Tobehonest, a virusismorepowerfulincreatingpolitical, economicandsocialupheavalthananyterroristattack.
Attheconferencetoday, theygavethevirus a namecovert 19 Coronavirusdisease.
Bytomorrowafternoon, therewillbe a blueprintmobilizingtheresponse, puttingtogether a researchagenda, findingnewdrugsorevenusingolderonesdevelopedforotherreasons.
I mean, itwillbe a constantlearning, but I'm sureintwomonthsweknowmorethanweknow.
Rightnow.
Youalsoknowthatsomeofftheantirivals, somedicinesarecurrentlytestedinChina, and I'm hopefulthatoneofthesemedicationsmayhaveanimpact, whichwouldbeveryinteresting.
I thinkoneoftheimportantthingstoemphasizehereisaboutpatientconfidentiality, a swellsopublichealthEngland's havebeenleadingonthis, sowe'vebeentakingandfollowingtheiradvice.
But I thinkit's absolutelyirresponsibleofanybodytorevealthenamesoffpatientsinthemedianow, just a littlebitmoreaboutthesituationinBrightonthatwe'veseensincewe'vebeenhere.
They'rebeingtestedfortheCoronavirusonThey'vebeenisolatedas a precaution, I shouldtellinBrighton.
Well, joiningusnowisProfessorStephenRiley.
He's atImperialCollege, Londonand a memberoftheScientificPandemicInfluenzaGrouponModeling, whichadvisesgovernmentonthe U.
K's responsetotheCarlavirus.
Professor, I'm wonderingthisfarincanyoutrackthedynamicsofthisthing?
Andisitbehavingroughlyaccordingtoplan?
Um, itrightnowisis a difficulttime.
We'veobservedah, reallysharpriseincasesinChinaandthen a perhaps a littlebitof a slowingdownontheseinternationalcases, butwehavenotyetobservedittakingoffoutsideofChina.
Sowe'reseeingthesesporadicsmallclusters, butthey'renottakingoff, sowe'reverymuchat a waitandseekindofstageintermsoftheglobalpicture.
Sothiscountryisbasically, atthemoment, lookingatsuperspreadingonlywell, kindof a massinflux.
That's right.
So a czconcerningasthesereportsareforpeople, especiallypeoplelivinginBrightonandpeopleassociatedwiththeclusteroftheanswersconcerningastheyare, thisis a clusterthatwecantracecompletely.
Ifyou'reaffectedbyflu, it's a littlebitdifferentthanthestrainthatinfectedyourchildoryourpartner.
Theychangeallthetime.
Therarethingis a reallysubstantialchangethatchangesthepropertiesofthevirus, andtheyareactuallyquiterare.
Itcouldhappen.
Buttobeabsolutelyhonest, as a scientist, we'vegotmoreimportant, difficultthingstofigureout, andthat's kindofthat's veryit's veryhardtoget a handleonMacanythingnow.