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There's an old joke about a cop who's walking his beat
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in the middle of the night,
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and he comes across a guy under a street lamp
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who's looking at the ground and moving from side to side,
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and the cop asks him what he's doing.
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The guys says he's looking for his keys.
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So the cop takes his time and looks over
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and kind of makes a little matrix and looks
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for about two, three minutes. No keys.
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The cop says, "Are you sure? Hey buddy,
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are you sure you lost your keys here?"
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And the guy says, "No, no, actually I lost them
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down at the other end of the street,
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but the light is better here."
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There's a concept that people talk about nowadays
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called big data, and what they're talking about
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is all of the information that we're generating
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through our interaction with and over the Internet,
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everything from Facebook and Twitter
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to music downloads, movies, streaming, all this kind of stuff,
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the live streaming of TED.
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And the folks who work with big data, for them,
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they talk about that their biggest problem is
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we have so much information,
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the biggest problem is, how do we organize all that information?
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I can tell you that working in global health,
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that is not our biggest problem.
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Because for us, even though the light
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is better on the Internet,
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the data that would help us solve the problems
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we're trying to solve is not actually present on the Internet.
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So we don't know, for example, how many people
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right now are being affected by disasters
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or by conflict situations.
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We don't know for really basically any of the clinics
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in the developing world, which ones have medicines
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and which ones don't.
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We have no idea of what the supply chain is for those clinics.
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We don't know -- and this is really amazing to me --
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we don't know how many children were born,
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or how many children there are in Bolivia
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or Botswana or Bhutan.
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We don't know how many kids died last week
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in any of those countries.
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We don't know the needs of the elderly, the mentally ill.
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For all of these different critically important problems
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or critically important areas that we want to solve problems in,
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we basically know nothing at all.
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And part of the reason why we don't know anything at all
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is that the information technology systems
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that we use in global health to find the data
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to solve these problems is what you see here.
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And this is about a 5,000-year-old technology.
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Some of you may have used it before.
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It's kind of on its way out now, but we still use it
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for 99 percent of our stuff.
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This is a paper form, and what you're looking at
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is a paper form in the hand of a Ministry of Health nurse
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in Indonesia who is tramping out across the countryside
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in Indonesia on, I'm sure, a very hot and humid day,
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and she is going to be knocking on thousands of doors
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over a period of weeks or months,
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knocking on the doors and saying, "Excuse me,
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we'd like to ask you some questions.
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Do you have any children? Were your children vaccinated?"
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Because the only way we can actually find out
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how many children were vaccinated in the country of Indonesia,
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what percentage were vaccinated, is actually not
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on the Internet but by going out and knocking on doors,
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sometimes tens of thousands of doors.
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Sometimes it takes months to even years
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to do something like this.
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You know, a census of Indonesia
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would probably take two years to accomplish.
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And the problem, of course, with all of this is that
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with all those paper forms — and I'm telling you
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we have paper forms for every possible thing.
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We have paper forms for vaccination surveys.
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We have paper forms to track people who come into clinics.
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We have paper forms to track drug supplies,
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blood supplies, all these different paper forms
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for many different topics,
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they all have a single common endpoint,
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and the common endpoint looks something like this.
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And what we're looking at here is a truckful o' data.
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This is the data from a single vaccination coverage survey
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in a single district in the country of Zambia
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from a few years ago that I participated in.
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The only thing anyone was trying to find out
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is what percentage of Zambian children are vaccinated,
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and this is the data, collected on paper over weeks
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from a single district, which is something like a county
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in the United States.
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You can imagine that, for the entire country of Zambia,
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answering just that single question
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looks something like this.
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Truck after truck after truck
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filled with stack after stack after stack of data.
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And what makes it even worse is that
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that's just the beginning,
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because once you've collected all that data,
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of course someone's going to have to --
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some unfortunate person is going to have to type that into a computer.
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When I was a graduate student, I actually was
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that unfortunate person sometimes.
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I can tell you, I often wasn't really paying attention.
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I probably made a lot of mistakes when I did it
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that no one ever discovered, so data quality goes down.
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But eventually that data hopefully gets typed into a computer,
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and someone can begin to analyze it,
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and once they have an analysis and a report,
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hopefully then you can take the results of that data collection
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and use it to vaccinate children better.
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Because if there's anything worse
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in the field of global public health,
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I don't know what's worse than allowing children on this planet
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to die of vaccine-preventable diseases,
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diseases for which the vaccine costs a dollar.
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And millions of children die of these diseases every year.
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And the fact is, millions is a gross estimate because
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we don't really know how many kids die each year of this.
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What makes it even more frustrating is that
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the data entry part, the part that I used to do as a grad student,
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can take sometimes six months.
