Um, also, ithashassomuchcapability, sociablecapability, thatthananyothervehiclesthat I thinkwecanstarttocontemplaterealisticallycontemplatemissionslike a Marssamplereturn, whichrequirestwominutesnotlookcapablebecauseyou'vegottosend, uh, a landertoMarsthathasstillhasenoughpropellanttoreturntous.
So, um, ifyoutrytodo a missionlikethatwith a smallervehicle, youhavetosendseveral, doseverallaunches, andeitherdoovertherendezvousordosomesortofmuchmorecomplexmission.
Whereaswithfalconheavy, youcouldpotentiallydoitwith a singleflight.
Um, yeah, I thinkthat's literallyhundredsofquestions.
Um, andwe'realsomakingsomedesignimprovementstoimprovethemanufacturerabilitysowecouldgoto a highrateofengineproductionareanticipating.
Ifmostdemandendsupbeinglikewethinkitis, we'llhaveproductionrateofabout 400 restrictions a year, which I thinkwould b'moreentrancethantherestofworldproductioncombined.
It's notalwayswithwiththesamedispensethatwouldmakeit a littleconvenient, butBut I thinkthere's likelythatmostofallflightswillcarrySecretarysettlingokayfree.
Well, uh, I thinkyoushoulddefinitelycountonFalconheavybeingthereforthelongterm.
We'realsoinvestigatingthepossibilitythatthecapeofusingoneoftheoldshuttlepadsforFalconheavyUm, that's That's a possibility, but I defaultplanistouseourexistinglaunchpad, butupgradedsuchthatthere's hangarwhereyoucompressthespellcaninethatrollsthepadandanotherhang a kindof 90 degreeswhereyoucompressthespell's heavyandeitheroneofthemcontroltothepats.
Itreallydependsonthelaunchrate, so I expectthatnumbertogrowovertime.
But I thinkonceitreallygetsgoingandwedoexpectmorelunchestooccurfromtheCapethanfromfromVandenberginthelongholewithFalconheavybecausethatthe, uh, mostofourcommercialcustomerswanttogotoGTO, whichobviouslytoCapelaunches.
Soexpectingprobably a couple 100 jobs.
Itdependsoncustomerdemand.
So I'd sayit's it's probably 2 to 3 years, butitreallydependsonwhatthecustomer, uh, adoptionrateis.
I think I'm confident a coupleotherjobswhenthecuffscustomadoptionishigh.
Whenwe'redoingseverallaunches a year, I thinkwe'llprobablydoasmanyFalconheavylaunchesaswedoFalconnineinches.
I mean, ourroughballparkestimateis, uh, somethingintheorderof 20 launches a year, ofwhichroughlyhalf a falconheavyroughlyhalf a falconnine.
Um, ifyourspacecraftheld a littlebitofpropellantonwaters, presumablyitdoesbecauseit's gonnagetbackfromfromtheasteroid, too.
Then I thinkyoucoulddoitwithtwoparkingheavywatchers.
I thinkweknow a lotaboutgoingpublicbeforewedo.
Sowewanttomakesurethatwehave a verypredictablerevenuestreambecausethepublicmarketsdon't betlikesurprises.
Umand, uh, but I thinkthatthere's a decentchancewe'lllookatgoingpublictowardsthenextyear.
Butlet's saywewill, butit's a possibility.
Uh, it's it's possiblethatwecouldfaceCLCacquisitioninterest, butBut I I havenointerestinselling, and I amthecontrollingshareholderinthecompany.
We'vehadsome.
We'vehadsomeenquiries, butButthen I I'm prettyclearwiththemthatthat, um, that I wouldnotgiveupthecontrollingstakeinthecompanybecauseSpaceBasicshassome, youknow, philosophicalgoalsofentropicgoals, whichmaynotbecoincidentwiththegoalsof I LostGovernContractor.
You're, I think, I think, inthenextyear, meaningNovember.
So I thinkmostlikelywhatwhatyou'llseeisrocketwithpattowardstheendofnextyearonGoalongsometime, Uh, in 2013.
Ah, butyouknow, I don't speakspeakfullforspecificcustomers, but I But I can't saythatthereis a stronginterestfromboththe U.
S governmentandlargecommercialoperatorsinfeltheavy, andthatweareat a NadVancestageofdiscussionswithbothandpartofwhat's neededtoreallygetthemtoocomplete, youknow, signuptotolaunchistonotbethefirst, soAh, it's alwayspossiblethat a customertheymayjumpinatthelastminuteandsay, OK, they'llBillBilldoit.
Butit's a loteasiertogetdealsdoneififcustomersknowthattheydon't havetobethefirstflight.
Souh, soit's it's, youknow, whatevergets a slightriskonourparttotobedoingthefirstlaunchonourownfundson.
Becausewe'llbemakingmorerocketenginesthananycompany, actually, morethananycountry I thinkhasevermade, um, at 400 boosterengines a year, I guessitforTurboBoostRanchinSierraismorethantherestofworldproductioncombined, sothatthat's prettyseriousscaleintherocketbusinessonthen, intermsofofthenumber, ofcourse, we'retalkingabout 40 course, soit Z it's veryhigh, veryhighvolume.
