the street, half of the time it's
ChatGPT, it's AI, it's the latest company that is
being funded. It's accelerating.
Generative AI startup deals announced or
finalized in the first quarter of 2023 totaled
more than $12 billion, compared with about $4.5
billion invested in the space in 2022.
Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft have also made
massive investments.
The U.S. tech industry accounts for 10% of the
nation's GDP.
It employs roughly 12 million people who work in
more than half a million companies. Those
businesses are concentrated in a handful
of coastal areas, including San Jose,
Washington, D.C., San Francisco, Boston and New
York City. So how have layoffs impacted tech
workers, and what will the AI boom mean for their
future?
The pandemic and ensuing lockdowns brought the U.S.
economy into a tailspin in March 2020, forcing
businesses to shut their doors.
By May, 23 million Americans lost their jobs.
The unemployment rate surged to 14.7%, the
highest since the Great Depression. But tech
companies face a different climate.
Remote work and cloud computing meant more
people were pivoting towards online services,
boosting revenue.
Spurred on by rosy predictions and lower
interest rates, Microsoft, Amazon,
Salesforce, Facebook parent Meta and Google
parent Alphabet went on a hiring spree.
Meta had about 72,000 employees at the end of
2021, more than 60% higher than 2019.
Alphabet had more than 190,000 on staff at the
end of 2022, 59% higher than 2019.
But after years of unstoppable growth, Big
tech's pandemic bubble burst, forcing tech
companies to trim their rosters.
I want to say upfront that I take full responsibility
for this decision.
I'm the founder and CEO.
I'm responsible for the health of our company.
Carl Wheatley, a recruiter for Meta, grew up in the
Bay Area and spent four years working for the
social media giant.
Meta laid off more than 11,000 workers, or about
13% of its workforce in November 2022.
It announced a few months later it was reducing its
headcount by another 10,000 employees.
I was talking to my family about it.
They grew up in the Bay Area. They've been through
multiple layoffs over the past.
I think for our age group, I would say this is
probably one of the, I think, biggest downtrends
for layoffs.
Other companies quickly followed suit.
If you want to think about a company that overbuilt
during the pandemic, I'd say that Amazon is the
number one company that overbuilt.
Where is, where are the cuts?
Amazon announced in January 2023 that 18,000
workers were being laid off. Two months later, it
said an additional 9,000 positions would be
trimmed. That same month, Alphabet cut 12,000 jobs
or about 6% of its workforce.
I thought, 'Holy crap, I've finally made it.
I'm working at probably one of the best companies
in the world and I'm making an amazing salary
and I have longevity.
Like I am good for many, many, many, many years.'
Paul Baker, a video producer in tech, worked
at Google for six years.
We all got this email early in the morning on
January 20th.
It just it just hit me like a ton of bricks.
I actually froze going, 'Wait, is this for real?'
I opened my work laptop and it says, no, access
denied, no passwords are working.
So I had to look at my personal laptop, which had
an email from them stating, 'Hey, you've been
officially terminated.
We're giving you two months notice, but you're
cut off. You're banned from going to any Google
office. You cannot contact anyone, like,
nothing.'
Company leadership was in a far different position.
Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai's 2022
compensation, for example, was worth $225
million, about 800 times the pay of the median
employee. The company's stock has continued to
climb since the announcement. Other
companies in the space that made cuts to their
workforce include Microsoft, Salesforce and
SAP. While tech layoffs have been painful, the
blow has been cushioned in many cases by generous
severance packages.
Recently laid off, Google employees in the U.S.
received 16 weeks of pay, plus two weeks for every
year of employment.
Salesforce employees received a minimum of
nearly five months of pay.
Stephen Campbell, a software engineer, was
laid off from Airtable, a cloud-based project
management service, in December 2022.
One night I stayed up especially late and woke
up to a bunch of Slack messages saying, 'Are you
safe? Are you okay?' And I thought like, was there
an earthquake in SF?
Like, what's going on?
Obviously I'm safe, I feel fine.
And as I woke up a little more, I thought, oh, no,
like, I know what this is. And so I like opened
up my work laptop and I got a notification saying,
like, 'your access to this laptop will end in 30
minutes.'
With help from a severance package, Campbell
co-founded two new businesses. Revamp AI uses
machine learning and generative AI to get
insights into customer datasets.
His other business hosts in-person events to
discuss the future of generative AI.
The thing about generative AI in San Francisco right
now is that there's similar buzz to crypto,
right? There's all these meetups, which I'm
fortunate to throw some of them.
