字幕表 動画を再生する
-
- Well the Freedom Dividend is a universal basic income plan
-
where every American adult gets $1,000 a month starting
-
at age 18 until the day they die.
-
So every American adult gets $1,000.
-
And when you get it, you can do whatever you want.
-
$12,000 a year and it continues until you expire.
-
Well first, to define the problem a little more thoroughly,
-
I mean when I did research for my book,
-
The War on Normal People, I was shocked
-
at what I found where I studied economics in college.
-
And if you study economics, you're presented
-
with relatively positive visions
-
as to what happens if you, for example,
-
you get rid of a lot of jobs with technology,
-
that the workers find new roles,
-
the economy grows, productivity goes up,
-
and everyone's pretty much okay.
-
But then when I was writing my book,
-
I found that that's not actually what happens on the ground,
-
that half of the manufacturing workers
-
that lost their jobs in Michigan
-
and Indiana left the workforce,
-
filed for disability, got drunk, died early deaths,
-
and got addicted to drugs.
-
I mean none of that was in my economics textbook,
-
if you know what I mean. - I do.
-
- So then I was like, oh my gosh!
-
Like what we did to the manufacturing workers we're
-
about to do to 8.8 million retail workers,
-
the 2.5 million call center workers,
-
and most importantly for you in this audience,
-
the 3.5 million truck drivers and the five million Americans
-
who work supporting truck drivers
-
in facilities and truck stops and motels
-
and diners around the country.
-
- You call it a Freedom Dividend.
-
How does the Freedom Dividend work?
-
- Well the Freedom Dividend, if you can imagine a country
-
where everyone's getting $1,000 a month
-
as a right of citizenship,
-
it would make our families stronger and healthier.
-
It would create millions of jobs in our communities.
-
It would improve our mental health.
-
It would decrease our stress levels.
-
Would improve relationships.
-
To me the best path to create that is
-
to put economic resources into people's hands
-
in the form of a Freedom Dividend of $1,000 a month,
-
which would then allow more people
-
to do the sort of work that either they want
-
to do or that their community has a need for.
-
And the goal is to create jobs.
-
And putting 1000 bucks a month
-
into people's hands would create
-
at least two million new jobs just
-
because the buying power would just go right back
-
into local businesses and communities.
-
Now how many of you own stocks
-
of public companies that issue dividends?
-
Many of you do, Verizon, Microsoft, Coca-Cola.
-
So when these companies reach a certain level
-
of success and maturation, what do they do?
-
They return money to shareholders.
-
I'm going to suggest to you all
-
that the United States of America is
-
at the exact same point and that we need
-
to start issuing a dividend to ourselves,
-
the owners and shareholders of this country.
-
And when Coca-Cola and Verizon
-
and Microsoft issue a dividend,
-
everyone says great job, great management.
-
It's time for us to do the same thing
-
for the American people.
-
$12,000 a year would be a game changer.
-
The main thing is that if you look at our history,
-
this is a deeply American idea.
-
Thomas Paine was for it at the founding of the country.
-
He called it the citizens' dividend.
-
Martin Luther King was for it in the '60s.
-
He called it guaranteed minimum income
-
and he championed it in 1967, the year,
-
until he was killed the next year.
-
Milton Friedman and 1,000 economists
-
had this study saying this would be tremendous for America.
-
It was called the negative income tax.
-
And it passed the House of Representatives
-
under Richard Nixon in 1971 twice.
-
And then it became law 11 years later
-
in one state, where now in that state,
-
everyone gets between one and $2,000 a year.
-
And what state is that?
-
- [Crowd] Alaska!
-
- And how do they pay for it?
-
- [Crowd] Oil.
-
- [Interviewer] Dividend that would go
-
to every person in the US would be funded how?
-
- [Andrew] So the headline cost
-
of this is $2.4 trillion, which sounds like an awful lot.
-
For reference, the economy is $19 trillion,
-
up four trillion in the last 10 years.
-
And the federal budget is four trillion.
-
So 2.4 trillion seems like an awfully big slug of money,
-
but if you break it down, the first big thing is
-
to implement a value-added tax,
-
which would harvest the gains from artificial intelligence
-
and big data from the big tech companies
-
that are gonna benefit from it the most.
-
Slice, a sliver, of every Amazon transaction,
-
every Google search, and because our economy is so vast now
-
at $19 trillion, a value-added tax
-
at even half the European level would generate
-
about 800 billion in value. (ding)
-
- Now the VAT, VAT is generally considered a progressive tax
-
'cause it's a tax on consumption and spending.
-
And if you're low-income, yup,
-
that's where your money's going.
-
How much are you taking money back
-
from the very people you're looking to give it to?
-
- Well you'd have to consume an awful lot
-
for a mild VAT to eat up $12,000 in additional income.
-
And so it is true, in a vacuum,
-
if you just adopted a mild VAT in the US,
-
you might make it harder on working families.
