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  • The tech sector shed more than 386,000 jobs in 2022

  • and the first half of 2023. And that number is

  • climbing.

  • Google today joined a growing list of tech

  • giants scaling back, adding to the tens of

  • thousands of workers in the industry who find

  • themselves unemployed.

  • It is Amazon doing another round of layoffs.

  • Mark Zuckerberg's year of efficiency back in focus

  • this morning after another round of sweeping

  • layoffs and job cuts.

  • The email that was sent out in the morning to

  • everyone in the company basically saying,

  • 'Unfortunately, your role is impacted.' And that's

  • how I found out. And then they pretty much shut

  • everything off at the end of the day.

  • I was on the committee that was hiring new

  • college grads.

  • It was like thousands and thousands of applications

  • for maybe like 10 or 15 spots.

  • But I thought if we're still hiring new college

  • grads, clearly the company is fine.

  • Why would we hire new grads if the company were

  • going to do layoffs?

  • Known for its boom and bust cycles, tech has seen

  • its fair share of layoffs in recent decades.

  • More recently, the industry has faced

  • headwinds related to the crypto crash and the

  • failure of the Silicon Valley Bank.

  • Job postings for software development positions,

  • they're down closer to 60% year over year, and

  • they are actually below their pre-pandemic levels.

  • So we've seen a much starker pullback in hiring

  • for software development, which is a lot of tech

  • jobs.

  • But while layoffs have tax retrenched workers, a

  • booming artificial intelligence market is

  • giving the industry a renewed sense of optimism.

  • I have been in San Francisco for almost 12

  • years now, and I have never felt this kind of

  • energy. And I was here for the mobile boom.

  • I worked at Uber, which I think was the one company

  • representing that mobile explosion. And I can tell

  • you it was nothing like this. Every cafe, every

  • restaurant, every conversation that you

  • overhear in the street, half of the time it's

  • ChatGPT, it's AI, it's the latest company that is

  • being funded. It's accelerating.

  • Generative AI startup deals announced or

  • finalized in the first quarter of 2023 totaled

  • more than $12 billion, compared with about $4.5

  • billion invested in the space in 2022.

  • Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft have also made

  • massive investments.

  • The U.S. tech industry accounts for 10% of the

  • nation's GDP.

  • It employs roughly 12 million people who work in

  • more than half a million companies. Those

  • businesses are concentrated in a handful

  • of coastal areas, including San Jose,

  • Washington, D.C., San Francisco, Boston and New

  • York City. So how have layoffs impacted tech

  • workers, and what will the AI boom mean for their

  • future?

  • The pandemic and ensuing lockdowns brought the U.S.

  • economy into a tailspin in March 2020, forcing

  • businesses to shut their doors.

  • By May, 23 million Americans lost their jobs.

  • The unemployment rate surged to 14.7%, the

  • highest since the Great Depression. But tech

  • companies face a different climate.

  • Remote work and cloud computing meant more

  • people were pivoting towards online services,

  • boosting revenue.

  • Spurred on by rosy predictions and lower

  • interest rates, Microsoft, Amazon,

  • Salesforce, Facebook parent Meta and Google

  • parent Alphabet went on a hiring spree.

  • Meta had about 72,000 employees at the end of

  • 2021, more than 60% higher than 2019.

  • Alphabet had more than 190,000 on staff at the

  • end of 2022, 59% higher than 2019.

  • But after years of unstoppable growth, Big

  • tech's pandemic bubble burst, forcing tech

  • companies to trim their rosters.

  • I want to say upfront that I take full responsibility

  • for this decision.

  • I'm the founder and CEO.

  • I'm responsible for the health of our company.

  • Carl Wheatley, a recruiter for Meta, grew up in the

  • Bay Area and spent four years working for the

  • social media giant.

  • Meta laid off more than 11,000 workers, or about

  • 13% of its workforce in November 2022.

  • It announced a few months later it was reducing its

  • headcount by another 10,000 employees.

  • I was talking to my family about it.

  • They grew up in the Bay Area. They've been through

  • multiple layoffs over the past.

  • I think for our age group, I would say this is

  • probably one of the, I think, biggest downtrends

  • for layoffs.

  • Other companies quickly followed suit.