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Sometimes it can take two years to type that information
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into a computer, and sometimes, actually not infrequently,
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it actually never happens.
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Now try and wrap your head around that for a second.
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You just had teams of hundreds of people.
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They went out into the field to answer a particular question.
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You probably spent hundreds of thousands of dollars
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on fuel and photocopying and per diem,
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and then for some reason, momentum is lost
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or there's no money left,
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and all of that comes to nothing
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because no one actually types it into the computer at all.
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The process just stops. Happens all the time.
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This is what we base our decisions on in global health:
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little data, old data, no data.
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So back in 1995, I began to think about ways
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in which we could improve this process.
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Now 1995, obviously that was quite a long time ago.
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It kind of frightens me to think of how long ago that was.
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The top movie of the year was
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"Die Hard with a Vengeance."
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As you can see, Bruce Willis had a lot more hair back then.
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I was working in the Centers for Disease Control,
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and I had a lot more hair back then as well.
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But to me, the most significant thing that I saw in 1995
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was this.
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Hard for us to imagine, but in 1995,
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this was the ultimate elite mobile device.
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Right? It wasn't an iPhone. It wasn't a Galaxy phone.
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It was a Palm Pilot.
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And when I saw the Palm Pilot for the first time, I thought,
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why can't we put the forms on these Palm Pilots
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and go out into the field just carrying one Palm Pilot,
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which can hold the capacity of tens of thousands
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of paper forms? Why don't we try to do that?
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Because if we can do that, if we can actually just
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collect the data electronically, digitally,
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from the very beginning,
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we can just put a shortcut right through that whole process
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of typing,
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of having somebody type that stuff into the computer.
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We can skip straight to the analysis
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and then straight to the use of the data to actually save lives.
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So that's actually what I began to do.
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Working at CDC, I began to travel to different programs
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around the world and to train them in using Palm Pilots
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to do data collection instead of using paper.
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And it actually worked great.
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It worked exactly as well as anybody would have predicted.
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What do you know? Digital data collection
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is actually more efficient than collecting on paper.
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While I was doing it, my business partner, Rose,
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who's here with her husband, Matthew, here in the audience,
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Rose was out doing similar stuff for the American Red Cross.
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The problem was, after a few years of doing that,
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I realized I had done -- I had been to maybe
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six or seven programs, and I thought,
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you know, if I keep this up at this pace,
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over my whole career, maybe I'm going to go
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to maybe 20 or 30 programs.
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But the problem is, 20 or 30 programs,
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like, training 20 or 30 programs to use this technology,
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that is a tiny drop in the bucket.
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The demand for this, the need for data to run better programs,
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just within health, not to mention all of the other fields
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in developing countries, is enormous.
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There are millions and millions and millions of programs,
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millions of clinics that need to track drugs,
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millions of vaccine programs.
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There are schools that need to track attendance.
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There are all these different things
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for us to get the data that we need to do.
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And I realized, if I kept up the way that I was doing,
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I was basically hardly going to make any impact
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by the end of my career.
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And so I began to wrack my brain
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trying to think about, you know,
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what was the process that I was doing,
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how was I training folks, and what were the bottlenecks
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and what were the obstacles to doing it faster
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and to doing it more efficiently?
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And unfortunately, after thinking about this for some time,
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I realized -- I identified the main obstacle.
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And the main obstacle, it turned out,
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and this is a sad realization,
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the main obstacle was me.
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So what do I mean by that?
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I had developed a process whereby
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I was the center of the universe of this technology.
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If you wanted to use this technology, you had to get in touch with me.
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That means you had to know I existed.
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Then you had to find the money to pay for me
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to fly out to your country
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and the money to pay for my hotel
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and my per diem and my daily rate.
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So you could be talking about 10,000 or 20,000 or 30,000 dollars
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if I actually had the time or it fit my schedule
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and I wasn't on vacation.
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The point is that anything, any system that depends
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on a single human being or two or three or five human beings,
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it just doesn't scale.
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And this is a problem for which we need to scale
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this technology and we need to scale it now.
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And so I began to think of ways in which I could basically
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take myself out of the picture.
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And, you know, I was thinking,
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how could I take myself out of the picture
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for quite some time.
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You know, I'd been trained that the way that
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you distribute technology within international development
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is always consultant-based.
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It's always guys that look pretty much like me
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flying from countries that look pretty much like this
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to other countries with people with darker skin.
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And you go out there, and you spend money on airfare
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and you spend time and you spend per diem
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and you spend [on a] hotel and you spend all that stuff.
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As far as I knew, that was the only way
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you could distribute technology, and I couldn't figure out a way around it.