Butthat's what's neededinordertodo 10 Falconnine's and 10 Falconheaviesin a givenyearasitisifyoulookatourlaunchmanifest, Uh, we're, uh, justbasedonexistingcontractsthatwehavethatyouknow, ifyougooutthreeorfouryears, wehavealreadyhaveontheOrderof 10 launchesBookofFalconnine.
So, uh, andreallydonetofuckinglaunches.
Andwe'reonlyjustputting a stakeinthegroundofFalconheavy.
So 20 launches a yearisnot a not a crazynumber.
It'llway.
Expectthattooccurwiththatwithoutanymiracles.
Andsowemustmakesurethatwearebuildingourproductioncapabilityand a launchcapabilitytomeetthatdemand.
You'restarting.
No, itwasthejob.
Sure.
So, um, rightnowourengineproductionrateisaround 50 to 60 a year, that's that's whatwedowiththemodonesie.
Miller, 20 inadditiontobeing a thrustupgradeandsomeformsofgrade, isreallydesignedforflexibilityaswell.
It's helpfulthat I haveexperiencedfromthetheautomotiveworldaswellbecauseinautomotive, youknow, portedenergiesYearisnothing.
Sothere a lotoftechniquesthatthecarhistoryhasdevelopedtobeabletodo.
Doingso, um, so I'm veryconfidentthatwiththe 1,000,001 D designwillbeabletoboth 400 enginesyearorfrankly, evensixor 700 engineshereifweneedto, umandthenthesamewiththecoressowell, making a significantinvestmentintoolingandproductionprocessefficiency, uh, honingoursoftwaresystemswithinthecompanythatmanagedtheprocurementassemblyandlaunchtryingtoautomate a CZmuchaspossible.
Nonetheless, weareexpectingto, uh, hire a lotmorepeople.
I think I thinkwewouldneedtolaunchmaybeontheorderoffourfor a yeartomaintainthosethosecostnumbers.
But I'm veryconfidentthatwe'llbeabletodothat.
Thatis, I thinknot.
Not a tallorder.
I I thinkit's gonnabe a lotcloserto 10 then, for, um, alsobecauseofthecommonalitybetweenFalconnineandFalconHeavywereabletospreadtheoverheadacrossbothvehiclesbecausereallyFalconHeavyisessentiallyTheaupgradedFalconninewithtwoadditionalfirststagesofsideboosters, sosothatit's abletousethesametoolingbemadeonthesameline.
Um, and I thinkthereforesignificantimprovestheprobabilityofholdingcostnumbersonFalconheavy.
But, um, I couldprobablyarrive a littlelaterinthelunch, then.
Yeah, soletmeletmetrytoanswerasmanyquestions I canattheback.
Soyou, uhit's certainlypossibletodo a LunaflybymissionwithFalconHeavyandDragonsothatyouknowwhereyousortofsend a dragonspacecrafton a looparoundthebacksideofthemoon.
Inordertolandonthe 1,000,000 therewouldneedtobe a propulsivelanding.
A systemdeveloped, whichwedonotcurrentlyah, havehaveplanned.
It's certainlysomethingwaycouldpotentiallydo.
Butthere's noquestionthatwasfalconheavyanddragon.
Youcouldsendyoucouldareallycoolmission, whichshouldbe a Lunaflyby.
Soyoucouldgopastthevacuuming.
Youevenevengo a littlefurtherthanwaiting a polyp, which, youknow, everykindofcool I think.
Onemorequestiononpricing, Michael.
A fewweeksago, Gimnasiawasaddressingjournalistdownthestreet.
Very.
ButyoutalkabouthowitwasIt's true.
Doubledprices?
Uh, no, I don't thinkso.
A lot.
Uh, well, possible.
In 2002 wedidn't haveanypricingbecauseonlystartedthecompany.
AndbasicallyJulyof 2002.
Um, so, uh, I mean, I didn't Wedidn't knowwhatrocketwe'remakingin 2002.
It's impossibletohavedoubledfromquestionbox.
Umah, and I thinkbut I thinkifyoulookatthepricingforFalconnine.
Eversinceway I rolledoutthefinalspecificationswereFalconninewerekeptout, pricingconsistentinterruptaround $50 millionlevel.
So I thinkwe'vebeenvery, verysolidinkeepingPricesweresteady, andwedonotexpecttomake a priceincreaseinthefutureexceptforinflationrelatedadjustments.
Infact, overtimewereallywanttoreducethecostperpoundtoorbitbecausethatisthefundamentalgatingfactorthatpreventshumanityfrombecoming a truespacefaringcivilization.
Itisjustfartooexpensivetodospacetravelinthepast.
Andinorderforustohaveanexcitedforthecountrytohave, forhumanityhaveanexcitingfutureinspace, itiscriticalthatweareconstantlyimprovingthecost a pound a littlebitandwithfalconheavyweredemonstratingthatweareFalconHeavyis a significantimprovementoverFalconnineinthecostperpoundto a bit, andyouknowit's right.
It's right.
It's rightaroundthenotsomythicalanymore $1000 perpoundcapability, Um, andasweimprovetheperformanceofFalconheavyof a time.
Wewanttogetitbelow £1000.
Um, soSo, um, yeah.
Umwell, wehaveanideafor a superheavylift, uh, capability.