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On January 23rd, a family in China traveled from Wuhan to the city of Guangzhou.
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The next day, they ate lunch at a restaurant.
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One of them had Covid-19, but didn't feel sick yet.
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Within a few days, other members of the family started showing symptoms.
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And a few days after that, so did the family who was sitting at the table next to them.
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The family at this table also got sick.
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And researchers say this first person was the source of all these infections...
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Even though some of them were sitting almost 14 feet away.
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But the people eating at these tables didn't get sick.
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Why?
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An air conditioning unit right here kept the air flowing through this section of the restaurant.
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It circulated the virus from this person, through the air, to these other families.
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This story highlights something about the coronavirus
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that most of us are just starting to understand:
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Its ability to travel through the air.
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And as public spaces open up, that's led to some big questions:
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Is it safe to go to the beach?
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What about a park?
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And is a runner going to get you sick?
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If we think about our actions only in terms of safe or risky, there's really only way
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to guarantee you won't get sick or spread Covid-19:
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Stay home, isolate yourself, and have zero contact with the outside world.
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But maintaining that level of caution all the time isn't really possible for most of us.
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We need food.
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We need supplies.
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And sometimes, we just need to take a walk.
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So the goal in protecting yourself and others from Covid-19 isn't to eliminate risk completely --
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it's to minimize it.
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If this side is perpetual quarantine,
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and this side is getting coughed on by a bunch of sick people,
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it's about pushing yourself as reasonably close to this side as you can.
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So let's start with going for a walk.
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And with someone who, like me, has also felt weird about it.
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Before I started calling up epidemiologists and talking to them about the risks,
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I was actually pretty paranoid.
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And then when I actually started digging into the research, I realized the risks of getting
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Covid-19 from runners or cyclists outside is much lower than I thought.
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Everytime we breathe — but especially when we talk,
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and especially when we cough or sneeze —
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we let out little droplets of water.
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Some of them are pretty big and heavy, and fall to the ground quickly,
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like little bits of spit.
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Others are really small and much lighter, so they float farther through the air.
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And these droplets are what's carrying the virus.
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If a droplet floats and then evaporates, that leaves the virus out in the air
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for some period of time.
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And we don't yet know the amount of virus you have to be exposed to to get sick,
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but we do know that you lower your risk by exposing yourself to less of the virus.
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And Sigal says there's three ways to do that:
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The first is distance.
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So, are you six feet away from the person?
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Duration.
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Are you encountering this person for one second as they whiz past you,
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or are you around them for an hour?
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And ventilation.
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Is there a good airflow moving around you that can disperse any viral particles?
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Or are you in an enclosed indoor space where they're just going to stick around?
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The difference between how air moves inside, versus outside, is huge.
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To show that, I used this spray, which glows under a blacklight.
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I sprayed my test subject with it both inside and outside, from 3 feet away.
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Even though it wasn't windy, far fewer spray particles reached his shirt outside.
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The airflow was so much better at dispersing them.
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And being outside also has an effect on the virus itself.
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A virus has this protective coat of moisture around it.
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There's a lot of things acting on it. So, there's sunlight hitting it.
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There's wind. There's rain. There's humidity.
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And all of that can work to kind of break apart this protective coat of moisture,
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and decay the virus.
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A study in China looked at 318 different outbreaks of Covid-19 across the country.
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Only one of them involved someone catching it outdoors.
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That study hasn't been peer-reviewed, but it's consistent with everything else we know:
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That being outside can be pretty-low risk.
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But your interactions with other people can increase that risk.
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If you're talking to a friend at a close distance, your risk goes up.
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And that risk climbs the longer your conversation continues.
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But if you're both wearing masks to stop some of those larger droplets from spreading,
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your risk goes down.
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Shopping at an open-air market is less risky than being inside a store.
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But you can reduce that risk by getting in and out quickly.
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But what about passing a heavy-breathing runner?
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So let me take you through what would actually have to happen for a runner or cyclist outside
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to infect you as they pass by.
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They would have to expel enough viral particles to be able to kickstart an infection.
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Those particles would have to travel several feet of distance;
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withstand the pressures of wind, rain, humidity...
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Then the particles have to actually land in your throat or your upper respiratory tract.
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Or on your hands, which you would then use to touch your eyes, your nose or your mouth.
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So all of that is a pretty arduous sequence to execute perfectly.
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Going to the beach, or to a park, isn't necessarily dangerous or safe.
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The risk can go up or down, depending on how we each behave.
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Which means everyone has a responsibility to lower that risk for everyone else.
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The point here is not to be cavalier when you go outside.
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I think we all still want to be cautious, especially as some states are starting reopening.
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Changing your behavior to limit exposure to the virus won't reduce your risk to zero.
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But it could lower it enough, that you can breathe a little easier.