There's all of this venture investment going
into it. I mean, absurd amounts of money is
getting funneled into generative AI startups.
The difference for me between generative AI and
something like crypto is generative AI is solving
problems for people today, it's delivering
value for people today.
San Francisco has 11 out of 20 of the top AI
companies in the U.S.
by dollars raised.
Collectively, those businesses took in $15.7
billion between 2008 and 2023.
Investments in automation and AI at big tech
companies could be a contributing factor in
recent layoffs, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg told
employees prior to its third round of layoffs
that investments in tools like AI would help
engineers write better code faster and automate
workloads. Flo Crivello founded Lindy in 2022.
The company's AI personal assistant helps automate
tasks for workers like drafting emails, sending
calendar invites and taking notes during
meetings.
Something absolutely huge is coming, and I don't
think people have quite realized that yet, that
everything is about to change, especially the
information economy and knowledge workers.
Steve Jobs said that computers were like a
bicycle for the mind.
I think that AI is like a jumbo jet for the mind.
I think it is going to radically change how
people work and go about their lives.
Generative AI could add as much as $2.6 to $4.4
trillion to the global economy annually.
I think counterintuitively it is actually going to
result in a net increase in employment in the tech
industry. It's a basic fact of economics that
when something becomes cheaper, its complement
becomes more valuable.
Tech workers are a complement to AI, AI makes
tech workers a lot more productive, and so when
something becomes a lot more productive and a lot
more valuable, we want more of it, not less.
I don't know if I necessarily would want to
say that I don't regret getting laid off sooner,
but getting laid off was such an overall positive
experience to me.
Really, the only downside to it was the initial
shock that was tough to deal with.
While layoffs are having a big impact on tech
companies, the sector is accustomed to periods of
growth and contraction.
Tech has always been an industry with very high
churn and that actually comes from both sides.
So job seekers have always really valued the
flexibility that they have in order to jump from
tech company to startup to major company to really
grow their career.
And at the same time, tech, because it's often
at the forefront, has been a subject to big
booms and busts.
The bursting of the dot-com bubble two decades
earlier eliminated more than 1 million jobs.
The Great Recession spurred additional cuts.
By 2008, Silicon Valley tech companies employed
17% fewer workers than in 2001.
But there are a few key differences this time
around. Even though two thirds of tech workers are
men, more than half of those laid off in 2022 and
2023 were women.
According to a study analyzing more than 1,100
LinkedIn profiles, the groups most heavily
impacted by layoffs include HR and talent
sourcing, software engineers and marketing
employees. Bianca Brown started with Meta in 2019.
She was laid off from her job as a program manager
in 2023.
I tried to sleep the night before, I couldn't, and
then maybe it was around the 8:00 a.m.
mark I got the email.
My heart kind of dropped.
You know, I took a deep breath and I was like,
okay, you know, this is your new reality, this is
something you have to navigate.
The study also found 48% of laid off employees were
between 30 to 40 years old.
89% were based in the U.S.
and the average employee had about 12 years of work
experience. And while the number of U.S.
tech jobs are projected to slightly lag the
longer-term trend, the demand for tech workers
should remain high for the foreseeable future.
The unemployment rate for tech workers as of May
2023 was 2%, well below the national figure of
3.7%. While tech companies shed a modest
4,700 jobs that month, over the course of the
entire year, a significant number of jobs
were added in IT services, cloud
infrastructure, data processing and hosting and
tech manufacturing.
Employment opportunities for software developers is
predicted to grow by 26% between 2021 and 2031.
It is a cooler job market for tech workers than it
was maybe a year or two ago.
But at the same time, a lot of these skills and
experiences from the tech sector are still in high
demand. Oftentimes these tech skills and this
experience from the tech industry is very valuable
in other parts of the economy as well.
Tech workers are also finding jobs in other
industries desperate for their skill set, ranging
from financial services and manufacturing to the
government. Nationwide, tech workers earn on
average $87,000 annually, 60% more than the average
U.S. salary of $54,000.
California tech workers average about $117,000 a
year. Despite those trends, competition for
jobs remains fierce as unemployed workers face a
restless job market.
I've already applied to probably about 165 jobs,
and I've had only two interviews and both were
first interviews after the recruiter and they
ghosted me like didn't respond to my emails,
nothing. So we're also living in a time where
people just don't get back to you.
And if you go on LinkedIn, there's so many recruiters
and designers and engineers and everyone
looking for jobs, right?
There's hundreds or thousands of people
applying for the same role. I just tell
everyone, put your sales cap on, get a tool where
you can find emails and you kind of have to go out
there and kind of find your own job.