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  • Science fiction movies are great, but sometimes they're more fiction than actual science.

  • Like the new movie Geostorm.

  • We won't spoil it for you, but the premise of the movie is that, after a string of colossal

  • natural disasters, the world works together to put a network of weather-controlling satellites into space.

  • Of course, then they go haywire, which leads to another string of now unnatural disasters.

  • So, the question is could this actually happen?

  • Can we control the weather with satellites?

  • No.

  • No, we can't.

  • We cannot do this.

  • Okay, video over!

  • Bye!

  • Thanks for watching!

  • ...just kidding.

  • There are actually some tiny nuggets of truth in this story.

  • Yes, storms are getting more frequent and more severe.

  • And yes, we do try to influence the weather!

  • But definitely not on a planet-wide scale.

  • The most widespread and successful example of us manipulating the weather is cloud seeding.

  • See, raindrops form on what are called nucleation sites, which are normally particles of dust

  • or bacteria in the atmosphere that water vapor condenses onto.

  • With cloud seeding, you add nucleation sites into the atmosphere, usually by spraying tiny,

  • harmless particles of silver iodide or dry ice from a generator or plane.

  • More nucleation sites mean more raindrops form, so you ultimately get more precipitation.

  • Typically, cloud seeding is done in either mountainous areas during the winter, to increase

  • snowfall, or in fairly arid areas during the summer, to increase the probability it will

  • rain over smaller areas.

  • It's hard to run controlled experiments with cloud seeding, but we think it's at

  • least somewhat effective!

  • It can increase precipitation in an area by as much as 15%, and that can really help soften

  • the effects of drought.

  • But it's not something that can end a drought.

  • It's limited by how much water vapor is available in the air, and if you're in a

  • drought, there's not a lot of vapor to go around.

  • So cloud seeding couldn't start a global flood or any other natural disaster.

  • And it turns out it can't stop disasters, either.

  • From the 1960s to 1980s, a similar cloud-seeding tactic was used not to increase precipitation,

  • but to try to stop hurricanes.

  • It was called Project Stormfury, which is awesome.

  • Pilots working for NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, would fly

  • into a hurricane and seed it with silver iodide just outside its eyewall, the most dangerous

  • part of a hurricane.

  • Supposedly, this would widen the eye of the storm.

  • The idea was that water would condense outside of the existing eye, which would draw moisture

  • away from it and form a new, wider eyewall.

  • And that would slow the hurricane's rotation rate and wind speeds, and ultimately kill the storm.

  • The science behind this wasn't entirely unsound, but it didn't work.

  • It turns out hurricanes have too much ice in them, and not enough water vapor to condense

  • into a new eyewall, so seeding didn't have a big effect.

  • But that's something we didn't know before!

  • And because research was always a goal of Project Stormfury, it yielded all kinds of

  • other insights into hurricane formation, dynamics, and forecasting.

  • And that played a big part in how we understand hurricanes.

  • It also helped to develop the logistics of hurricane research -- like, how you fly into

  • a huge, swirling storm and make it back with good data.

  • So even though it wasn't really effective at controlling the weather, Project Stormfury

  • was still really useful!

  • Okay, so we can't make floods or stop hurricanesand we can't stop hail, either.

  • But we have definitely tried, using devices called hail cannons.

  • Modern hail cannons basically just blast a bunch of noise into the sky.

  • The idea is that sound waves should disrupt hailstone formation before they get too big

  • and destructive.

  • And we've been trying something like this for hundreds of years.

  • In Europe, from the late Renaissance to the 1700s, people used something called weather shooting.

  • Basically, you'd just fire a gun into the air, because maybe the sound would do something

  • to the hail.

  • Austria actually outlawed this because people kept accidentally shooting each other.

  • But then in the late 1800s, the first hail cannons were produced.

  • They fired big smoke rings into the atmosphere, and people believed they saw some positive

  • effects, although they weren't totally sure why.

  • They thought it may have been like weather shooting, and the sound was preventing hailstones.

  • Or maybe the smoke provided nucleation sites, causing water to condense into rain.

  • Either way, this tactic really caught on, and there were even conferences and societies

  • of hail cannoneers!

  • But after about ten years, use died down, because people noticed that, it still hailed.

  • The problem with all of this is that, if sound could destroy hail, then the thunder that

  • happens during storms would do the job for us.

  • Over time, people have come up with lots of ideas about how and why hail cannons should

  • work, but they're still based on a faulty ideaeven if some farmers still use them today.

  • One thing is for sure, though: All of these methods are a far cry from the all-powerful

  • weather satellites in Geostorm, and only one of them is actually effective.

  • I mean, we're still figuring out how rain works, and we're definitely not capable

  • of controlling it from space!

  • So if there is a natural disaster, at least it won't have come from a satellite.

  • Thanks for watching this episode of SciShow Space made possible by our awesome patrons on Patreon!

  • Like Naiadryade and Nate and James and Patrick!

  • So many people donate money so that SciShow can be free for everyone and we really really appreciate it.

  • Thank you so much!

Science fiction movies are great, but sometimes they're more fiction than actual science.

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気象を制御する人工衛星は作れるのか? (Could We Build Weather-Controlling Satellites?)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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