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  • Good morning, everybody.

  • It's great to see you all here and congratulations...

  • So, in a huge battle for power, Dominic Cummings,

  • Prime Minister Boris Johnson's principal and very dominant

  • adviser, has seen off the chancellor of the exchequer

  • and more fundamentally, the Treasury.

  • Are you responsible for Sajid Javid resigning yesterday?

  • Are you now in charge?

  • And this really is unprecedented.

  • There have been occasions in which chancellors

  • have left in high dudgeon.

  • And sometimes an adviser's been involved, most famously when

  • Nigel Lawson left because of his objection

  • to Margaret Thatcher's adviser, Alan Walters.

  • But this is more fundamental because the adviser's

  • going to be so powerful.

  • So what did they want to do?

  • Well, they wanted to take over all the advisers

  • that the chancellor had and replace them with their own.

  • In other words, they wanted to make the Treasury completely

  • part of the Number 10 operation.

  • This is unprecedented.

  • So this is a coup, of a kind, a really profound transformation,

  • at least for the moment, of British government.

  • So what are they going to use this power for?

  • Well, it's pretty obvious that the big issue here,

  • the big policy issue is that Sajid Javid,

  • the previous chancellor, wanted to preserve

  • traditional Conservative Treasury policy.

  • He wanted to eliminate or keep to zero the current budget

  • deficit on current spending.

  • He wanted to control debt.

  • He basically wanted to keep taxes down.

  • He wanted prudent, sober policy, rather

  • the way that Philip Hammond used to do it.

  • And clearly this is no longer where we are.

  • Good afternoon.

  • Why did you resign?

  • It's been a huge honour to serve as chancellor of the exchequer.

  • Whilst I was very pleased that the prime minister wanted

  • to reappoint me, I was unable to accept the conditions

  • that he had attached.

  • So I felt I was left with no option.

  • So we can expect the deficit to widen.

  • We can expect more public spending.

  • We can expect probably some tax increases in support of it.

  • They're talking about some quite radical ideas like a mansion

  • tax, and there are other possibilities.

  • And what is it all going to be for?

  • Well, obviously the government, this government,

  • wants to vindicate its decision to get a whole new class

  • of voters in former Labour constituencies,

  • to level them up, as it were.

  • And that means, first of all, lots more spending

  • on high-priority public areas like the National Health

  • Service, probably in education too.

  • So this would be a more general end of austerity sort of policy

  • and then much more investment and much more

  • spending directed at the re-creating

  • or creating dynamic economies.

  • The difficulty with this is it's just very, very hard to do.

  • The forces that have generated the rising regional inequality

  • in the UK are very, very long standing.

  • They reflect the very powerful economies of agglomeration,

  • the way in which skilled and educated people are brought

  • together in our major cities, particularly

  • London and the southeast.

  • And reversing that is very, very difficult from everything we

  • know.

  • But it is pretty clear that this government

  • is determined to do these things,

  • that we are a new fiscal territory.

  • We're in new power territory as far

  • as the relationship between Number 10

  • and the chancellor, Number 11, is concerned.

  • And we are in a new effort to reach reform and make

  • more dynamic parts of the British economy which

  • have failed over a long time.

  • Where does it take us?

  • Well, it's going to be the really interesting thing.

  • Perhaps the most interesting thing

  • is does it take us to a fiscal crisis?

  • I think not.

  • But it's certainly something challenging and new.

Good morning, everybody.

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英国経済。ボリス・ジョンソンがコントロールする|FT (The UK economy: Boris Johnson takes control | FT)

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    林宜悉 に公開 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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