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Transcriber: TED Translators Admin Reviewer: Mirjana Čutura
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About 10,000 years ago, humans began to farm.
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This agricultural revolution was a turning point in our history
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that enabled people to settle, build and create.
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In short, agriculture enabled the existence of civilization.
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Today, approximately 40 percent of our planet is farmland.
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Spread all over the world,
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these agricultural lands are the pieces to a global puzzle
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we are all facing:
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in the future, how can we feed every member of a growing population
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a healthy diet?
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Meeting this goal will require
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nothing short of a second agricultural revolution.
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The first agricultural revolution
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was characterized by expansion and exploitation,
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feeding people at the expense of forests, wildlife and water
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and destabilizing the climate in the process.
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That's not an option the next time around.
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Agriculture depends on a stable climate
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with predictable seasons and weather patterns.
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This means we can't keep expanding our agricultural lands,
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because doing so will undermine the environmental conditions
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that make agriculture possible in the first place.
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Instead, the next agricultural revolution
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will have to increase the output of our existing farmland for the long term
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while protecting biodiversity, conserving water
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and reducing pollution and greenhouse gas emissions.
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So what will the future farms look like?
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This drone is part of a fleet that monitors the crops below.
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The farm may look haphazard
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but is a delicately engineered use of the land
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that intertwines crops and livestock with wild habitats.
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Conventional farming methods cleared large swathes of land
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and planted them with a single crop,
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eradicating wildlife
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and emitting huge amounts of greenhouse gases in the process.
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This approach aims to correct that damage.
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Meanwhile, moving among the crops,
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teams of field robots apply fertilizer in targeted doses.
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Inside the soil,
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hundreds of sensors gather data on nutrients and water levels.
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This information reduces unnecessary water use
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and tells farmers where they should apply more and less fertilizer
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instead of causing pollution by showering it across the whole farm.
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But the farms of the future won't be all sensors and robots.
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These technologies are designed to help us produce food
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in a way that works with the environment
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rather than against it,
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taking into account the nuances of local ecosystems.
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Lower-cost agricultural practices can also serve those same goals
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and are much more accessible to many farmers.
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In fact, many such practices are already in use today
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and stand to have an increasingly large impact
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as more farmers adopt them.
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In Costa Rica,
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farmers have intertwined farmland with tropical habitat so successfully
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that they have significantly contributed to doubling the country's forest cover.
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This provides food and habitat for wildlife
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as well as natural pollination and pest control
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from the birds and insects these farms attract,
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producing food while restoring the planet.
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In the United States,
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ranchers are raising cattle on grasslands composed of native species,
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generating a valuable protein source
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using production methods that store carbon and protect biodiversity.
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In Bangladesh, Cambodia and Nepal,
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new approaches to rice production
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may dramatically decrease greenhouse gas emissions in the future.
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Rice is a staple food for three billion people
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and the main source of livelihood for millions of households.
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More than 90 percent of rice is grown in flooded paddies,
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which use a lot of water
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and release 11 percent of annual methane emissions,
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which accounts for one to two percent
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of total annual greenhouse gas emissions globally.
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By experimenting with new strains of rice,
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irrigating less
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and adopting less labor-intensive ways of planting seeds,
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farmers in these countries
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have already increased their incomes and crop yields
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while cutting down on greenhouse gas emissions.
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In Zambia,
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numerous organizations are investing in locally specific methods
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to improve crop production, reduce forest loss
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and improve livelihoods for local farmers.
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These efforts are projected to increase crop yield
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by almost a quarter over the next few decades.
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If combined with methods to combat deforestation in the region,
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they could move the country
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toward a resilient, climate-focused agricultural sector.
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And in India,
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where up to 40 percent of post-harvest food is lost or wasted
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due to poor infrastructure,
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farmers have already started to implement solar-powered cold storage capsules
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that help thousands of rural farmers preserve their produce
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and become a viable part of the supply chain.
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It will take all of these methods,
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from the most high-tech to the lowest-cost,
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to revolutionize farming.
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High-tech interventions stand to amplify
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climate- and conservation-oriented approaches to farming,
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and large producers will need to invest in implementing these technologies.
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Meanwhile, we'll have to expand access to the lower-cost methods
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for smaller-scale farmers.
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This vision of future farming will also require a global shift
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toward more plant-based diets
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and huge reductions in food loss and waste,
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both of which will reduce pressure on the land
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and allow farmers to do more with what they have available.
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If we optimize food production, both on land and sea,
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we can feed humanity
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within the environmental limits of the earth,
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but there's a very small margin of error,
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and it will take unprecedented global cooperation
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and coordination of the agricultural lands we have today.