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Stronger Euro is bad for Eurozone equities, say strategists, and here's the proof.
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Emmanuel Macron wins the French election, clouds of political risk lift, and the Euro rises 7% on a trade-weighted basis.
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Eurozone equities head south, and in July, eight consecutive months of upgrades to European earnings forecasts come to an end.
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But there are also reasons to think that this adjustment will not last much longer.
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Earnings, after all, are still set to rise this year,
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and some effects of a stronger currency can be mitigated through hedging.
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A stronger Euro will reduce input costs, especially dollar-denominated ones like energy and commodities.
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It will also make imports cheaper.
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That way, helping keep inflation down, and moderate pay demands from companies' workers.
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Meanwhile, the recovery in the Eurozone economy itself is gathering pace, and that is good for European companies.
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It's one reason the currency is appreciating.
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In any case, the currency index is still well below its mid-noughties peaks,
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and look at this chart which shows the inflation-adjusted, trade-weighted exchange rate for the old Deutsche Mark.
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You can see this in the mid 1970's and again in the mid 1990's,
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German exporters coped with the Mark at much higher levels than today's Euro equivalent.
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Finally, over the long term, Credit Suisse Research Institute points out that exchange rates make little real difference to overall returns.
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So while there may be reasons to worry about the durability of European corporate earnings, exchange rates are not foremost among them.