  • If you want to think about a company that overbuilt

  • during the pandemic, I'd say that Amazon is the

  • number one company that overbuilt.

  • Where is, where are the cuts?

  • Amazon announced in January 2023 that 18,000

  • workers were being laid off. Two months later, it

  • said an additional 9,000 positions would be

  • trimmed. That same month, Alphabet cut 12,000 jobs

  • or about 6% of its workforce.

  • I thought, 'Holy crap, I've finally made it.

  • I'm working at probably one of the best companies

  • in the world and I'm making an amazing salary

  • and I have longevity.

  • Like I am good for many, many, many, many years.'

  • Paul Baker, a video producer in tech, worked

  • at Google for six years.

  • We all got this email early in the morning on

  • January 20th.

  • It just it just hit me like a ton of bricks.

  • I actually froze going, 'Wait, is this for real?'

  • I opened my work laptop and it says, no, access

  • denied, no passwords are working.

  • So I had to look at my personal laptop, which had

  • an email from them stating, 'Hey, you've been

  • officially terminated.

  • We're giving you two months notice, but you're

  • cut off. You're banned from going to any Google

  • office. You cannot contact anyone, like,

  • nothing.'

  • Company leadership was in a far different position.

  • Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai's 2022

  • compensation, for example, was worth $225

  • million, about 800 times the pay of the median

  • employee. The company's stock has continued to

  • climb since the announcement. Other

  • companies in the space that made cuts to their

  • workforce include Microsoft, Salesforce and

  • SAP. While tech layoffs have been painful, the

  • blow has been cushioned in many cases by generous

  • severance packages.

  • Recently laid off, Google employees in the U.S.

  • received 16 weeks of pay, plus two weeks for every

  • year of employment.

  • Salesforce employees received a minimum of

  • nearly five months of pay.

  • Stephen Campbell, a software engineer, was

  • laid off from Airtable, a cloud-based project

  • management service, in December 2022.

  • One night I stayed up especially late and woke

  • up to a bunch of Slack messages saying, 'Are you

  • safe? Are you okay?' And I thought like, was there

  • an earthquake in SF?

  • Like, what's going on?

  • Obviously I'm safe, I feel fine.

  • And as I woke up a little more, I thought, oh, no,

  • like, I know what this is. And so I like opened

  • up my work laptop and I got a notification saying,

  • like, 'your access to this laptop will end in 30

  • minutes.'

  • With help from a severance package, Campbell

  • co-founded two new businesses. Revamp AI uses

  • machine learning and generative AI to get

  • insights into customer datasets.

  • His other business hosts in-person events to

  • discuss the future of generative AI.

  • The thing about generative AI in San Francisco right

  • now is that there's similar buzz to crypto,

  • right? There's all these meetups, which I'm

  • fortunate to throw some of them.

  • There's all of this venture investment going

  • into it. I mean, absurd amounts of money is

  • getting funneled into generative AI startups.

  • The difference for me between generative AI and

  • something like crypto is generative AI is solving

  • problems for people today, it's delivering

  • value for people today.

  • San Francisco has 11 out of 20 of the top AI

  • companies in the U.S.

  • by dollars raised.

  • Collectively, those businesses took in $15.7

  • billion between 2008 and 2023.

  • Investments in automation and AI at big tech

  • companies could be a contributing factor in

  • recent layoffs, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg told

  • employees prior to its third round of layoffs

  • that investments in tools like AI would help

  • engineers write better code faster and automate

  • workloads. Flo Crivello founded Lindy in 2022.

  • The company's AI personal assistant helps automate

  • tasks for workers like drafting emails, sending

  • calendar invites and taking notes during

  • meetings.

  • Something absolutely huge is coming, and I don't

  • think people have quite realized that yet, that

  • everything is about to change, especially the

  • information economy and knowledge workers.

  • Steve Jobs said that computers were like a

  • bicycle for the mind.

  • I think that AI is like a jumbo jet for the mind.

  • I think it is going to radically change how

  • people work and go about their lives.

  • Generative AI could add as much as $2.6 to $4.4

  • trillion to the global economy annually.

