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  • and tonight, cases in Italy continue to soar.

  • But in hard hit China, for now, the worst of it seems to be over.

  • So what can health experts in the US and learn from these two nations as this nation gets more sick?

  • James Longman files this report tonight.

  • 345 More people dead in Italy in the last 24 hours the total now over 2500 Theo Health system buckling under the onslaught patients contained.

  • Although the virus is not families on lock down, the dead are buried without them tonight.

  • One glimmer of hope cases in Italy's original red Zone down slightly.

  • But back in America, concerned over what's playing out in Italy, and they have Maur doctors and hospital beds per person than in the U.

  • S.

  • David with America's top expert on infectious disease, Anthony Fauci.

  • Doctor, can you assure the American people that what they witnessed in those images from Italy and from those hospitals won't happen here?

  • You know, David, I'm always trying to be as cold and honest.

  • I don't want to scare anybody.

  • There's no guarantee of anything.

  • That's why Fauci says Americans have to limit their exposure on public activities to slow down the virus so it doesn't hit with the same speed is Italy.

  • And so U.

  • S hospitals can keep up with demand for emergency care.

  • Dr.

  • Fauci and other health experts are now studying the timing seen in Italy and in China.

  • Help forecast how long it could take hold in the U.

  • S.

  • And James joins us Now live in London with more James.

  • While Italy continues to struggle, China appears to be getting things under control.

  • Why do experts think that that is well, India is actually really interesting.

  • If you look at when a country first reported its cases versus when it first did a lock down, you start to see a pattern.

  • We're far enough in now to this crisis to get a hold on how different countries have got to the outcomes they've got to.

  • So if you look at China, for instance, it's first reported Case was on December 31st.

  • Now, of course, China may have had cases before that, but without when they first reported and they first shut down Wuhan, that city in Hebei Province, where Corona virus originated on January 23rd and they've now started to see a slowdown.

  • Compare that with Italy.

  • They first saw.

  • They first reported a case sorry on January 31st and they first did those lockdowns on February 21st.

  • So a similar time period except they only did a partial locked down in the north of Italy.

  • It was where I was for some time.

  • We were back and forth to that part of northern Italy.

  • They didn't shut down a wider area that only came March 8th.

  • There was a much larger lag on it.

  • That may be part of the reason why we're now seeing Ah much bigger issue in Italy than we have in China.

  • Just to give you an idea, Italy now has reported to date tooth 2500 deaths vs China's 3200 or so deaths.

  • Now, obviously, Italy is a far, far smaller country than China, so its outcome is much, much worse.

  • And we're now hearing, actually, if at this current rate off deaths in Italy that Italy actually could surpass China in absolute fatalities, that is an extraordinary outcome.

  • There are a lot of lessons here to be learned for the United States as it seeks to battle Corona virus on a really important thing for America to understand is that Italy actually has more beds per capita than the United States.

  • So it doesn't mean if you have a good health health health care system, you can ride this wave eyes a lot to worry about.

  • I think for the United States on the rest of Europe in baffling Corona virus, right?

  • A lot to learn and fascinating to know that Italy has more beds per capita.

  • James Long man, Thank you so much for that report.

  • Hi, everyone.

  • George Stephanopoulos here.

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and tonight, cases in Italy continue to soar.

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