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At this point, I see the US economy as performing well.
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Domestics spending has been growing at a solid pace.
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Our trade performance net exports is soft, but the committee judged in October that some of the downside risks had diminished,
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relating to global economic and financial developments.
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I see under-utilization of labor resources as having diminished significantly since earlier in the year,
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although recently we've seen some slowdown in the pace of job gains, recently.
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So, with that sort of backdrop in mind, and of course inflation, I should say is as you mentioned,
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running considerably below our 2% objective.
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Nevertheless, the committee judges that an important reason for that relate to declines in energy prices and the prices of non-energy imports,
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and that as those matters stabilize, that inflation will move back up toward 2% target.
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So, with that sort of economic backdrop in mind, the committee indicated in our most recent statement,
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that we thought it could be appropriate to adjust rates at our next meeting.
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Now, no decision at all has been made on that,
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and what it will depend on is the committee's assessment of the economic outlook at that time,
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and that assessment will be informed by all of the data that we receive between now and then.
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So, what the committee has been expecting,
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is that the economy will continue to grow at a pace that's sufficient to generate further improvements in the labor market,
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and to return inflation to our 2% target over the medium term.
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And if the incoming information supports that expectation, then our statement indicates that December would be a live possibility,
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but, importantly, that we have made no decisions about it.
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Now, it is as US, the best of timing of such a move.
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The committee does feel, that moving in a timely fashion,
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if the data and the outlook justify such a move is a prudent thing to do,
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because we will be able to move for the more gradual and measured pace.
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We fully expect that the economy will involve in such a way that we can move at a very gradual pace,
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and of course after we do so, we will be watching very carefully, with our expectations to realize.
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So, when my colleague governor Brainard mentions that inflation is low, if we were to move, say in December,
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it would be based on an expectation, which I believe is justified,
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that with an improving labor market and transitory factors fading, that inflation will move up to 2%.
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But of course, if we were to move, we would need to verify overtime that expectation was being realized,
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and if not, adjust, adjust policy appropriately.
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I think, I'd also like to emphasize that I know there is a great deal of focus on the initial move,
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it's been a long time that interest rates have been at zero,
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but markets in the public should be thinking about the entire path of policy rates overtime.
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And the committee's expectation is that, that will be a very gradual path,
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and of course will depend very much on the actual performance of the economy.