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Oil prices had one of the biggest
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ever falls on Monday, taking the price of Brent crude
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to nearly $30 a barrel.
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Behind this was an effective collapse
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of an agreement between Opec and Russia
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to enact production cuts to support the market.
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Saudi Arabia, Opec's de facto leader,
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wanted deeper and more prolonged cuts
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to counter the effect of the spread of coronavirus
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on demand.
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The International Energy Agency said this week
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that oil consumption is expected to contract this year
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for the first time since 2009.
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Despite this, Russia did not want to team up with Opec,
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believing the bigger cuts to production
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would only propel rival US shale producers.
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So what happened next?
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Saudi Arabia started a price war.
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Even as the world requires less oil from global producers,
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the kingdom said it would put another 2.6m barrels a day
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into the oil market.
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This triggered a tit-for-tat response from rivals.
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Russia said it would add more oil into the market
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and so did the UAE.
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It's the first time since the 1930s
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that we're seeing such a severe demand shock now
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combined with a supply shock.
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What now?
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Oil prices have recovered somewhat
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but no one knows how bad this is going to get.
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Major oil companies are preparing for a prolonged
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period of low prices.
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Occidental Petroleum in the US cut its dividend
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to shareholders by almost 90 per cent this week.
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Energy analysts expect big cuts in capital spending
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from some of the world's major companies
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and smaller players as their balance sheets take a hit.
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Producer countries dependent on oil to fill government coffers
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are also on alert.
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The last time there was a price crash, in 2014, it was brutal.
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Again, the oil market is preparing for the worst case
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scenario.