  • I think counterintuitively it is actually going to

  • result in a net increase in employment in the tech

  • industry. It's a basic fact of economics that

  • when something becomes cheaper, its complement

  • becomes more valuable.

  • Tech workers are a complement to AI, AI makes

  • tech workers a lot more productive, and so when

  • something becomes a lot more productive and a lot

  • more valuable, we want more of it, not less.

  • I don't know if I necessarily would want to

  • say that I don't regret getting laid off sooner,

  • but getting laid off was such an overall positive

  • experience to me.

  • Really, the only downside to it was the initial

  • shock that was tough to deal with.

  • While layoffs are having a big impact on tech

  • companies, the sector is accustomed to periods of

  • growth and contraction.

  • Tech has always been an industry with very high

  • churn and that actually comes from both sides.

  • So job seekers have always really valued the

  • flexibility that they have in order to jump from

  • tech company to startup to major company to really

  • grow their career.

  • And at the same time, tech, because it's often

  • at the forefront, has been a subject to big

  • booms and busts.

  • The bursting of the dot-com bubble two decades

  • earlier eliminated more than 1 million jobs.

  • The Great Recession spurred additional cuts.

  • By 2008, Silicon Valley tech companies employed

  • 17% fewer workers than in 2001.

  • But there are a few key differences this time

  • around. Even though two thirds of tech workers are

  • men, more than half of those laid off in 2022 and

  • 2023 were women.

  • According to a study analyzing more than 1,100

  • LinkedIn profiles, the groups most heavily

  • impacted by layoffs include HR and talent

  • sourcing, software engineers and marketing

  • employees. Bianca Brown started with Meta in 2019.

  • She was laid off from her job as a program manager

  • in 2023.

  • I tried to sleep the night before, I couldn't, and

  • then maybe it was around the 8:00 a.m.

  • mark I got the email.

  • My heart kind of dropped.

  • You know, I took a deep breath and I was like,

  • okay, you know, this is your new reality, this is

  • something you have to navigate.

  • The study also found 48% of laid off employees were

  • between 30 to 40 years old.

  • 89% were based in the U.S.

  • and the average employee had about 12 years of work

  • experience. And while the number of U.S.

  • tech jobs are projected to slightly lag the

  • longer-term trend, the demand for tech workers

  • should remain high for the foreseeable future.

  • The unemployment rate for tech workers as of May

  • 2023 was 2%, well below the national figure of

  • 3.7%. While tech companies shed a modest

  • 4,700 jobs that month, over the course of the

  • entire year, a significant number of jobs

  • were added in IT services, cloud

  • infrastructure, data processing and hosting and

  • tech manufacturing.

  • Employment opportunities for software developers is

  • predicted to grow by 26% between 2021 and 2031.

  • It is a cooler job market for tech workers than it

  • was maybe a year or two ago.

  • But at the same time, a lot of these skills and

  • experiences from the tech sector are still in high

  • demand. Oftentimes these tech skills and this

  • experience from the tech industry is very valuable

  • in other parts of the economy as well.

  • Tech workers are also finding jobs in other

  • industries desperate for their skill set, ranging

  • from financial services and manufacturing to the

  • government. Nationwide, tech workers earn on

  • average $87,000 annually, 60% more than the average

  • U.S. salary of $54,000.

  • California tech workers average about $117,000 a

  • year. Despite those trends, competition for

  • jobs remains fierce as unemployed workers face a

  • restless job market.

  • I've already applied to probably about 165 jobs,

  • and I've had only two interviews and both were

  • first interviews after the recruiter and they

  • ghosted me like didn't respond to my emails,

  • nothing. So we're also living in a time where

  • people just don't get back to you.

  • And if you go on LinkedIn, there's so many recruiters

  • and designers and engineers and everyone

  • looking for jobs, right?

  • There's hundreds or thousands of people

  • applying for the same role. I just tell

  • everyone, put your sales cap on, get a tool where

  • you can find emails and you kind of have to go out

  • there and kind of find your own job.

The tech sector shed more than 386,000 jobs in 2022

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Where Thousands Of Tech Workers Went After Mass Layoffs(Where Thousands Of Tech Workers Went After Mass Layoffs)

  • 18 1
    林宜悉 に公開 2023 年 08 月 02 日
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