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  • it's 2020.

  • It's the traditional thing to do on this channel to start the year by looking at my predictions from the previous year, Did I predict well, Did I predict badly?

  • Well, let's find out.

  • Let's talk about those five corrections that I made and I'll give you my opinion on whether I failed or passed the test and maybe at the end of a little poll in the top corner, which you can take to tell me how many you think I got right.

  • So let's start with the first prediction, which was about espresso machines, and I had predicted that there would be a big surge towards automation because emphasis had been doing so well.

  • They were seen as being so far ahead of everyone else when it came to sort of super automatics that I felt the industry wouldn't let them keep going out in front.

  • I was wrong.

  • I went to host this year, and while I saw a couple of stupid robots, I really saw no one chasing emphasis in a meaningful way.

  • Also leads of espresso machines that looked kind of the same.

  • I saw a few interesting things, but but no one came for emphasis on that sort of stunned me.

  • It's a couple of years before the next cycle of brought it releases that host again.

  • That's one everyone does.

  • They wait till host.

  • I just don't know what we're going to see in the next two years that will close that gap that ever since have ahead of everyone else.

  • My second prediction was around the kind of cafe market, and I had said If Brexit happens, then bad things will happen in the UK We didn't yet yet managed to Brexit if that's a verb, but it has been a brutal year in the coffee industry.

  • We lost him big popular cos I would consider myself kind of right in that regard.

  • In the Brexit uncertainty undeniably has damaged the UK coffee industry.

  • I don't know what the future will hold.

  • I have given up predicting anything to do with the nonsense of our politics.

  • So they go probably right in my prediction for right and wrong reasons.

  • My third prediction, I think, was around alternative milks.

  • I thought this was gonna be the year of hemp milk on, while a couple of hemp oil companies did get in touch to to be very excited about my prediction.

  • I I just don't know if the date is out there.

  • It was undeniably another year old milk being a big deal and growing and growing and growing out remains the main alternative milk.

  • Unquestionably.

  • I was probably wrong about hemp milk, but I'd be interested to hear from you on.

  • That 1/4 prediction was around packaging, and I sort of predicted a sea change in packaging, and that has sort of happened.

  • But it hasn't really happened.

  • I haven't seen any new packaging be released that wasn't more recyclable or better.

  • But I don't know if I've necessarily seen a big sea change in the way that coffee companies pack and deliver coffee.

  • I know that it's where Mile we did have higher hopes in terms of achieving a bit more this year in that regard, but I think I'm probably wrong on that prediction.

  • At this point, I just feel like we should just be taxing cardboard just by the gram.

  • I don't care what it is.

  • It would discourage companies from shipping oversized boxes Amazon, and it would just be good, I think, to just use less cardboard.

  • And that leaves the fifth and final prediction, which was the return of specialty dark roasts on this one.

  • I do feel pretty vindicated.

  • There are a number of companies out there doing more developed stuff with really great war coffees, and I'm not sure I can be that mad about it.

  • I think there's definitely an audience of people who want more developed roasts that just don't like the things that some of us like.

  • People are diverse in their tastes and a specialty.

  • We've sort of said, We're not interested in catering to a bunch of thumb on, I think is the market has grown and got more competitive.

  • People have realized that if they wanna grow, they need to find new customers, and they need to re engage the people we lost by saying Acidity is everything.

  • Terawatt is everything.

  • Transparency is everything.

  • People who love texture, people who love body people who love low acidity, people who like a little bitterness.

  • Those people could be drinking great coffee too, and now they kind of are which, which I think is good.

  • I think it's good, so that what I'm calling correct.

  • I'm not gonna argue that too much.

  • I think that was right.

  • If you want to tell me how many you think I got right, you can look up in the poll up in the corner that I get 1234 I definitely anything at five.

  • Let's not say five did not get five things right.

  • I did also make another prediction, which was about YouTube, and I said I made 40 videos in 2018 and I wanted to make 60 videos in 2019 on and if you just count the stuff that's publicly available.

  • I made 65 videos in 2019 and I had the secret goal, and I want to talk about it off, hitting 100,000 subscribers.

  • I did not think I would be doing this video at the start of 2020.

  • With around 170,000 subscribers, the channel has had a crazy few months.

  • I'm delighted.

  • It's amazing.

  • I'm so pleased to kind of connect with more people and that more people are enjoying what I'm doing.

  • So what are the plans for this challenge for 2020?

  • And there are plans.

  • Do you have goals now?

  • Patriot has grown to the point where I'm able to do some really cool stuff and there's a bunch of really interesting things that I'm gonna re reviewing in the next two or three months.

  • I'm super pumped on that front, but I don't just want to be a reviews channel.

  • I'm working on a few different technique videos.

  • There's gonna keep happening a few more recipe videos, those gonna keep happening.

  • But my prediction, my aim, my goal.

  • I'll share it with you.

  • I want to make a least one mini documentary this year.

  • I know what that one is gonna be.

  • I'm not going to talk about it yet, but I I'm in pre production of trying to make something more substantial, more ambitious.

  • I don't know why I think, um, capable of making a documentary, because I could make you do videos.

  • OK, but I want to.

  • I want to tell some interesting stories I want to ask some difficult questions on.

  • I want to make really interesting stuff.

  • I am trying to reach people who enjoy coffee, right?

  • I don't wanna be pretentious about it.

  • I want to make coffee more enjoyable.

  • That's kind of the goal of this channel.

  • This project, the time I spend here.

  • I don't know how many videos are gonna make in 2020.

  • I don't know if I could make 65 more videos.

  • I'm going to try the one question remaining that I be interested in your full time.

  • I don't know whether to do predictions video for 2020.

  • It feels so unpredictable.

  • The well, the world feels so unpredictable that I don't know if I have anything super useful toe offer.

  • So I'm 50 50 on whether there's gonna be a Predictions video this year.

  • Chances are probably not, but you never know.

  • So I will say thank you to all of you who supported me through 2019 who have helped this channel reach new people and reach a new audience.

  • I we had fun.

  • I've had fun.

  • It's been amazing.

  • It's been incredible on a very grateful So I hope you had a great New Year's.

  • I had a good holidays.

  • I wish you the very best for 2020.

  • That's it.

  • That's me.

  • Thank you so much for watching.

it's 2020.

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私は正しかったのか?2019年の予測分析 (Was I Right? 2019 Predictions Analysis)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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