-
But if you are increasing the income
-
of those working families by $12,000 per individual,
-
you end up increasing the buying power
-
of approximately the bottom 92% of the population.
-
The second source of money is that right now we spend
-
almost $800 billion on welfare programs.
-
And many people are receiving more
-
than $1,000 in current benefits.
-
So we're gonna leave all the programs alone.
-
But if you think $1,000 cash would be better
-
than what you're currently receiving,
-
then you can opt in and your current benefits disappear.
-
So that reduces the cost of the Freedom Dividend
-
by between five and $600 billion.
-
I'm a Democrat and progressive,
-
and the last thing I'm running on is
-
to try and take benefits away from people
-
that they're relying upon for their,
-
you know, survival or day-to-day expenses.
-
So the Freedom Dividend is opt-in.
-
And so if you decide that your current situation is superior
-
then you're left untouched and no harm done.
-
I do talk to people who are on these programs.
-
And some of them would vastly prefer $1,000 cash
-
because one there's this constant uncertainty
-
that they're gonna continue getting the welfare benefits.
-
'Cause there are generally requirements
-
that are associated with them.
-
They like live in fear.
-
And there are also a lot of reporting requirements
-
that are associated with them.
-
So it's not that the existing structures are ideal
-
for many of the people within them.
-
But if you prefer your current situation,
-
then the last thing I would wanna do is take
-
that away from someone.
-
Now the great parts are the third and fourth parts.
-
So if you put $1,000 a month into the hands
-
of American adults who right now,
-
57% of Americans can't pay an unexpected $500 bill,
-
they're gonna spend that $1,000 in their community
-
on car repairs, tutoring for their kids,
-
the occasional night out.
-
It's going to go directly into the consumer economy.
-
And so if you grow the consumer economy
-
by 12%, we get 500 billion in new tax revenue. (ding)
-
And then the last 500 billion or so we get
-
through a combination of cost savings
-
on incarceration, homelessness services, healthcare.
-
Because right now we're spending about a trillion dollars
-
on people showing up in emergency rooms
-
and hitting our institutions.
-
So we have to do what good companies do,
-
which is invest in our people.
-
- The point of it really, they say
-
if you give a man a fish,
-
if you give a man a fishing rod, he can fish.
-
If you give him one fish, he'll just eat that fish.
-
Something like that.
-
- People like my wife, who's at home
-
with our two young boys, one of whom is autistic.
-
And right now the market values her work at zero.
-
The GDP values her work at zero.
-
If you start putting resources into our hands,
-
it actually expands what we think of as work.
-
- Well, now you're talking about paying women
-
for doing housework and doing work at home, being mothers.
-
That's a good idea!
-
- That is a good idea!
-
- A game changer for the waitress
-
at the diner who's getting harassed by her boss.
-
It's a game changer for the single mom
-
who's stuck in an abusive relationship.
-
Like we need to put the economic resources
-
into people's hands.
-
- Is not universal basic income though kind of socialism
-
by other means?
-
- It's very much not. (laughs)
-
It's capitalism where income doesn't start at zero.
-
The socialism capitalism dichotomy is decades out of date
-
and relatively useless.
-
And I want to quote a friend of mine,
-
Eric Weinstein, who said this.
-
He said we never knew that capitalism was going
-
to get eaten by its son technology.
-
That's where we are.
-
And so when someone's like are you a socialist?
-
Are you a capitalist?
-
They're essentially taking 20th century economic frameworks
-
that never anticipated the economy of today.
-
- Mass inflation?
-
- No, it will not.
-
- Why not?
-
- Well, I'll give you a couple of data points
-
on the inflation.
-
So we printed $4 trillion for the banks during the bailout.
-
And there was no inflation in consumer goods.
-
And if you look at what's happening right now
-
in your own life,
-
a lot of stuff's getting cheaper and better.
-
That's electronics, clothing,
-
cars, media, food for the most part.
-
All that stuff's staying essentially constant
-
in price or getting cheaper or more sophisticated.
-
Now what's going up in price?
-
What's driving us all crazy?
-
Housing, education, healthcare.
-
And those three things are not being driven
-
by the fact that we have lots of money to spend.
-
It's not being driven by like purchasing power.
-
- Universal basic income, you're taking
-
away that dignity, that respect of having a job.
-
- Well the Freedom Dividend is actually very pro-work
-
because putting this money into Americans' hands,
-
that money would circulate over and over
-
through their neighborhoods and communities.
-
It would create more than two million jobs
-
around the country and would also recognize a lot
-
of the work that's being done in our families
-
and communities that is not being recognized
-
by the market.
-
The second thing is that,
-
you know what's really destroying the dignity
-
of work is people feeling like they have
-
to do jobs that are somewhat exploitative just
-
in order to survive and then us selling ourselves
-
that oh that's actually super dignified.
-
(laughs) It's actually not dignified